Massachusetts · crop watch
Massachusetts cranberry crop
USDA's August forecast puts the 2026 crop at 1,900.0 thousand barrels, down 1.3% from last year's final of 1,925.0.
2026 USDA forecast
USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for Massachusetts cranberry; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.
1,925
thousand barrels, 2025 final
+10.0% against that season's first forecast.
Forecast reliability
±9.0%
Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.
Forecast record
How the forecast moved to final
Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.
| Crop year | First forecast (thousand barrels) | Final | Revision | Crop value | Share of US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1,900.0 August | pending | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 1,750.0 August | 1,925.0 | +10.0% | $64M | 25.6% |
| 2024 | 2,200.0 August | 2,245.0 | +2.0% | $81M | 25.7% |
| 2023 | 2,000.0 August | 1,970.0 | −1.5% | $71M | 24.3% |
| 2022 | 2,000.0 August | 2,255.0 | +12.8% | $82M | 28.1% |
| 2021 | 2,100.0 August | 1,710.0 | −18.6% | $63M | 25.1% |
| 2020 | 2,400.0 August | 2,055.0 | −14.4% | $73M | 26.2% |
| 2019 | 2,300.0 August | 2,160.0 | −6.1% | $72M | 27.7% |
| 2018 | 1,895.0 August | 2,290.0 | +20.8% | $61M | 25.8% |
| 2017 | — | 1,911.4 | — | $60M | 22.8% |
| 2016 | — | 2,268.0 | — | $69M | 23.6% |
| 2015 | — | 2,352.0 | — | $77M | 27.5% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.
Utilization
Where the crop went
Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.