Oregon · crop watch
Oregon grape crop
USDA's August forecast puts the 2026 crop at 92.0 thousand tons, down 15.6% from last year's final of 109.0.
2026 USDA forecast
USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for Oregon grape; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.
109
thousand tons, 2025 final
−0.9% against that season's first forecast.
Analysis
Latest USDA forecast, August 2026
Oregon grape forecast down 15.6% from last year
USDA's first 2026 forecast puts Oregon's grape crop at 92,000 tons, down 15.6% from last year's final of 109,000 tons and below the 112,000 tons produced two years ago. The figure released in August marks the season's opening estimate, with no revision yet applied. Historically, Oregon grape forecasts have finished 8.5% above their first call, so growers and buyers have typically seen the final number land higher than the initial read. Where this year's crop settles will depend on later USDA updates as harvest progresses.
Forecast reliability
±9.4%
Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 2 completed seasons.
Forecast record
How the forecast moved to final
Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.
| Crop year | First forecast (thousand tons) | Final | Revision | Crop value | Share of US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 92.0 August | pending | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 110.0 August | 109.0 | −0.9% | $260M | 2.1% |
| 2024 | 95.0 August | 112.0 | +17.9% | $263M | 2.1% |
| 2018 | 78.0 August | pending | — | — | — |
| 2017 | — | 77.0 | — | $172M | 1.0% |
| 2016 | — | 67.0 | — | $143M | 0.9% |
| 2015 | — | 72.0 | — | $151M | 0.9% |
| 2014 | — | 58.0 | — | $118M | 0.7% |
| 2013 | — | 49.0 | — | $107M | 0.6% |
| 2012 | — | 46.0 | — | $94M | 0.6% |
| 2011 | — | 41.5 | — | $81M | 0.6% |
| 2010 | — | 31.2 | — | $63M | 0.4% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.
Utilization
Where the crop went
Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.