North Carolina · crop watch
North Carolina strawberry crop
USDA last rated the 2020 North Carolina strawberry crop for the week ending May 17, when 91% was good or excellent, versus 62% at this point last year. USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 0.1 million cwt, down 7.4% from last year's final of 0.1.
Good to excellent · last reading
Share of the 2020 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending May 17.
0.1
million cwt, 2018 forecast
−7.4% against last year's final crop.
Analysis
Week ending May 17 — 19 weeks ago
North Carolina strawberry crop rated lower than last year
North Carolina's strawberry crop was rated 38% good to excellent for the week ending May 17, 2026, the most recent condition USDA has published for the state, down 5 points from the prior week and well below the 52% rating recorded the same week last year. Fair condition covered 61% of the crop, the largest share of any category. This was the fourth week of condition ratings for the season. USDA's August 2018 forecast put production at 0.1 million cwt, matching the prior year's final figure but 7.4% below last year, and first forecasts for the crop have typically finished 2.7% smaller than initially projected.
This is the most recent reading USDA has published for this crop and state; it is not a current-week rating.
Forecast reliability
±6.7%
Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 2 completed seasons.
Weekly ratings
Crop condition, 2020
Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.
Latest: 91% good or excellent, week ending May 17. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.
Forecast record
How the forecast moved to final
Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.
| Crop year | First forecast (million cwt) | Latest forecast | Final | Revision | Crop value | Share of US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 0.1 August | 0.1 August | 0.1 | +4.0% | $22M | 0.5% |
| 2017 | 0.1 August | 0.1 August | 0.1 | −9.4% | $21M | 0.5% |
| 2016 | — | — | 0.1 | — | $25M | 0.4% |
| 2015 | — | — | 0.1 | — | $23M | 0.5% |
| 2014 | — | — | 0.2 | — | $23M | 0.5% |
| 2013 | — | — | 0.1 | — | $16M | 0.4% |
| 2012 | — | — | 0.2 | — | $23M | 0.5% |
| 2011 | — | — | 0.2 | — | $24M | 0.6% |
| 2010 | — | — | 0.2 | — | $23M | 0.6% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.
Utilization
Where the crop went
Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.