Washington · crop watch
Washington apricot crop
USDA's July forecast puts the 2026 crop at 2.5 thousand tons, down 41.2% from last year's final of 4.3.
2026 USDA forecast
USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for Washington apricot; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.
4.3
thousand tons, 2025 final
+57.4% against that season's first forecast.
Forecast reliability
±29.9%
Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.
Forecast record
How the forecast moved to final
Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.
| Crop year | First forecast (thousand tons) | Final | Revision | Crop value | Share of US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.5 July | pending | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 2.7 July | 4.3 | +57.4% | $7M | 11.1% |
| 2024 | 2.0 July | 1.0 | −50.0% | $3M | 3.0% |
| 2023 | 3.4 July | 3.5 | +3.5% | $6M | 9.8% |
| 2022 | 3.2 July | 3.2 | −1.3% | $4M | 10.9% |
| 2021 | 5.5 July | 3.5 | −37.1% | $3M | 8.7% |
| 2020 | 4.8 July | 1.9 | −60.0% | $4M | 6.1% |
| 2019 | 6.5 July | 3.8 | −41.5% | $5M | 6.9% |
| 2018 | 5.8 July | 5.6 | −4.3% | $6M | 13.5% |
| 2017 | — | 8.7 | — | $10M | 18.9% |
| 2016 | — | 8.1 | — | $8M | 12.6% |
| 2015 | — | 7.2 | — | — | 15.7% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.
Utilization
Where the crop went
Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.