Wisconsin · crop watch
Wisconsin cranberry crop
USDA's August forecast puts the 2026 crop at 4,800.0 thousand barrels, up 4.2% from last year's final of 4,605.0.
2026 USDA forecast
USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for Wisconsin cranberry; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.
4,605
thousand barrels, 2025 final
−13.1% against that season's first forecast.
Forecast reliability
±11.8%
Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.
Forecast record
How the forecast moved to final
Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.
| Crop year | First forecast (thousand barrels) | Final | Revision | Crop value | Share of US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4,800.0 August | pending | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 5,300.0 August | 4,605.0 | −13.1% | $172M | 61.3% |
| 2024 | 4,900.0 August | 5,350.0 | +9.2% | $209M | 61.2% |
| 2023 | 4,600.0 August | 5,010.0 | +8.9% | $190M | 61.8% |
| 2022 | 4,300.0 August | 4,800.0 | +11.6% | $185M | 59.7% |
| 2021 | 4,700.0 August | 3,945.0 | −16.1% | $156M | 57.8% |
| 2020 | 5,500.0 August | 4,665.0 | −15.2% | $174M | 59.5% |
| 2019 | 5,600.0 August | 4,555.0 | −18.7% | $159M | 58.3% |
| 2018 | 5,500.0 August | 5,515.0 | +0.3% | $155M | 62.1% |
| 2017 | — | 5,372.0 | — | $156M | 64.0% |
| 2016 | — | 6,130.0 | — | $177M | 63.7% |
| 2015 | — | 4,856.0 | — | $140M | 56.7% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.
Utilization
Where the crop went
Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.