Crop watch
Strawberries by state
9 states report weekly strawberry condition ratings to USDA; the latest week ends Jul 12. 21 states have USDA production forecasts or finals.
2018 US crop forecast
USDA's August estimate, up 16.6% from last year's final crop.
100%
Connecticut, best rated
Good or excellent this week.
38%
North Carolina, lowest rated
Good or excellent this week.
Analysis
Week ending Jul 12 — 11 weeks ago
US strawberry forecast rises 16.6% for 2018 crop
For the week ending July 12, only two of the nine weekly-reporting states posted condition figures. Connecticut's crop rated 100% good to excellent with harvest 96% complete. North Carolina rated lower, at 38% good to excellent. USDA's 2018 forecast, released in August 2018, put the national crop at 31.7 million cwt, up 16.6% from the prior year. California's latest forecast of 28.9 million cwt compared with a 27.7 million cwt final logged for 2025, while Florida's 2.5 million cwt forecast sat well below its 3.6 million cwt 2025 final. Watch upcoming weekly reports for condition data from the larger producing states.
This is the most recent reading USDA has published for this crop and state; it is not a current-week rating.
Reporting states
9
States filing weekly strawberry condition ratings with USDA this season. The rest publish annual estimates only.
Condition map
Where the crop stands
Good plus excellent share for the latest reporting week. Select a state to open its page.
Against the average
Good to excellent by state
Bar is this week's good plus excellent share; the tick marks that state's five-year average for the same week. Bars turn amber more than five points below average.
Season shape
Every reporting state, this season
Good plus excellent through the 2026 season. The dashed line is each state's own five-year average.
producewire.net
All states
Strawberries at a glance
Every state USDA reports, with the latest weekly rating and its most recent production numbers.
| State | Good+excellent | vs 5-yr avg | Harvested | Latest forecast (million cwt) | Last final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut | 100% | — | 96% | — | — |
| Massachusetts | 100% | — | 85% | — | — |
| New Hampshire | 100% | — | 90% | — | — |
| Rhode Island | 100% | — | 100% | — | — |
| Maine | 78% | — | 70% | — | — |
| Vermont | 64% | — | 97% | — | — |
| Kentucky | 57% | — | — | — | — |
| Tennessee | 51% | −16 | — | — | — |
| North Carolina | 38% | — | — | 0.1 2018 | 0.1 2018 |
| California | — | — | — | 28.9 2018 | 27.7 2025 |
| Florida | — | — | — | 2.5 2018 | 3.6 2025 |
| Oregon | — | — | — | 0.1 2018 | 0.1 2018 |
| Washington | — | — | — | 0.1 2018 | 0.1 2018 |
| Pennsylvania | — | — | — | — | 0.0 2015 |
| Wisconsin | — | — | — | — | 0.0 2015 |
| New York | — | — | — | 0.0 2018 | 0.0 2018 |
| Michigan | — | — | — | — | 0.0 2015 |
| Ohio | — | — | — | — | 0.0 2015 |
| Delaware | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maryland | — | — | — | — | — |
| Other states | — | — | — | 0.0 2017 | 0.0 2022 |
Dashes mean USDA does not publish that series for the state. Weekly ratings run April through November.
National record
US strawberry crop: forecast vs final
The national crop's first forecast against the final estimate, by year.
| Crop year | First forecast (million cwt) | Latest forecast | Final | Revision | Crop value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | — | — | 31.3 | — | $4,398M |
| 2024 | — | — | 32.3 | — | $3,989M |
| 2023 | — | — | 28.8 | — | $3,544M |
| 2022 | — | — | 28.5 | — | $3,259M |
| 2021 | — | — | 27.9 | — | $3,584M |
| 2020 | — | — | 26.7 | — | $2,592M |
| 2019 | — | — | 24.0 | — | $2,750M |
| 2018 | 31.8 August | 31.7 August | 26.5 | −16.6% | $2,472M |
| 2017 | 30.5 August | 30.5 August | 27.2 | −10.9% | $2,896M |
| 2016 | — | — | 29.6 | — | $3,244M |
| 2015 | — | — | 30.7 | — | $2,239M |
| 2014 | — | — | 30.2 | — | $2,822M |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.