Crop watch
Oranges by state
3 states have USDA production forecasts or finals.
2026 US crop forecast
2,609thousand tons
USDA's July estimate, up 13.3% from last year's final crop.
All states
Oranges at a glance
Every state USDA reports, with the latest weekly rating and its most recent production numbers.
| State | Good+excellent | vs 5-yr avg | Harvested | Latest forecast (thousand tons) | Last final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California | — | — | — | 1,980.0 2026 | 1,712.0 2025 |
| Florida | — | — | — | 582.0 2026 | 583.0 2026 |
| Texas | — | — | — | 47.0 2026 | 37.0 2025 |
Dashes mean USDA does not publish that series for the state. Weekly ratings run April through November.
National record
US orange crop: forecast vs final
The national crop's first forecast against the final estimate, by year.
First forecastFinalFinal pending
| Crop year | First forecast (thousand tons) | Latest forecast | Final | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2,399.0 January | 2,609.0 July | 2,610.0 | +8.8% |
| 2025 | 2,619.0 October | 2,544.0 July | 2,302.0 | −12.1% |
| 2024 | 2,737.0 October | 2,758.0 July | 2,679.0 | −2.1% |
| 2023 | 3,193.0 October | 2,522.0 July | 2,544.0 | −20.3% |
| 2022 | 3,878.0 October | 3,811.0 July | 3,426.0 | −11.7% |
| 2021 | 4,649.0 October | 4,602.0 July | 4,388.0 | −5.6% |
| 2020 | 5,325.0 October | 5,141.0 July | 5,254.0 | −1.3% |
| 2019 | 5,618.0 October | 5,328.0 July | 5,427.0 | −3.4% |
| 2018 | 4,340.0 October | 3,863.0 July | 3,876.0 | −10.7% |
| 2017 | 5,228.0 October | 5,070.0 July | 5,088.0 | −2.7% |
| 2016 | 5,772.0 October | 5,920.0 July | 6,088.0 | +5.5% |
| 2015 | 6,964.0 October | 6,384.0 July | 6,353.0 | −8.8% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.