Oregon · crop watch
Oregon strawberry crop
USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 0.1 million cwt, down 45.4% from last year's final of 0.2.
2018 USDA forecast
USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for Oregon strawberry; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.
Forecast reliability
±67.8%
Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 2 completed seasons.
Forecast record
How the forecast moved to final
Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.
| Crop year | First forecast (million cwt) | Latest forecast | Final | Revision | Crop value | Share of US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 0.1 August | 0.1 August | 0.1 | 0.0% | $12M | 0.4% |
| 2017 | 0.1 August | 0.1 August | 0.2 | +135.5% | $22M | 0.7% |
| 2016 | — | — | 0.2 | — | $20M | 0.8% |
| 2015 | — | — | 0.2 | — | $13M | 0.5% |
| 2014 | — | — | 0.2 | — | $13M | 0.5% |
| 2013 | — | — | 0.2 | — | $11M | 0.5% |
| 2012 | — | — | 0.2 | — | $15M | 0.7% |
| 2011 | — | — | 0.2 | — | $15M | 0.8% |
| 2010 | — | — | 0.2 | — | $16M | 0.8% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.
Utilization
Where the crop went
Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.