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Pennsylvania · crop watch

Pennsylvania grape crop

USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 95.0 thousand tons, up 3.6% from last year's final of 91.7.

August 2018 forecast

2018 USDA forecast

95.0thousand tons

USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for Pennsylvania grape; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Pennsylvania grape crop: USDA first forecast vs final050100150thousand tons2010: no forecast · final 83.0 thousand tons20102011: no forecast · final 91.0 thousand tons20112012: no forecast · final 61.0 thousand tons20122013: no forecast · final 110.0 thousand tons20132014: no forecast · final 91.0 thousand tons20142015: no forecast · final 77.0 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 85.8 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 91.7 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 95.0 thousand tons · final pending2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
201895.0 Augustpending———
2017—91.7—$26M1.2%
2016—85.8—$27M1.1%
2015—77.0—$25M1.0%
2014—91.0—$28M1.2%
2013—110.0—$34M1.3%
2012—61.0—$20M0.8%
2011—91.0—$27M1.2%
2010—83.0—$25M1.1%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

Pennsylvania grape crop: fresh market vs processing050100150thousand tons2010: fresh 0.3, processing 81.7, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 0% fresh20102011: fresh 0.4, processing 86.6, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 0% fresh20112012: fresh 0.3, processing 58.7, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 1% fresh20122013: fresh 0.8, processing 105.2, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 1% fresh20132014: fresh 1.7, processing 87.3, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 2% fresh20142015: fresh 1.5, processing 75.5, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 2% fresh20152016: fresh 1.0, processing 82.8, not sold 2.0 thousand tons — 1% fresh20162017: fresh 0.5, processing 90.8, not sold 0.4 thousand tons — 1% fresh2017
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Updated September 29, 2026

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