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Oregon · crop watch

Oregon strawberry crop

USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 0.1 million cwt, down 45.4% from last year's final of 0.2.

August 2018 forecast

2018 USDA forecast

0.1million cwt

USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for Oregon strawberry; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.

Forecast reliability

±67.8%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 2 completed seasons.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Oregon strawberry crop: USDA first forecast vs final00.10.20.3million cwt2010: no forecast · final 0.2 million cwt20102011: no forecast · final 0.2 million cwt20112012: no forecast · final 0.2 million cwt20122013: no forecast · final 0.2 million cwt20132014: no forecast · final 0.2 million cwt20142015: no forecast · final 0.2 million cwt20152016: no forecast · final 0.2 million cwt20162017: Aug forecast 0.1 million cwt · final 0.2 million cwt (+135.5%)+135.5%20172018: Aug forecast 0.1 million cwt · final 0.1 million cwt (+0.0%)+0.0%2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million cwt)Latest forecastFinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
20180.1 August0.1 August0.10.0%$12M0.4%
20170.1 August0.1 August0.2+135.5%$22M0.7%
2016——0.2—$20M0.8%
2015——0.2—$13M0.5%
2014——0.2—$13M0.5%
2013——0.2—$11M0.5%
2012——0.2—$15M0.7%
2011——0.2—$15M0.8%
2010——0.2—$16M0.8%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

Oregon strawberry crop: fresh market vs processing00.10.20.3million cwt2010: fresh 0.0, processing 0.2, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 16% fresh20102011: fresh 0.0, processing 0.2, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 12% fresh20112012: fresh 0.0, processing 0.2, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 16% fresh20122013: fresh 0.0, processing 0.1, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 13% fresh20132014: fresh 0.0, processing 0.1, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 16% fresh20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.1, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 13% fresh20152016: fresh 0.0, processing 0.1, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 0% fresh20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt20172018: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 0% fresh2018
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Updated September 29, 2026

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