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Minnesota · crop watch

Minnesota apple crop

USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 22.3 million lb, down 13.2% from last year's final of 25.7.

August 2018 forecast

2018 USDA forecast

22.3million lb

USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for Minnesota apple; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Minnesota apple crop: USDA first forecast vs final0102030million lb2010: no forecast · final 21.2 million lb20102011: no forecast · final 28.7 million lb20112012: no forecast · final 13.5 million lb20122013: no forecast · final 29.0 million lb20132014: no forecast · final 27.9 million lb20142015: no forecast · final 29.1 million lb20152016: no forecast · final 21.5 million lb20162017: no forecast · final 25.7 million lb20172018: Aug forecast 22.3 million lb · final pending2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million lb)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
201822.3 Augustpending———
2017—25.7—$21M0.2%
2016—21.5—$17M0.2%
2015—29.1—$20M0.3%
2014—27.9—$22M0.2%
2013—29.0—$21M0.3%
2012—13.5—$9M0.2%
2011—28.7—$19M0.3%
2010—21.2—$14M0.2%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

Minnesota apple crop: fresh market vs processing0102030million lb2010: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.6 million lb — 0% fresh20102011: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 1.4 million lb — 0% fresh20112012: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.6 million lb — 0% fresh20122013: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.6 million lb — 0% fresh20132014: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.7 million lb — 0% fresh20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 4.2 million lb — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 18.8, processing 2.1, not sold 0.6 million lb — 87% fresh20162017: fresh 22.0, processing 2.2, not sold 1.5 million lb — 86% fresh2017
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Updated September 29, 2026

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