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South Carolina · crop watch

South Carolina peach crop

USDA last rated the 2020 South Carolina peach crop for the week ending Jun 28, when 69% was good or excellent, versus 53% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 95% complete (five-year average 89%). USDA's August forecast puts the 2020 crop at 80.0 thousand tons, up 6.7% from last year's final of 75.0.

Last rated week ending Jun 28, 2020

Good to excellent · last reading

69%of the crop

Share of the 2020 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Jun 28.

▲

95%

Harvested

+6 points against the five-year pace of 89%.

▲

93.0

thousand tons, 2026 forecast

+18.5% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Latest USDA forecast, August 2026

South Carolina peach crop forecast up sharply

USDA's August 2026 forecast put South Carolina's peach crop at 93,000 tons, up 18.5% from last year's final of 78,500 tons and above the 89,300-ton crop two years ago. Historically, South Carolina's first peach forecasts have finished 8.9% larger than the initial number, so the final tally has tended to run above this kind of early-season estimate rather than below it.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±20.2%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2020

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

20242023202220212020
South Carolina peach crop condition, 20200%25%50%75%100%Week ending Apr 5: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 21%, Good 52%, Excellent 26% — good+excellent 78% (5-yr avg 56%, last year 75%)Week ending Apr 12: Very poor 0%, Poor 4%, Fair 25%, Good 53%, Excellent 18% — good+excellent 71% (5-yr avg 54%, last year 71%)Week ending Apr 19: Very poor 4%, Poor 4%, Fair 16%, Good 57%, Excellent 19% — good+excellent 76% (5-yr avg 62%, last year 73%)Week ending Apr 26: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 19%, Good 56%, Excellent 25% — good+excellent 81% (5-yr avg 63%, last year 77%)Week ending May 3: Very poor 1%, Poor 1%, Fair 24%, Good 53%, Excellent 21% — good+excellent 74% (5-yr avg 64%, last year 77%)Week ending May 10: Very poor 7%, Poor 12%, Fair 21%, Good 45%, Excellent 15% — good+excellent 60% (5-yr avg 63%, last year 77%)Week ending May 17: Very poor 8%, Poor 10%, Fair 21%, Good 46%, Excellent 15% — good+excellent 61% (5-yr avg 62%, last year 72%)Week ending May 24: Very poor 0%, Poor 11%, Fair 23%, Good 42%, Excellent 24% — good+excellent 66% (5-yr avg 57%, last year 60%)Week ending May 31: Very poor 1%, Poor 1%, Fair 25%, Good 52%, Excellent 21% — good+excellent 73% (5-yr avg 61%, last year 59%)Week ending Jun 7: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 25%, Good 50%, Excellent 25% — good+excellent 75% (5-yr avg 61%, last year 58%)Week ending Jun 14: Very poor 4%, Poor 18%, Fair 29%, Good 36%, Excellent 13% — good+excellent 49% (5-yr avg 59%, last year 52%)Week ending Jun 21: Very poor 4%, Poor 19%, Fair 24%, Good 38%, Excellent 15% — good+excellent 53% (5-yr avg 58%, last year 52%)Week ending Jun 28: Very poor 3%, Poor 4%, Fair 24%, Good 46%, Excellent 23% — good+excellent 69% (5-yr avg —, last year 53%)Harvest begins — week ending May 17Harvest begins−26 pts — week ending Jun 14−26 ptsUSDA forecast — week ending Jun 28USDA forecastApr 5Apr 19May 3May 17May 31Jun 14Jun 28
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 69% good or excellent, week ending Jun 28. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2020

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

South Carolina peach full bloom, 20200%50%100%Full bloom, week ending Apr 5: 68% (5-yr avg 68%, last year 75%)Full bloom, week ending Apr 12: 88% (5-yr avg 96%, last year 91%)Full bloom, week ending Apr 19: 95% (5-yr avg 99%, last year 95%)Apr 5Apr 12Apr 19
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 95% as of Apr 19 (5-yr avg 99%).

Field progress

Harvested, 2020

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

South Carolina peach harvested, 20200%50%100%Harvested, week ending May 17: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending May 24: 5% (5-yr avg 2%, last year 4%)Harvested, week ending May 31: 11% (5-yr avg 8%, last year 7%)Harvested, week ending Jun 7: 24% (5-yr avg 18%, last year 17%)Harvested, week ending Jun 14: 37% (5-yr avg 27%, last year 27%)Harvested, week ending Jun 21: 46% (5-yr avg 37%, last year 36%)Harvested, week ending Jun 28: 57% (5-yr avg 42%, last year 45%)Harvested, week ending Jul 5: 70% (5-yr avg 49%, last year 52%)Harvested, week ending Jul 12: 74% (5-yr avg 57%, last year 59%)Harvested, week ending Jul 19: 82% (5-yr avg 64%, last year 65%)Harvested, week ending Jul 26: 86% (5-yr avg 71%, last year 71%)Harvested, week ending Aug 2: 90% (5-yr avg 77%, last year 77%)Harvested, week ending Aug 9: 93% (5-yr avg 83%, last year 84%)Harvested, week ending Aug 16: 95% (5-yr avg 89%, last year 89%)May 17May 31Jun 14Jun 28Jul 12Jul 26Aug 9
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 95% as of Aug 16 (5-yr avg 89%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

South Carolina peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final050100150thousand tons2015: no forecast · final 68.9 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 63.3 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 11.0 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 54.6 thousand tons · final 65.8 thousand tons (+20.5%)+20.5%20182019: Aug forecast 93.0 thousand tons · final 75.0 thousand tons (-19.4%)−19.4%20192020: Aug forecast 80.0 thousand tons · final 76.5 thousand tons (-4.4%)−4.4%20202021: Aug forecast 84.0 thousand tons · final 87.4 thousand tons (+4.0%)+4.0%20212022: Aug forecast 76.0 thousand tons · final 71.8 thousand tons (-5.5%)−5.5%20222023: Aug forecast 23.0 thousand tons · final 38.8 thousand tons (+68.7%)+68.7%20232024: Aug forecast 105.0 thousand tons · final 89.3 thousand tons (-15.0%)−15.0%20242025: Aug forecast 85.0 thousand tons · final 78.5 thousand tons (-7.6%)−7.6%20252026: Aug forecast 93.0 thousand tons · final pending2026
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
202693.0 Augustpending———
202585.0 August78.5−7.6%$131M11.1%
2024105.0 August89.3−15.0%$170M12.9%
202323.0 August38.8+68.7%$63M6.6%
202276.0 August71.8−5.5%$105M11.1%
202184.0 August87.4+4.0%$106M12.5%
202080.0 August76.5−4.4%$101M11.6%
201993.0 August75.0−19.4%$86M10.9%
201854.6 August65.8+20.5%$72M10.0%
2017—11.0—$18M1.6%
2016—63.3—$68M8.0%
2015—68.9—$64M8.2%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

South Carolina peach crop: fresh market vs processing020406080thousand tons2014: fresh 59.3, processing 1.5, not sold 4.3 thousand tons — 91% fresh20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 9.2 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 10.5 thousand tons — 0% fresh20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.6 thousand tons — 0% fresh20172018: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 6.6 thousand tons — 0% fresh20182019: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 11.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20192020: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 9.2 thousand tons — 0% fresh20202021: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 14.8 thousand tons — 0% fresh20212022: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 6.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20222023: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 5.2 thousand tons — 0% fresh20232024: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 6.8 thousand tons — 0% fresh20242025: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 13.7 thousand tons — 0% fresh2025
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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