Washington · crop watch
Washington peach crop
USDA's August forecast puts the 2023 crop at 7.5 thousand tons, up 3.0% from last year's final of 7.3.
2023 USDA forecast
USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for Washington peach; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.
6.3
thousand tons, 2023 final
−16.5% against that season's first forecast.
Forecast reliability
±21.5%
Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.
Forecast record
How the forecast moved to final
Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.
| Crop year | First forecast (thousand tons) | Final | Revision | Crop value | Share of US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 7.5 August | 6.3 | −16.5% | $10M | 1.1% |
| 2022 | 7.5 August | 7.3 | −2.9% | $8M | 1.1% |
| 2021 | 10.0 August | 7.7 | −23.4% | $6M | 1.1% |
| 2020 | 12.5 August | 8.3 | −33.8% | $10M | 1.3% |
| 2019 | 16.0 August | 11.1 | −30.6% | $13M | 1.6% |
| 2018 | 13.5 August | 13.3 | −1.1% | $9M | 2.0% |
| 2017 | — | 12.8 | — | $12M | 1.8% |
| 2016 | — | 12.5 | — | $14M | 1.6% |
| 2015 | — | 12.9 | — | $14M | 1.5% |
| 2014 | — | 12.5 | — | $11M | 1.5% |
| 2013 | — | 13.1 | — | $10M | 1.4% |
| 2012 | — | 13.0 | — | $8M | 1.3% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.
Utilization
Where the crop went
Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.