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California · crop watch

California asparagu crop

USDA last published a production estimate for the state in 2022, when the crop finished at 0.1 million cwt.

August 2018 forecast

2018 USDA forecast

0.2million cwt

USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for California asparagu; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.

Forecast reliability

±27.4%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 2 completed seasons.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

California asparagu crop: USDA first forecast vs final00.10.20.30.4million cwt2011: no forecast · final 0.4 million cwt20112012: no forecast · final 0.4 million cwt20122013: no forecast · final 0.4 million cwt20132014: no forecast · final 0.3 million cwt20142015: no forecast · final 0.2 million cwt20152016: no forecast · final 0.2 million cwt20162017: Aug forecast 0.2 million cwt · final 0.2 million cwt (-2.4%)−2.4%20172018: Aug forecast 0.2 million cwt · final 0.2 million cwt (+52.3%)+52.3%20182019: no forecast · final 0.2 million cwt20192020: no forecast · final 0.1 million cwt20202021: no forecast · final 0.1 million cwt20212022: no forecast · final 0.1 million cwt2022
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million cwt)Latest forecastFinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
2022——0.1—$16M13.5%
2021——0.1—$20M20.9%
2020——0.1—$14M13.5%
2019——0.2—$33M20.8%
20180.2 August0.2 August0.2+52.3%$35M27.4%
20170.2 August0.2 August0.2−2.4%$35M23.8%
2016——0.2—$30M25.9%
2015——0.2—$33M37.2%
2014——0.3—$40M45.9%
2013——0.4—$56M48.3%
2012——0.4—$48M48.4%
2011——0.4—$57M46.8%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

California asparagu crop: fresh market vs processing00.10.20.30.4million cwt2011: fresh 0.4, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 100% fresh20112012: fresh 0.4, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 100% fresh20122013: fresh 0.4, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 100% fresh20132014: fresh 0.3, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 100% fresh20142015: fresh 0.2, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 100% fresh20152016: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 0% fresh20172018: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 0% fresh20182019: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt20192020: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt20202021: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 0% fresh20212022: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt2022
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Updated September 29, 2026

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