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New Jersey · crop watch

New Jersey peach crop

Harvest stood at 95% complete. USDA's August forecast puts the 2022 crop at 7.5 thousand tons, down 40.2% from last year's final of 12.6.

August 2026 forecast

2026 USDA forecast

6.0thousand tons

USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for New Jersey peach; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.

–

95%

Harvested

As of Aug 14.

▲

15.6

thousand tons, 2025 final

+41.8% against that season's first forecast.

Analysis

Week ending Aug 9 — 7 weeks ago

New Jersey peach forecast falls sharply for 2026

New Jersey's peach crop condition was last rated for the week ending August 9, 2026, when USDA showed no acreage in the good or excellent categories, unchanged from the prior week. Forty-five percent of the crop was rated very poor and 45% poor, with the remaining 10% fair. USDA's August forecast put the 2026 crop at 6,000 tons, down 61.5% from last year's final total of 15.6 thousand tons and below the 14.7 thousand tons produced two years earlier. First estimates in this program have typically finished 6.9% smaller than the final number, meaning this crop could end up larger than the initial call. Harvest reached 77% complete by the week ending August 30.

This is the most recent reading USDA has published for this crop and state; it is not a current-week rating.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±25.0%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2022

No weekly ratings published for 2022.

Field progress

Green tip, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach green tip, 20220%50%100%Green tip, week ending Apr 10: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Apr 17: 0% (5-yr avg 41%, last year 0%)Green tip, week ending Apr 24: 100% (5-yr avg 52%, last year 0%)Green tip, week ending May 1: 100% (5-yr avg 54%, last year 0%)Apr 10Apr 17Apr 24May 1
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 100% as of May 1 (5-yr avg 54%).

Field progress

Pink, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach pink, 20220%50%100%Pink, week ending May 1: 30% (5-yr avg 28%, last year 0%)Pink, week ending May 8: 50% (5-yr avg 42%, last year 0%)Pink, week ending May 15: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)May 1May 8May 15
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 95% as of May 15.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach full bloom, 20220%50%100%Full bloom, week ending May 8: 35% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Full bloom, week ending May 15: 75% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Full bloom, week ending May 22: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)May 8May 15May 22
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 100% as of May 22.

Field progress

Petal fall, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach petal fall, 20220%50%100%Petal fall, week ending May 15: 40% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending May 22: 90% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Petal fall, week ending May 29: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)May 15May 22May 29
This year5-yr avgLast year

Petal fall: 95% as of May 29.

Field progress

Fruit set, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach fruit set, 20220%50%100%Fruit set, week ending May 22: 25% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending May 29: 35% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 5: 50% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 12: 75% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 19: 80% (5-yr avg —, last year 43%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 26: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 71%)Fruit set, week ending Jul 3: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 92%)May 22May 29Jun 5Jun 12Jun 19Jun 26Jul 3
This year5-yr avgLast year

Fruit set: 100% as of Jul 3.

Field progress

Harvested, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach harvested, 20220%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jul 17: 20% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Jul 24: 61% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Jul 31: 82% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Aug 7: 91% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Aug 14: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 67%)Jul 17Jul 24Jul 31Aug 7Aug 14
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 95% as of Aug 14.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

New Jersey peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final010203040thousand tons2015: no forecast · final 20.3 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 18.5 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 24.6 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 32.0 thousand tons · final 20.2 thousand tons (-36.9%)−36.9%20182019: Aug forecast 25.0 thousand tons · final 17.0 thousand tons (-32.0%)−32.0%20192020: Aug forecast 11.5 thousand tons · final 6.4 thousand tons (-44.3%)−44.3%20202021: Aug forecast 19.0 thousand tons · final 12.6 thousand tons (-33.9%)−33.9%20212022: Aug forecast 7.5 thousand tons · final 8.3 thousand tons (+10.0%)+10.0%20222023: Aug forecast 16.0 thousand tons · final 14.2 thousand tons (-11.3%)−11.3%20232024: Aug forecast 11.5 thousand tons · final 14.7 thousand tons (+27.8%)+27.8%20242025: Aug forecast 11.0 thousand tons · final 15.6 thousand tons (+41.8%)+41.8%20252026: Aug forecast 6.0 thousand tons · final pending2026
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
20266.0 Augustpending———
202511.0 August15.6+41.8%$25M2.2%
202411.5 August14.7+27.8%$18M2.1%
202316.0 August14.2−11.3%$29M2.4%
20227.5 August8.3+10.0%$17M1.3%
202119.0 August12.6−33.9%$33M1.8%
202011.5 August6.4−44.3%$18M1.0%
201925.0 August17.0−32.0%$22M2.5%
201832.0 August20.2−36.9%$36M3.1%
2017—24.6—$38M3.5%
2016—18.5—$26M2.3%
2015—20.3—$26M2.4%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

New Jersey peach crop: fresh market vs processing05101520thousand tons2014: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 0% fresh20172018: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons20182019: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 1.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20192020: fresh 6.4, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20202021: fresh 12.5, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20212022: fresh 8.3, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20222023: fresh 14.2, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20232024: fresh 14.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.7 thousand tons — 95% fresh20242025: fresh 15.6, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 100% fresh2025
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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