Crop watch
Tangerines by state
3 states have USDA production forecasts or finals.
2026 US crop forecast
1,262thousand tons
USDA's July estimate, up 2.2% from last year's final crop.
All states
Tangerines at a glance
Every state USDA reports, with the latest weekly rating and its most recent production numbers.
| State | Good+excellent | vs 5-yr avg | Harvested | Latest forecast (thousand tons) | Last final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California | — | — | — | 1,240.0 2026 | 1,216.0 2025 |
| Florida | — | — | — | 22.0 2026 | 19.0 2025 |
| Arizona | — | — | — | 9.0 2015 | 7.0 2015 |
Dashes mean USDA does not publish that series for the state. Weekly ratings run April through November.
National record
US tangerine crop: forecast vs final
The national crop's first forecast against the final estimate, by year.
First forecastFinalFinal pending
| Crop year | First forecast (thousand tons) | Latest forecast | Final | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1,099.0 January | 1,262.0 July | pending | — |
| 2025 | 1,019.0 October | 1,139.0 July | 1,235.0 | +21.2% |
| 2024 | 944.0 October | 981.0 July | 1,109.0 | +17.5% |
| 2023 | 833.0 October | 903.0 July | 963.0 | +15.6% |
| 2022 | 883.0 October | 836.0 July | 736.0 | −16.6% |
| 2021 | 972.0 October | 1,002.0 July | 1,194.0 | +22.8% |
| 2020 | 970.0 October | 888.0 July | 944.0 | −2.7% |
| 2019 | 977.0 October | 887.0 July | 1,107.0 | +13.3% |
| 2018 | 965.0 November | 836.0 July | 816.0 | −15.4% |
| 2017 | 997.0 October | 1,037.0 July | 1,029.0 | +3.2% |
| 2016 | 843.0 October | 948.0 July | 935.0 | +10.9% |
| 2015 | 782.0 October | 758.0 July | 863.0 | +10.4% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.