California · crop watch
California prune crop
The 2025 crop finished at 73,500.0 tons, dry basis.
June 2019 forecast
2019 USDA forecast
110,000tons, dry basis
USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for California prune; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.
73,500
tons, dry basis, 2025 final
Final USDA estimate.
Forecast reliability
±14.6%
Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 2 completed seasons.
Forecast record
How the forecast moved to final
Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.
First forecastFinalFinal pending
| Crop year | First forecast (tons, dry basis) | Final | Revision | Crop value | Share of US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | — | 73,500.0 | — | $153M | 100.0% |
| 2024 | — | 77,000.0 | — | $152M | 100.0% |
| 2023 | — | 88,900.0 | — | $190M | 100.0% |
| 2022 | — | 69,900.0 | — | $159M | 100.0% |
| 2021 | — | 83,600.0 | — | $173M | 100.0% |
| 2020 | — | 59,000.0 | — | $110M | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 110,000.0 June | 88,900.0 | −19.2% | $159M | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 80,000.0 June | 88,000.0 | +10.0% | $168M | 100.0% |
| 2017 | — | 105,000.0 | — | $208M | 100.0% |
| 2016 | — | 54,000.0 | — | $118M | 100.0% |
| 2015 | — | 112,000.0 | — | $226M | 100.0% |
| 2014 | — | 108,000.0 | — | $267M | 100.0% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.
Utilization
Where the crop went
Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold