New Jersey · crop watch
New Jersey cranberry crop
USDA's August forecast puts the 2026 crop at 610.0 thousand barrels, up 35.9% from last year's final of 449.0.
2026 USDA forecast
USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for New Jersey cranberry; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.
449
thousand barrels, 2025 final
−13.7% against that season's first forecast.
Forecast reliability
±12.3%
Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.
Forecast record
How the forecast moved to final
Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.
| Crop year | First forecast (thousand barrels) | Final | Revision | Crop value | Share of US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 610.0 August | pending | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 520.0 August | 449.0 | −13.7% | $16M | 6.0% |
| 2024 | 580.0 August | 547.0 | −5.7% | $21M | 6.3% |
| 2023 | 550.0 August | 580.0 | +5.5% | $21M | 7.2% |
| 2022 | 590.0 August | 563.0 | −4.6% | $20M | 7.0% |
| 2021 | 490.0 August | 647.0 | +32.0% | $26M | 9.5% |
| 2020 | 540.0 August | 534.0 | −1.1% | $21M | 6.8% |
| 2019 | 570.0 August | 537.0 | −5.8% | $19M | 6.9% |
| 2018 | 556.0 August | 498.0 | −10.4% | $14M | 5.6% |
| 2017 | — | 473.3 | — | $17M | 5.6% |
| 2016 | — | 653.0 | — | $28M | 6.8% |
| 2015 | — | 595.0 | — | $21M | 6.9% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.
Utilization
Where the crop went
Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.