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Florida · crop watch

Florida strawberry crop

The 2025 crop finished at 3.6 million cwt.

August 2018 forecast

2018 USDA forecast

2.5million cwt

USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for Florida strawberry; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.

–

3.6

million cwt, 2025 final

Final USDA estimate.

Forecast reliability

±14.5%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 2 completed seasons.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Florida strawberry crop: USDA first forecast vs final01234million cwt2014: no forecast · final 2.1 million cwt20142015: no forecast · final 2.4 million cwt20152016: no forecast · final 1.9 million cwt20162017: Aug forecast 2.5 million cwt · final 2.1 million cwt (-14.7%)−14.7%20172018: Aug forecast 2.5 million cwt · final 2.1 million cwt (-14.3%)−14.3%20182019: no forecast · final 2.7 million cwt20192020: no forecast · final 2.3 million cwt20202021: no forecast · final 2.8 million cwt20212022: no forecast · final 2.8 million cwt20222023: no forecast · final 3.0 million cwt20232024: no forecast · final 3.3 million cwt20242025: no forecast · final 3.6 million cwt2025
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million cwt)Latest forecastFinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
2025——3.6—$714M11.4%
2024——3.3—$533M10.3%
2023——3.0—$434M10.3%
2022——2.8—$477M9.9%
2021——2.8—$452M10.1%
2020——2.3—$325M8.8%
2019——2.7—$408M11.2%
20182.5 August2.5 August2.1−14.3%$244M8.0%
20172.5 August2.5 August2.1−14.7%$299M7.9%
2016——1.9—$323M6.6%
2015——2.4—$291M8.0%
2014——2.1—$307M6.8%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

Florida strawberry crop: fresh market vs processing0123million cwt2014: fresh 2.1, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 100% fresh20142015: fresh 2.4, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 100% fresh20152016: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt20172018: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt20182019: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt20192020: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 0% fresh20202021: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt20212022: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt20222023: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 0% fresh20232024: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 million cwt — 0% fresh20242025: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 0% fresh2025
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Updated September 29, 2026

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