California · crop watch
California asparagu crop
USDA last published a production estimate for the state in 2022, when the crop finished at 0.1 million cwt.
2018 USDA forecast
USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for California asparagu; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.
Forecast reliability
±27.4%
Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 2 completed seasons.
Forecast record
How the forecast moved to final
Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.
| Crop year | First forecast (million cwt) | Latest forecast | Final | Revision | Crop value | Share of US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | — | — | 0.1 | — | $16M | 13.5% |
| 2021 | — | — | 0.1 | — | $20M | 20.9% |
| 2020 | — | — | 0.1 | — | $14M | 13.5% |
| 2019 | — | — | 0.2 | — | $33M | 20.8% |
| 2018 | 0.2 August | 0.2 August | 0.2 | +52.3% | $35M | 27.4% |
| 2017 | 0.2 August | 0.2 August | 0.2 | −2.4% | $35M | 23.8% |
| 2016 | — | — | 0.2 | — | $30M | 25.9% |
| 2015 | — | — | 0.2 | — | $33M | 37.2% |
| 2014 | — | — | 0.3 | — | $40M | 45.9% |
| 2013 | — | — | 0.4 | — | $56M | 48.3% |
| 2012 | — | — | 0.4 | — | $48M | 48.4% |
| 2011 | — | — | 0.4 | — | $57M | 46.8% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.
Utilization
Where the crop went
Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.