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North Carolina · crop watch

North Carolina peach crop

USDA last rated the 2025 North Carolina peach crop for the week ending Jul 13, when 25% was good or excellent, versus 49% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 96% complete (five-year average 83%). USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 4.6 thousand tons, up 164.4% from last year's final of 1.7.

Last rated week ending Jul 13, 2025

Good to excellent · last reading

25%of the crop

Share of the 2025 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Jul 13.

▲

96%

Harvested

+13 points against the five-year pace of 83%.

▲

4.6

thousand tons, 2018 forecast

+164.4% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Jul 19 — 10 weeks ago

North Carolina peach condition dropped sharply in July

North Carolina's peach crop was rated in the week ending July 19, 2026, with only 7% good to excellent, a drop of 16 points from the prior week and the lowest reading of the 12 weeks USDA rated this season. Very poor and poor ratings covered nearly half the crop. By August 30, harvest reached 89% complete, ahead of the five-year average of 85% but behind last year's 95% pace at the same date. USDA's August 2018 forecast put the crop at 4.6 thousand tons, up 164.4% from last year's final of 1.7 thousand tons.

This is the most recent reading USDA has published for this crop and state; it is not a current-week rating.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2025

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
North Carolina peach crop condition, 20250%25%50%75%100%Week ending May 4: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 14%, Good 85%, Excellent 1% — good+excellent 86% (5-yr avg —, last year 87%)Week ending May 11: Very poor 0%, Poor 4%, Fair 38%, Good 52%, Excellent 6% — good+excellent 58% (5-yr avg 59%, last year 73%)Week ending May 18: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 43%, Good 57%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 57% (5-yr avg 56%, last year 61%)Week ending May 25: Very poor 0%, Poor 4%, Fair 42%, Good 48%, Excellent 6% — good+excellent 54% (5-yr avg 49%, last year 70%)Week ending Jun 1: Very poor 0%, Poor 3%, Fair 38%, Good 55%, Excellent 4% — good+excellent 59% (5-yr avg 55%, last year 76%)Week ending Jun 8: Very poor 0%, Poor 8%, Fair 33%, Good 47%, Excellent 12% — good+excellent 59% (5-yr avg 56%, last year 69%)Week ending Jun 15: Very poor 1%, Poor 1%, Fair 30%, Good 67%, Excellent 1% — good+excellent 68% (5-yr avg 60%, last year 70%)Week ending Jun 22: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 50%, Good 50%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 50% (5-yr avg 53%, last year 70%)Week ending Jun 29: Very poor 0%, Poor 14%, Fair 59%, Good 27%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 27% (5-yr avg 37%, last year 20%)Week ending Jul 6: Very poor 0%, Poor 10%, Fair 57%, Good 33%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 33% (5-yr avg 46%, last year 41%)Week ending Jul 13: Very poor 0%, Poor 9%, Fair 66%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 49%)−28 pts — week ending May 11−28 ptsHarvest begins — week ending May 25Harvest beginsUSDA forecast — week ending Jul 13USDA forecastMay 4May 18Jun 1Jun 15Jun 29Jul 13
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 25% good or excellent, week ending Jul 13. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Harvested, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

North Carolina peach harvested, 20250%50%100%Harvested, week ending May 25: 2% (5-yr avg 0%, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Jun 1: 4% (5-yr avg 1%, last year 2%)Harvested, week ending Jun 8: 7% (5-yr avg 5%, last year 2%)Harvested, week ending Jun 15: 11% (5-yr avg 12%, last year 5%)Harvested, week ending Jun 22: 14% (5-yr avg 18%, last year 12%)Harvested, week ending Jun 29: 22% (5-yr avg 26%, last year 22%)Harvested, week ending Jul 6: 39% (5-yr avg 33%, last year 31%)Harvested, week ending Jul 13: 56% (5-yr avg 39%, last year 38%)Harvested, week ending Jul 20: 60% (5-yr avg 47%, last year 48%)Harvested, week ending Jul 27: 66% (5-yr avg 53%, last year 53%)Harvested, week ending Aug 3: 70% (5-yr avg 58%, last year 56%)Harvested, week ending Aug 10: 81% (5-yr avg 64%, last year 61%)Harvested, week ending Aug 17: 86% (5-yr avg 72%, last year 71%)Harvested, week ending Aug 24: 91% (5-yr avg 79%, last year 79%)Harvested, week ending Aug 31: 96% (5-yr avg 83%, last year 84%)May 25Jun 8Jun 22Jul 6Jul 20Aug 3Aug 17Aug 31
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 96% as of Aug 31 (5-yr avg 83%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

North Carolina peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final0246thousand tons2010: no forecast · final 5.5 thousand tons20102011: no forecast · final 5.3 thousand tons20112012: no forecast · final 5.3 thousand tons20122013: no forecast · final 6.0 thousand tons20132014: no forecast · final 4.4 thousand tons20142015: no forecast · final 4.5 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 2.7 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 1.7 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 4.6 thousand tons · final pending2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
20184.6 Augustpending———
2017—1.7—$3M0.2%
2016—2.7—$3M0.3%
2015—4.5—$6M0.5%
2014—4.4—$6M0.5%
2013—6.0—$6M0.7%
2012—5.3—$6M0.5%
2011—5.3—$5M0.5%
2010—5.5—$6M0.5%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

North Carolina peach crop: fresh market vs processing0123thousand tons2011: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20112012: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20122013: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20132014: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 2.7, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20162017: fresh 1.7, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh2017
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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