California · crop watch
California strawberry crop
The 2025 crop finished at 27.7 million cwt.
August 2018 forecast
2018 USDA forecast
28.9million cwt
USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for California strawberry; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.
27.7
million cwt, 2025 final
Final USDA estimate.
Forecast reliability
±14.2%
Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 2 completed seasons.
Forecast record
How the forecast moved to final
Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.
First forecastFinalFinal pending
| Crop year | First forecast (million cwt) | Latest forecast | Final | Revision | Crop value | Share of US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | — | — | 27.7 | — | $3,683M | 88.6% |
| 2024 | — | — | 29.0 | — | $3,457M | 89.7% |
| 2023 | — | — | 25.8 | — | $3,110M | 89.7% |
| 2022 | — | — | 25.7 | — | $2,782M | 90.1% |
| 2021 | — | — | 25.1 | — | $3,132M | 89.9% |
| 2020 | — | — | 24.4 | — | $2,267M | 91.2% |
| 2019 | — | — | 21.3 | — | $2,342M | 88.8% |
| 2018 | 28.9 August | 28.9 August | 24.0 | −17.1% | $2,179M | 90.6% |
| 2017 | 27.7 August | 27.7 August | 24.6 | −11.3% | $2,531M | 90.3% |
| 2016 | — | — | 27.1 | — | $2,850M | 91.6% |
| 2015 | — | — | 27.7 | — | $1,875M | 90.4% |
| 2014 | — | — | 27.6 | — | $2,438M | 91.3% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.
Utilization
Where the crop went
Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold