Crop watch
Lemons by state
3 states have USDA production forecasts or finals.
2026 US crop forecast
1,110thousand tons
USDA's July estimate, down 1.9% from last year's final crop.
All states
Lemons at a glance
Every state USDA reports, with the latest weekly rating and its most recent production numbers.
| State | Good+excellent | vs 5-yr avg | Harvested | Latest forecast (thousand tons) | Last final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California | — | — | — | 1,040.0 2026 | 1,056.0 2025 |
| Arizona | — | — | — | 29.0 2026 | 45.0 2025 |
| Florida | — | — | — | 41.0 2026 | 30.0 2025 |
Dashes mean USDA does not publish that series for the state. Weekly ratings run April through November.
National record
US lemon crop: forecast vs final
The national crop's first forecast against the final estimate, by year.
First forecastFinalFinal pending
| Crop year | First forecast (thousand tons) | Latest forecast | Final | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1,078.0 January | 1,110.0 July | pending | — |
| 2025 | 1,099.0 October | 1,155.0 July | 1,131.0 | +2.9% |
| 2024 | 980.0 October | 1,078.0 July | 1,018.0 | +3.9% |
| 2023 | 966.0 October | 856.0 July | 1,088.0 | +12.6% |
| 2022 | 892.0 October | 972.0 July | 1,058.0 | +18.6% |
| 2021 | 932.0 October | 920.0 July | 886.0 | −4.9% |
| 2020 | 856.0 October | 916.0 July | 1,084.0 | +26.6% |
| 2019 | 856.0 October | 896.0 July | 1,002.0 | +17.1% |
| 2018 | 904.0 October | 872.0 July | 888.0 | −1.8% |
| 2017 | 912.0 October | 826.0 July | 882.0 | −3.3% |
| 2016 | 844.0 October | 934.0 July | 904.0 | +7.1% |
| 2015 | 840.0 October | 880.0 July | 904.0 | +7.6% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.