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Texas · crop watch

Texas grape crop

USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 11.0 thousand tons, down 6.5% from last year's final of 11.8.

August 2018 forecast

2018 USDA forecast

11.0thousand tons

USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for Texas grape; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Texas grape crop: USDA first forecast vs final051015thousand tons2010: no forecast · final 8.9 thousand tons20102011: no forecast · final 5.3 thousand tons20112012: no forecast · final 9.6 thousand tons20122013: no forecast · final 7.2 thousand tons20132014: no forecast · final 9.4 thousand tons20142015: no forecast · final 11.4 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 13.6 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 11.8 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 11.0 thousand tons · final pending2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
201811.0 Augustpending———
2017—11.8—$19M0.2%
2016—13.6—$21M0.2%
2015—11.4—$18M0.1%
2014—9.4—$13M0.1%
2013—7.2—$11M0.1%
2012—9.6—$14M0.1%
2011—5.3—$7M0.1%
2010—8.9—$11M0.1%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

Texas grape crop: fresh market vs processing051015thousand tons2010: fresh 0.4, processing 8.1, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 5% fresh20102011: fresh 0.8, processing 3.8, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 17% fresh20112012: fresh 0.2, processing 9.3, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 2% fresh20122013: fresh 0.1, processing 6.9, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 2% fresh20132014: fresh 0.2, processing 8.7, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 2% fresh20142015: fresh 0.1, processing 11.3, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 1% fresh20152016: fresh 0.3, processing 13.2, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 2% fresh20162017: fresh 0.2, processing 11.5, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 2% fresh2017
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Updated September 29, 2026

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