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North Carolina · crop watch

North Carolina peach crop

USDA last rated the 2021 North Carolina peach crop for the week ending Jul 18, when 26% was good or excellent. Harvest stood at 99% complete (five-year average 99%). USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 4.6 thousand tons, up 164.4% from last year's final of 1.7.

Last rated week ending Jul 18, 2021

Good to excellent · last reading

26%of the crop

Share of the 2021 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Jul 18.

=

99%

Harvested

0 points against the five-year pace of 99%.

▲

4.6

thousand tons, 2018 forecast

+164.4% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Jul 19 — 10 weeks ago

North Carolina peach condition dropped sharply in July

North Carolina's peach crop was rated in the week ending July 19, 2026, with only 7% good to excellent, a drop of 16 points from the prior week and the lowest reading of the 12 weeks USDA rated this season. Very poor and poor ratings covered nearly half the crop. By August 30, harvest reached 89% complete, ahead of the five-year average of 85% but behind last year's 95% pace at the same date. USDA's August 2018 forecast put the crop at 4.6 thousand tons, up 164.4% from last year's final of 1.7 thousand tons.

This is the most recent reading USDA has published for this crop and state; it is not a current-week rating.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2021

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
North Carolina peach crop condition, 20210%25%50%75%100%Week ending May 16: Very poor 4%, Poor 11%, Fair 14%, Good 63%, Excellent 8% — good+excellent 71% (5-yr avg —, last year 78%)Week ending May 23: Very poor 2%, Poor 10%, Fair 18%, Good 66%, Excellent 4% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg —, last year 77%)Week ending May 30: Very poor 5%, Poor 23%, Fair 33%, Good 35%, Excellent 4% — good+excellent 39% (5-yr avg 54%, last year 72%)Week ending Jun 6: Very poor 3%, Poor 30%, Fair 38%, Good 26%, Excellent 3% — good+excellent 29% (5-yr avg 55%, last year 69%)Week ending Jun 13: Very poor 0%, Poor 10%, Fair 30%, Good 57%, Excellent 3% — good+excellent 60% (5-yr avg 48%, last year 66%)Week ending Jun 20: Very poor 0%, Poor 10%, Fair 32%, Good 55%, Excellent 3% — good+excellent 58% (5-yr avg 50%, last year 68%)Week ending Jun 27: Very poor 0%, Poor 8%, Fair 23%, Good 69%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 69% (5-yr avg 52%, last year 74%)Week ending Jul 4: Very poor 4%, Poor 14%, Fair 31%, Good 42%, Excellent 9% — good+excellent 51% (5-yr avg 52%, last year 76%)Week ending Jul 11: Very poor 0%, Poor 20%, Fair 38%, Good 41%, Excellent 1% — good+excellent 42% (5-yr avg 52%, last year 73%)Week ending Jul 18: Very poor 0%, Poor 29%, Fair 45%, Good 25%, Excellent 1% — good+excellent 26% (5-yr avg —, last year —)−31 pts — week ending May 30−31 ptsHarvest begins — week ending Jun 6Harvest beginsUSDA forecast — week ending Jul 18USDA forecastMay 16May 30Jun 13Jun 27Jul 11
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 26% good or excellent, week ending Jul 18. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Harvested, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

North Carolina peach harvested, 20210%50%100%Harvested, week ending May 30: 0% (5-yr avg 2%, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Jun 6: 5% (5-yr avg 5%, last year 6%)Harvested, week ending Jun 13: 13% (5-yr avg 10%, last year 19%)Harvested, week ending Jun 20: 21% (5-yr avg 17%, last year 28%)Harvested, week ending Jun 27: 28% (5-yr avg 24%, last year 33%)Harvested, week ending Jul 4: 32% (5-yr avg 30%, last year 37%)Harvested, week ending Jul 11: 35% (5-yr avg 38%, last year 42%)Harvested, week ending Jul 18: 44% (5-yr avg 44%, last year 45%)Harvested, week ending Jul 25: 50% (5-yr avg 53%, last year 54%)Harvested, week ending Aug 1: 57% (5-yr avg 61%, last year 61%)Harvested, week ending Aug 8: 62% (5-yr avg 68%, last year 66%)Harvested, week ending Aug 15: 68% (5-yr avg 75%, last year 73%)Harvested, week ending Aug 22: 75% (5-yr avg 81%, last year 77%)Harvested, week ending Aug 29: 78% (5-yr avg 86%, last year 81%)Harvested, week ending Sep 5: 84% (5-yr avg 90%, last year 86%)Harvested, week ending Sep 12: 91% (5-yr avg 94%, last year 92%)Harvested, week ending Sep 19: 95% (5-yr avg 97%, last year 96%)Harvested, week ending Sep 26: 97% (5-yr avg 98%, last year 97%)Harvested, week ending Oct 3: 99% (5-yr avg 99%, last year 98%)May 30Jun 20Jul 11Aug 1Aug 22Sep 12Oct 3
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 99% as of Oct 3 (5-yr avg 99%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

North Carolina peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final0246thousand tons2010: no forecast · final 5.5 thousand tons20102011: no forecast · final 5.3 thousand tons20112012: no forecast · final 5.3 thousand tons20122013: no forecast · final 6.0 thousand tons20132014: no forecast · final 4.4 thousand tons20142015: no forecast · final 4.5 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 2.7 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 1.7 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 4.6 thousand tons · final pending2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
20184.6 Augustpending———
2017—1.7—$3M0.2%
2016—2.7—$3M0.3%
2015—4.5—$6M0.5%
2014—4.4—$6M0.5%
2013—6.0—$6M0.7%
2012—5.3—$6M0.5%
2011—5.3—$5M0.5%
2010—5.5—$6M0.5%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

North Carolina peach crop: fresh market vs processing0123thousand tons2011: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20112012: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20122013: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20132014: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 2.7, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20162017: fresh 1.7, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh2017
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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