New York · crop watch
New York strawberry crop
USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 0.0 million cwt, down 34.6% from last year's final of 0.0.
2018 USDA forecast
USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for New York strawberry; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.
Forecast reliability
±38.0%
Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 2 completed seasons.
Forecast record
How the forecast moved to final
Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.
| Crop year | First forecast (million cwt) | Latest forecast | Final | Revision | Crop value | Share of US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 0.0 August | 0.0 August | 0.0 | −2.6% | $6M | 0.1% |
| 2017 | 0.0 August | 0.0 August | 0.0 | +73.3% | $10M | 0.2% |
| 2016 | — | — | 0.1 | — | $12M | 0.2% |
| 2015 | — | — | 0.0 | — | $7M | 0.1% |
| 2014 | — | — | 0.0 | — | $8M | 0.1% |
| 2013 | — | — | 0.0 | — | $8M | 0.1% |
| 2012 | — | — | 0.0 | — | $7M | 0.1% |
| 2011 | — | — | 0.0 | — | $8M | 0.1% |
| 2010 | — | — | 0.0 | — | $7M | 0.1% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.
Utilization
Where the crop went
Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.