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North Carolina · crop watch

North Carolina strawberry crop

USDA last rated the 2024 North Carolina strawberry crop for the week ending May 26, when 51% was good or excellent, versus 57% at this point last year. USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 0.1 million cwt, down 7.4% from last year's final of 0.1.

Last rated week ending May 26, 2024

Good to excellent · last reading

51%of the crop

Share of the 2024 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending May 26.

▼

0.1

million cwt, 2018 forecast

−7.4% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending May 17 — 19 weeks ago

North Carolina strawberry crop rated lower than last year

North Carolina's strawberry crop was rated 38% good to excellent for the week ending May 17, 2026, the most recent condition USDA has published for the state, down 5 points from the prior week and well below the 52% rating recorded the same week last year. Fair condition covered 61% of the crop, the largest share of any category. This was the fourth week of condition ratings for the season. USDA's August 2018 forecast put production at 0.1 million cwt, matching the prior year's final figure but 7.4% below last year, and first forecasts for the crop have typically finished 2.7% smaller than initially projected.

This is the most recent reading USDA has published for this crop and state; it is not a current-week rating.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±6.7%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 2 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2024

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

North Carolina strawberry crop condition, 20240%25%50%75%100%Week ending Mar 31: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 14%, Good 78%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 85% (5-yr avg 80%, last year 81%)Week ending Apr 14: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 8%, Good 79%, Excellent 12% — good+excellent 91% (5-yr avg 83%, last year 80%)Week ending Apr 28: Very poor 0%, Poor 2%, Fair 11%, Good 78%, Excellent 9% — good+excellent 87% (5-yr avg 80%, last year 67%)Week ending May 12: Very poor 0%, Poor 26%, Fair 11%, Good 55%, Excellent 8% — good+excellent 63% (5-yr avg 72%, last year 63%)Week ending May 26: Very poor 0%, Poor 18%, Fair 31%, Good 50%, Excellent 1% — good+excellent 51% (5-yr avg —, last year 57%)−24 pts — week ending May 12−24 ptsMar 31Apr 14Apr 28May 12May 26
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 51% good or excellent, week ending May 26. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

North Carolina strawberry crop: USDA first forecast vs final00.10.10.20.2million cwt2010: no forecast · final 0.2 million cwt20102011: no forecast · final 0.2 million cwt20112012: no forecast · final 0.2 million cwt20122013: no forecast · final 0.1 million cwt20132014: no forecast · final 0.2 million cwt20142015: no forecast · final 0.1 million cwt20152016: no forecast · final 0.1 million cwt20162017: Aug forecast 0.1 million cwt · final 0.1 million cwt (-9.4%)−9.4%20172018: Aug forecast 0.1 million cwt · final 0.1 million cwt (+4.0%)+4.0%2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million cwt)Latest forecastFinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
20180.1 August0.1 August0.1+4.0%$22M0.5%
20170.1 August0.1 August0.1−9.4%$21M0.5%
2016——0.1—$25M0.4%
2015——0.1—$23M0.5%
2014——0.2—$23M0.5%
2013——0.1—$16M0.4%
2012——0.2—$23M0.5%
2011——0.2—$24M0.6%
2010——0.2—$23M0.6%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

North Carolina strawberry crop: fresh market vs processing00.10.10.20.2million cwt2010: fresh 0.2, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 100% fresh20102011: fresh 0.2, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 100% fresh20112012: fresh 0.2, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 100% fresh20122013: fresh 0.1, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 100% fresh20132014: fresh 0.2, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 100% fresh20142015: fresh 0.1, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 100% fresh20152016: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt — 0% fresh20172018: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 million cwt2018
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Updated September 29, 2026

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