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South Carolina · crop watch

South Carolina peach crop

USDA last rated the 2021 South Carolina peach crop for the week ending Jul 4, when 78% was good or excellent. Harvest stood at 96% complete. USDA's August forecast puts the 2021 crop at 84.0 thousand tons, up 9.8% from last year's final of 76.5.

Last rated week ending Jul 4, 2021

Good to excellent · last reading

78%of the crop

Share of the 2021 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Jul 4.

–

96%

Harvested

As of Aug 29.

▲

93.0

thousand tons, 2026 forecast

+18.5% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Latest USDA forecast, August 2026

South Carolina peach crop forecast up sharply

USDA's August 2026 forecast put South Carolina's peach crop at 93,000 tons, up 18.5% from last year's final of 78,500 tons and above the 89,300-ton crop two years ago. Historically, South Carolina's first peach forecasts have finished 8.9% larger than the initial number, so the final tally has tended to run above this kind of early-season estimate rather than below it.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±20.2%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2021

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

20242023202220212020
South Carolina peach crop condition, 20210%25%50%75%100%Week ending Apr 4: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 25%, Good 58%, Excellent 17% — good+excellent 75% (5-yr avg 59%, last year 78%)Week ending Apr 11: Very poor 20%, Poor 25%, Fair 27%, Good 28%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 28% (5-yr avg 58%, last year 71%)Week ending Apr 18: Very poor 0%, Poor 7%, Fair 25%, Good 60%, Excellent 8% — good+excellent 68% (5-yr avg 59%, last year 76%)Week ending Apr 25: Very poor 0%, Poor 4%, Fair 27%, Good 65%, Excellent 4% — good+excellent 69% (5-yr avg 60%, last year 81%)Week ending May 2: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 20%, Good 70%, Excellent 10% — good+excellent 80% (5-yr avg 59%, last year 74%)Week ending May 9: Very poor 0%, Poor 2%, Fair 14%, Good 64%, Excellent 20% — good+excellent 84% (5-yr avg 56%, last year 60%)Week ending May 16: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 10%, Good 63%, Excellent 27% — good+excellent 90% (5-yr avg 54%, last year 61%)Week ending May 23: Very poor 2%, Poor 4%, Fair 9%, Good 51%, Excellent 34% — good+excellent 85% (5-yr avg 51%, last year 66%)Week ending May 30: Very poor 2%, Poor 4%, Fair 9%, Good 52%, Excellent 33% — good+excellent 85% (5-yr avg 55%, last year 73%)Week ending Jun 6: Very poor 0%, Poor 2%, Fair 12%, Good 63%, Excellent 23% — good+excellent 86% (5-yr avg 56%, last year 75%)Week ending Jun 13: Very poor 0%, Poor 2%, Fair 12%, Good 63%, Excellent 23% — good+excellent 86% (5-yr avg 50%, last year 49%)Week ending Jun 20: Very poor 0%, Poor 2%, Fair 12%, Good 63%, Excellent 23% — good+excellent 86% (5-yr avg 50%, last year 53%)Week ending Jun 27: Very poor 0%, Poor 2%, Fair 20%, Good 60%, Excellent 18% — good+excellent 78% (5-yr avg —, last year 69%)Week ending Jul 4: Very poor 0%, Poor 2%, Fair 20%, Good 60%, Excellent 18% — good+excellent 78% (5-yr avg —, last year —)−47 pts — week ending Apr 11−47 ptsHarvest begins — week ending May 23Harvest beginsUSDA forecast — week ending Jul 4USDA forecastApr 4Apr 18May 2May 16May 30Jun 13Jun 27
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 78% good or excellent, week ending Jul 4. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

South Carolina peach full bloom, 20210%50%100%Full bloom, week ending Apr 4: 78% (5-yr avg 79%, last year 67%)Full bloom, week ending Apr 11: 89% (5-yr avg 93%, last year 85%)Full bloom, week ending Apr 18: 95% (5-yr avg 98%, last year 94%)Apr 4Apr 11Apr 18
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 95% as of Apr 18 (5-yr avg 98%).

