Crop watch
Grapefruit by state
3 states have USDA production forecasts or finals.
2026 US crop forecast
313thousand tons
USDA's July estimate, up 2.0% from last year's final crop.
All states
Grapefruit at a glance
Every state USDA reports, with the latest weekly rating and its most recent production numbers.
| State | Good+excellent | vs 5-yr avg | Harvested | Latest forecast (thousand tons) | Last final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California | — | — | — | 172.0 2026 | 176.0 2026 |
| Texas | — | — | — | 84.0 2026 | 80.0 2025 |
| Florida | — | — | — | 57.0 2026 | 55.0 2025 |
Dashes mean USDA does not publish that series for the state. Weekly ratings run April through November.
National record
US grapefruit crop: forecast vs final
The national crop's first forecast against the final estimate, by year.
First forecastFinalFinal pending
| Crop year | First forecast (thousand tons) | Latest forecast | Final | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 311.0 January | 313.0 July | 317.0 | +1.9% |
| 2025 | 304.0 October | 307.0 July | 307.0 | +1.0% |
| 2024 | 309.0 October | 340.0 July | 328.0 | +6.1% |
| 2023 | 329.0 October | 334.0 July | 347.0 | +5.5% |
| 2022 | 442.0 October | 370.0 July | 374.0 | −15.4% |
| 2021 | 539.0 October | 446.0 July | 438.0 | −18.7% |
| 2020 | 592.0 October | 535.0 July | 570.0 | −3.7% |
| 2019 | 689.0 October | 616.0 July | 603.0 | −12.5% |
| 2018 | 588.0 October | 517.0 July | 509.0 | −13.4% |
| 2017 | 756.0 October | 684.0 July | 698.0 | −7.7% |
| 2016 | 823.0 October | 810.0 July | 803.0 | −2.4% |
| 2015 | 1,028.0 October | 926.0 July | 910.0 | −11.5% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.