Crop watch
Grapes by state
1 state report weekly grape condition ratings to USDA; the latest week ends Sep 27. 14 states have USDA production forecasts or finals.
2026 US crop forecast
USDA's August estimate, down 1.3% from last year's final crop.
Analysis
Week ending Sep 27
US 2026 grape forecast falls 1.3%
For the week ended September 27, New York rated 39% of its grape crop good to excellent, with harvest 30% complete. USDA's August forecast put the 2026 US crop at 5,167 thousand tons, down 1.3% from last year. State forecasts point the same way: New York's 170 thousand tons would sit well below last year's 195.5 thousand ton final, Oregon's 92 thousand tons compares with a 109 thousand ton final, Washington's 255 thousand tons versus 259 last year, and California's 4,650 thousand tons versus 4,670. Watch New York's harvest pace and the next USDA production report for confirmation of the smaller national crop.
Reporting states
1
States filing weekly grape condition ratings with USDA this season. The rest publish annual estimates only.
Condition map
Where the crop stands
Good plus excellent share for the latest reporting week. Select a state to open its page.
Against the average
Good to excellent by state
Bar is this week's good plus excellent share; the tick marks that state's five-year average for the same week. Bars turn amber more than five points below average.
All states
Grapes at a glance
Every state USDA reports, with the latest weekly rating and its most recent production numbers.
| State | Good+excellent | vs 5-yr avg | Harvested | Latest forecast (thousand tons) | Last final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | 39% | — | 30% | 170.0 2026 | 195.5 2025 |
| California | — | — | — | 4,650.0 2026 | 4,670.0 2025 |
| Washington | — | — | — | 255.0 2026 | 259.0 2025 |
| Oregon | — | — | — | 92.0 2026 | 109.0 2025 |
| Pennsylvania | — | — | — | 95.0 2018 | 91.7 2017 |
| Michigan | — | — | — | 70.0 2018 | 63.6 2017 |
| Texas | — | — | — | 11.0 2018 | 11.8 2017 |
| Virginia | — | — | — | 8.5 2018 | 8.8 2017 |
| North Carolina | — | — | — | 6.5 2018 | 7.2 2017 |
| Missouri | — | — | — | 5.0 2018 | 6.1 2017 |
| Georgia | — | — | — | — | 5.0 2015 |
| Ohio | — | — | — | 5.0 2018 | 4.6 2017 |
| Arkansas | — | — | — | — | 1.5 2015 |
| Other states | — | — | — | 0.0 2025 | 0.0 2025 |
Dashes mean USDA does not publish that series for the state. Weekly ratings run April through November.
National record
US grape crop: forecast vs final
The national crop's first forecast against the final estimate, by year.
| Crop year | First forecast (thousand tons) | Final | Revision | Crop value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5,167.0 August | pending | — | — |
| 2025 | 5,590.0 August | 5,233.5 | −6.4% | $5,831M |
| 2024 | 6,365.0 August | 5,412.0 | −15.0% | $6,195M |
| 2023 | 6,285.0 August | 5,899.5 | −6.1% | $6,834M |
| 2022 | 5,985.0 August | 5,962.5 | −0.4% | $5,996M |
| 2021 | 6,470.0 August | 6,034.0 | −6.7% | $5,510M |
| 2020 | 7,180.0 August | 6,039.5 | −15.9% | $4,791M |
| 2019 | 7,500.0 August | 6,963.0 | −7.2% | $5,707M |
| 2018 | 7,659.0 August | 7,598.0 | −0.8% | $6,622M |
| 2017 | — | 7,383.9 | — | $6,508M |
| 2016 | — | 7,697.0 | — | $6,294M |
| 2015 | — | 7,621.2 | — | $5,914M |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.