Field progress

Harvested, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

South Carolina peach harvested, 20210%50%100%Harvested, week ending May 23: 7% (5-yr avg 3%, last year 4%)Harvested, week ending May 30: 7% (5-yr avg 7%, last year 10%)Harvested, week ending Jun 6: 18% (5-yr avg 16%, last year 22%)Harvested, week ending Jun 13: 30% (5-yr avg 25%, last year 35%)Harvested, week ending Jun 20: 40% (5-yr avg 35%, last year 45%)Harvested, week ending Jun 27: 45% (5-yr avg 42%, last year 55%)Harvested, week ending Jul 4: 53% (5-yr avg 51%, last year 68%)Harvested, week ending Jul 11: 58% (5-yr avg 58%, last year 73%)Harvested, week ending Jul 18: 65% (5-yr avg 64%, last year 81%)Harvested, week ending Jul 25: 73% (5-yr avg 71%, last year 85%)Harvested, week ending Aug 1: 82% (5-yr avg 77%, last year 89%)Harvested, week ending Aug 8: 88% (5-yr avg 84%, last year 93%)Harvested, week ending Aug 15: 90% (5-yr avg 88%, last year 95%)Harvested, week ending Aug 22: 94% (5-yr avg 92%, last year 98%)Harvested, week ending Aug 29: 96% (5-yr avg —, last year —)May 23Jun 6Jun 20Jul 4Jul 18Aug 1Aug 15Aug 29
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 96% as of Aug 29.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

South Carolina peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final050100150thousand tons2015: no forecast · final 68.9 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 63.3 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 11.0 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 54.6 thousand tons · final 65.8 thousand tons (+20.5%)+20.5%20182019: Aug forecast 93.0 thousand tons · final 75.0 thousand tons (-19.4%)−19.4%20192020: Aug forecast 80.0 thousand tons · final 76.5 thousand tons (-4.4%)−4.4%20202021: Aug forecast 84.0 thousand tons · final 87.4 thousand tons (+4.0%)+4.0%20212022: Aug forecast 76.0 thousand tons · final 71.8 thousand tons (-5.5%)−5.5%20222023: Aug forecast 23.0 thousand tons · final 38.8 thousand tons (+68.7%)+68.7%20232024: Aug forecast 105.0 thousand tons · final 89.3 thousand tons (-15.0%)−15.0%20242025: Aug forecast 85.0 thousand tons · final 78.5 thousand tons (-7.6%)−7.6%20252026: Aug forecast 93.0 thousand tons · final pending2026
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
202693.0 Augustpending———
202585.0 August78.5−7.6%$131M11.1%
2024105.0 August89.3−15.0%$170M12.9%
202323.0 August38.8+68.7%$63M6.6%
202276.0 August71.8−5.5%$105M11.1%
202184.0 August87.4+4.0%$106M12.5%
202080.0 August76.5−4.4%$101M11.6%
201993.0 August75.0−19.4%$86M10.9%
201854.6 August65.8+20.5%$72M10.0%
2017—11.0—$18M1.6%
2016—63.3—$68M8.0%
2015—68.9—$64M8.2%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

South Carolina peach crop: fresh market vs processing020406080thousand tons2014: fresh 59.3, processing 1.5, not sold 4.3 thousand tons — 91% fresh20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 9.2 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 10.5 thousand tons — 0% fresh20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.6 thousand tons — 0% fresh20172018: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 6.6 thousand tons — 0% fresh20182019: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 11.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20192020: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 9.2 thousand tons — 0% fresh20202021: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 14.8 thousand tons — 0% fresh20212022: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 6.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20222023: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 5.2 thousand tons — 0% fresh20232024: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 6.8 thousand tons — 0% fresh20242025: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 13.7 thousand tons — 0% fresh2025
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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