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North Carolina · crop watch

North Carolina peach crop

USDA last rated the 2026 North Carolina peach crop for the week ending Jul 19, when 7% was good or excellent. Harvest stood at 95% complete (five-year average 93%). USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 4.6 thousand tons, up 164.4% from last year's final of 1.7.

Last rated week ending Jul 19, 2026

Good to excellent · last reading

7%of the crop

Share of the 2026 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Jul 19.

▲

95%

Harvested

+2 points against the five-year pace of 93%.

▲

4.6

thousand tons, 2018 forecast

+164.4% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Jul 19 — 10 weeks ago

North Carolina peach condition dropped sharply in July

North Carolina's peach crop was rated in the week ending July 19, 2026, with only 7% good to excellent, a drop of 16 points from the prior week and the lowest reading of the 12 weeks USDA rated this season. Very poor and poor ratings covered nearly half the crop. By August 30, harvest reached 89% complete, ahead of the five-year average of 85% but behind last year's 95% pace at the same date. USDA's August 2018 forecast put the crop at 4.6 thousand tons, up 164.4% from last year's final of 1.7 thousand tons.

This is the most recent reading USDA has published for this crop and state; it is not a current-week rating.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2026

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

North Carolina peach crop condition, 20260%25%50%75%100%Week ending May 3: Very poor 0%, Poor 57%, Fair 41%, Good 2%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 2% (5-yr avg —, last year 86%)Week ending May 10: Very poor 0%, Poor 28%, Fair 60%, Good 12%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 12% (5-yr avg 56%, last year 58%)Week ending May 17: Very poor 0%, Poor 24%, Fair 48%, Good 28%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 28% (5-yr avg 51%, last year 57%)Week ending May 24: Very poor 3%, Poor 20%, Fair 53%, Good 23%, Excellent 1% — good+excellent 24% (5-yr avg 46%, last year 54%)Week ending May 31: Very poor 8%, Poor 31%, Fair 46%, Good 15%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 15% (5-yr avg 53%, last year 59%)Week ending Jun 7: Very poor 0%, Poor 6%, Fair 57%, Good 31%, Excellent 6% — good+excellent 37% (5-yr avg 55%, last year 59%)Week ending Jun 14: Very poor 6%, Poor 31%, Fair 49%, Good 14%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 14% (5-yr avg 59%, last year 68%)Week ending Jun 21: Very poor 9%, Poor 28%, Fair 51%, Good 12%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 12% (5-yr avg 48%, last year 50%)Week ending Jun 28: Very poor 0%, Poor 20%, Fair 60%, Good 20%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 20% (5-yr avg 26%, last year 27%)Week ending Jul 5: Very poor 0%, Poor 22%, Fair 51%, Good 27%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 27% (5-yr avg 38%, last year 33%)Week ending Jul 12: Very poor 3%, Poor 25%, Fair 49%, Good 23%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 23% (5-yr avg 32%, last year 25%)Week ending Jul 19: Very poor 16%, Poor 32%, Fair 45%, Good 7%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 7% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvest begins — week ending May 31Harvest begins−23 pts — week ending Jun 14−23 ptsUSDA forecast — week ending Jul 19USDA forecastMay 3May 17May 31Jun 14Jun 28Jul 12
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 7% good or excellent, week ending Jul 19. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Harvested, 2026

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

North Carolina peach harvested, 20260%50%100%Harvested, week ending May 24: 0% (5-yr avg 0%, last year 2%)Harvested, week ending May 31: 1% (5-yr avg 2%, last year 4%)Harvested, week ending Jun 7: 3% (5-yr avg 4%, last year 7%)Harvested, week ending Jun 14: 9% (5-yr avg 9%, last year 10%)Harvested, week ending Jun 21: 25% (5-yr avg 14%, last year 14%)Harvested, week ending Jun 28: 29% (5-yr avg 22%, last year 21%)Harvested, week ending Jul 5: 37% (5-yr avg 32%, last year 37%)Harvested, week ending Jul 12: 43% (5-yr avg 41%, last year 54%)Harvested, week ending Jul 19: 48% (5-yr avg 48%, last year 59%)Harvested, week ending Jul 26: 56% (5-yr avg 54%, last year 65%)Harvested, week ending Aug 2: 60% (5-yr avg 59%, last year 69%)Harvested, week ending Aug 9: 64% (5-yr avg 66%, last year 79%)Harvested, week ending Aug 16: 73% (5-yr avg 74%, last year 85%)Harvested, week ending Aug 23: 82% (5-yr avg 80%, last year 90%)Harvested, week ending Aug 30: 89% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 95%)Harvested, week ending Sep 6: 93% (5-yr avg 89%, last year 97%)Harvested, week ending Sep 13: 95% (5-yr avg 93%, last year 98%)May 24Jun 14Jul 5Jul 26Aug 16Sep 6
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 95% as of Sep 13 (5-yr avg 93%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

North Carolina peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final0246thousand tons2010: no forecast · final 5.5 thousand tons20102011: no forecast · final 5.3 thousand tons20112012: no forecast · final 5.3 thousand tons20122013: no forecast · final 6.0 thousand tons20132014: no forecast · final 4.4 thousand tons20142015: no forecast · final 4.5 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 2.7 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 1.7 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 4.6 thousand tons · final pending2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
20184.6 Augustpending———
2017—1.7—$3M0.2%
2016—2.7—$3M0.3%
2015—4.5—$6M0.5%
2014—4.4—$6M0.5%
2013—6.0—$6M0.7%
2012—5.3—$6M0.5%
2011—5.3—$5M0.5%
2010—5.5—$6M0.5%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

North Carolina peach crop: fresh market vs processing0123thousand tons2011: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20112012: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20122013: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20132014: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 2.7, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20162017: fresh 1.7, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh2017
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Updated September 29, 2026

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