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North Carolina · crop watch

North Carolina peach crop

USDA last rated the 2024 North Carolina peach crop for the week ending Jul 21, when 55% was good or excellent. Harvest stood at 95% complete (five-year average 98%). USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 4.6 thousand tons, up 164.4% from last year's final of 1.7.

Last rated week ending Jul 21, 2024

Good to excellent · last reading

55%of the crop

Share of the 2024 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Jul 21.

▼

95%

Harvested

−3 points against the five-year pace of 98%.

▲

4.6

thousand tons, 2018 forecast

+164.4% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Jul 19 — 10 weeks ago

North Carolina peach condition dropped sharply in July

North Carolina's peach crop was rated in the week ending July 19, 2026, with only 7% good to excellent, a drop of 16 points from the prior week and the lowest reading of the 12 weeks USDA rated this season. Very poor and poor ratings covered nearly half the crop. By August 30, harvest reached 89% complete, ahead of the five-year average of 85% but behind last year's 95% pace at the same date. USDA's August 2018 forecast put the crop at 4.6 thousand tons, up 164.4% from last year's final of 1.7 thousand tons.

This is the most recent reading USDA has published for this crop and state; it is not a current-week rating.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2024

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

North Carolina peach crop condition, 20240%25%50%75%100%Week ending May 5: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 13%, Good 87%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 87% (5-yr avg —, last year 9%)Week ending May 12: Very poor 2%, Poor 4%, Fair 21%, Good 70%, Excellent 3% — good+excellent 73% (5-yr avg 59%, last year 4%)Week ending May 19: Very poor 1%, Poor 3%, Fair 35%, Good 52%, Excellent 9% — good+excellent 61% (5-yr avg 58%, last year 6%)Week ending May 26: Very poor 2%, Poor 5%, Fair 23%, Good 68%, Excellent 2% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg 51%, last year 14%)Week ending Jun 2: Very poor 2%, Poor 5%, Fair 17%, Good 69%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 76% (5-yr avg 55%, last year 43%)Week ending Jun 9: Very poor 2%, Poor 5%, Fair 24%, Good 67%, Excellent 2% — good+excellent 69% (5-yr avg 58%, last year 16%)Week ending Jun 16: Very poor 2%, Poor 4%, Fair 24%, Good 68%, Excellent 2% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg 61%, last year 52%)Week ending Jun 23: Very poor 3%, Poor 3%, Fair 24%, Good 69%, Excellent 1% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg 53%, last year 31%)Week ending Jun 30: Very poor 20%, Poor 23%, Fair 37%, Good 20%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 20% (5-yr avg 47%, last year 14%)Week ending Jul 7: Very poor 13%, Poor 13%, Fair 33%, Good 34%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 41% (5-yr avg 53%, last year 40%)Week ending Jul 14: Very poor 10%, Poor 10%, Fair 31%, Good 42%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 49% (5-yr avg —, last year 23%)Week ending Jul 21: Very poor 0%, Poor 9%, Fair 36%, Good 45%, Excellent 10% — good+excellent 55% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvest begins — week ending Jun 2Harvest begins−50 pts — week ending Jun 30−50 ptsUSDA forecast — week ending Jul 21USDA forecastMay 5May 19Jun 2Jun 16Jun 30Jul 14
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 55% good or excellent, week ending Jul 21. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Harvested, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

North Carolina peach harvested, 20240%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jun 2: 2% (5-yr avg 2%, last year 2%)Harvested, week ending Jun 9: 2% (5-yr avg 7%, last year 4%)Harvested, week ending Jun 16: 6% (5-yr avg 14%, last year 8%)Harvested, week ending Jun 23: 13% (5-yr avg 21%, last year 13%)Harvested, week ending Jun 30: 23% (5-yr avg 29%, last year 25%)Harvested, week ending Jul 7: 32% (5-yr avg 35%, last year 35%)Harvested, week ending Jul 14: 39% (5-yr avg 43%, last year 44%)Harvested, week ending Jul 21: 50% (5-yr avg 49%, last year 49%)Harvested, week ending Jul 28: 53% (5-yr avg 56%, last year 53%)Harvested, week ending Aug 4: 56% (5-yr avg 61%, last year 59%)Harvested, week ending Aug 11: 62% (5-yr avg 68%, last year 68%)Harvested, week ending Aug 18: 73% (5-yr avg 75%, last year 79%)Harvested, week ending Aug 25: 80% (5-yr avg 81%, last year 86%)Harvested, week ending Sep 1: 85% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 92%)Harvested, week ending Sep 8: 87% (5-yr avg 90%, last year 94%)Harvested, week ending Sep 15: 90% (5-yr avg 94%, last year 96%)Harvested, week ending Sep 22: 93% (5-yr avg 96%, last year 97%)Harvested, week ending Sep 29: 95% (5-yr avg 98%, last year 98%)Jun 2Jun 23Jul 14Aug 4Aug 25Sep 15
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 95% as of Sep 29 (5-yr avg 98%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

North Carolina peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final0246thousand tons2010: no forecast · final 5.5 thousand tons20102011: no forecast · final 5.3 thousand tons20112012: no forecast · final 5.3 thousand tons20122013: no forecast · final 6.0 thousand tons20132014: no forecast · final 4.4 thousand tons20142015: no forecast · final 4.5 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 2.7 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 1.7 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 4.6 thousand tons · final pending2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
20184.6 Augustpending———
2017—1.7—$3M0.2%
2016—2.7—$3M0.3%
2015—4.5—$6M0.5%
2014—4.4—$6M0.5%
2013—6.0—$6M0.7%
2012—5.3—$6M0.5%
2011—5.3—$5M0.5%
2010—5.5—$6M0.5%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

North Carolina peach crop: fresh market vs processing0123thousand tons2011: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20112012: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20122013: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20132014: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 2.7, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20162017: fresh 1.7, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh2017
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Updated September 29, 2026

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