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Washington · crop watch

Washington cranberry crop

USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 168.0 thousand barrels, up 13.8% from last year's final of 147.7.

August 2018 forecast

2018 USDA forecast

168thousand barrels

USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for Washington cranberry; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Washington cranberry crop: USDA first forecast vs final050100150200thousand barrels2010: no forecast · final 108.2 thousand barrels20102011: no forecast · final 115.7 thousand barrels20112012: no forecast · final 137.0 thousand barrels20122013: no forecast · final 152.0 thousand barrels20132014: no forecast · final 156.0 thousand barrels20142015: no forecast · final 198.0 thousand barrels20152016: no forecast · final 175.4 thousand barrels20162017: no forecast · final 147.7 thousand barrels20172018: Aug forecast 168.0 thousand barrels · final pending2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand barrels)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
2018168.0 Augustpending———
2017—147.7—$6M1.8%
2016—175.4—$8M1.8%
2015—198.0—$9M2.3%
2014—156.0—$7M1.9%
2013—152.0—$7M1.7%
2012—137.0—$9M1.7%
2011—115.7—$6M1.5%
2010—108.2—$6M1.6%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

Washington cranberry crop: fresh market vs processing050100150200thousand barrels2010: fresh 27.2, processing 81.0, not sold 0.0 thousand barrels — 25% fresh20102011: fresh 20.5, processing 95.2, not sold 0.0 thousand barrels — 18% fresh20112012: fresh 41.0, processing 96.0, not sold 0.0 thousand barrels — 30% fresh20122013: fresh 40.0, processing 112.0, not sold 0.0 thousand barrels — 26% fresh20132014: fresh 55.0, processing 101.0, not sold 0.0 thousand barrels — 35% fresh20142015: fresh 67.2, processing 130.8, not sold 0.0 thousand barrels — 34% fresh20152016: fresh 58.1, processing 116.9, not sold 0.4 thousand barrels — 33% fresh20162017: fresh 53.0, processing 94.6, not sold 0.1 thousand barrels — 36% fresh2017
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Updated September 29, 2026

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