Crop watch
Apples by state
15 states report weekly apple condition ratings to USDA; the latest week ends Sep 27. 32 states have USDA production forecasts or finals.
2026 US crop forecast
USDA's August estimate, down 6.0% from last year's final crop.
100%
Connecticut, best rated
Good or excellent this week.
0%
West Virginia, lowest rated
−65 points against its five-year average.
Analysis
Week ending Sep 27
US apple forecast down 6% for 2026
USDA's August 2026 forecast put the U.S. apple crop at 10,437 million lb, down 6% from last year. Washington, the largest producer, was forecast at 7,400 million lb versus 7,540 million lb in 2025. Pennsylvania's crop fell hardest, to 210 million lb from 505 million lb, with only 13% of trees rated good to excellent, 61 points below the five-year average; West Virginia's crop was rated 0% good to excellent, 65 points below average. New York's forecast dropped to 1,350 million lb from 1,495 million lb, with 47% good to excellent and harvest 45% complete for the week ending September 27. Virginia's forecast fell to 77 million lb from 149 million lb, with harvest 29% complete. Michigan, California and Oregon held close to last year's totals.
Reporting states
15
States filing weekly apple condition ratings with USDA this season. The rest publish annual estimates only.
Condition map
Where the crop stands
Good plus excellent share for the latest reporting week. Select a state to open its page.
Against the average
Good to excellent by state
Bar is this week's good plus excellent share; the tick marks that state's five-year average for the same week. Bars turn amber more than five points below average.
Season shape
Every reporting state, this season
Good plus excellent through the 2026 season. The dashed line is each state's own five-year average.
producewire.net
All states
Apples at a glance
Every state USDA reports, with the latest weekly rating and its most recent production numbers.
| State | Good+excellent | vs 5-yr avg | Harvested | Latest forecast (million lb) | Last final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vermont | 100% | — | 71% | 20.1 2018 | 30.9 2017 |
| Connecticut | 100% | — | 50% | 16.4 2018 | 29.5 2017 |
| Rhode Island | 100% | — | 50% | — | 2.4 2015 |
| Massachusetts | 90% | — | 65% | 43.4 2018 | 49.6 2017 |
| Tennessee | 82% | — | — | — | 4.6 2015 |
| New Hampshire | 81% | — | 58% | — | 20.2 2015 |
| Maine | 77% | — | 50% | 48.0 2018 | 39.2 2017 |
| Maryland | 67% | — | 59% | 39.6 2018 | 48.4 2017 |
| Delaware | 66% | — | 66% | — | — |
| North Carolina | 51% | — | 45% | 115.0 2018 | 104.0 2017 |
| New York | 47% | — | 45% | 1,350.0 2026 | 1,495.0 2025 |
| Virginia | 20% | — | 29% | 77.0 2026 | 149.0 2025 |
| Pennsylvania | 13% | −61 | 50% | 210.0 2026 | 505.0 2025 |
| West Virginia | 0% | −65 | — | 110.0 2018 | 102.0 2017 |
| New Jersey | 0% | — | 50% | 49.2 2018 | 38.5 2017 |
| Washington | — | — | — | 7,400.0 2026 | 7,540.0 2025 |
| Michigan | — | — | — | 1,050.0 2026 | 1,065.0 2025 |
| California | — | — | — | 190.0 2026 | 188.5 2025 |
| Oregon | — | — | — | 160.0 2026 | 159.5 2025 |
| Ohio | — | — | — | 45.0 2018 | 58.9 2017 |
| Wisconsin | — | — | — | 51.6 2018 | 49.0 2017 |
| Idaho | — | — | — | 54.0 2018 | 47.4 2017 |
| Missouri | — | — | — | — | 28.3 2015 |
| Minnesota | — | — | — | 22.3 2018 | 25.7 2017 |
| Indiana | — | — | — | — | 22.5 2015 |
| Illinois | — | — | — | 23.6 2018 | 22.4 2017 |
| Utah | — | — | — | — | 15.0 2015 |
| Colorado | — | — | — | — | 8.9 2014 |
| Arizona | — | — | — | — | 7.1 2014 |
| Iowa | — | — | — | — | 4.8 2015 |
| Kentucky | — | — | — | — | — |
| Other states | — | — | — | 0.0 2025 | 0.0 2025 |
Dashes mean USDA does not publish that series for the state. Weekly ratings run April through November.
National record
US apple crop: forecast vs final
The national crop's first forecast against the final estimate, by year.
| Crop year | First forecast (million lb) | Final | Revision | Crop value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10,437.0 August | pending | — | — |
| 2025 | 11,470.0 August | 11,102.0 | −3.2% | $2,820M |
| 2024 | 11,110.0 August | 10,905.0 | −1.8% | $2,839M |
| 2023 | 9,910.0 August | 11,472.5 | +15.8% | $2,858M |
| 2022 | 10,110.0 August | 9,975.0 | −1.3% | $3,107M |
| 2021 | 10,525.0 August | 10,072.5 | −4.3% | $2,896M |
| 2020 | 10,650.0 August | 10,298.0 | −3.3% | $2,939M |
| 2019 | 10,630.0 August | 11,086.0 | +4.3% | $2,762M |
| 2018 | 11,452.2 August | 10,240.0 | −10.6% | $2,954M |
| 2017 | — | 11,553.7 | — | $3,601M |
| 2016 | — | 11,495.0 | — | $3,493M |
| 2015 | — | 10,102.5 | — | $3,366M |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.