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South Carolina · crop watch

South Carolina peach crop

USDA last rated the 2022 South Carolina peach crop for the week ending Jul 3, when 78% was good or excellent, versus 78% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 97% complete (five-year average 90%). USDA's August forecast puts the 2022 crop at 76.0 thousand tons, down 13.0% from last year's final of 87.4.

Last rated week ending Jul 3, 2022

Good to excellent · last reading

78%of the crop

Share of the 2022 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Jul 3.

▲

97%

Harvested

+7 points against the five-year pace of 90%.

▲

93.0

thousand tons, 2026 forecast

+18.5% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Latest USDA forecast, August 2026

South Carolina peach crop forecast up sharply

USDA's August 2026 forecast put South Carolina's peach crop at 93,000 tons, up 18.5% from last year's final of 78,500 tons and above the 89,300-ton crop two years ago. Historically, South Carolina's first peach forecasts have finished 8.9% larger than the initial number, so the final tally has tended to run above this kind of early-season estimate rather than below it.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±20.2%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2022

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

20242023202220212020
South Carolina peach crop condition, 20220%25%50%75%100%Week ending Apr 3: Very poor 0%, Poor 5%, Fair 20%, Good 65%, Excellent 10% — good+excellent 75% (5-yr avg 55%, last year 75%)Week ending Apr 10: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 24%, Good 57%, Excellent 19% — good+excellent 76% (5-yr avg 44%, last year 28%)Week ending Apr 17: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 24%, Good 57%, Excellent 19% — good+excellent 76% (5-yr avg 54%, last year 68%)Week ending Apr 24: Very poor 0%, Poor 5%, Fair 20%, Good 60%, Excellent 15% — good+excellent 75% (5-yr avg 56%, last year 69%)Week ending May 1: Very poor 0%, Poor 5%, Fair 21%, Good 62%, Excellent 12% — good+excellent 74% (5-yr avg 57%, last year 80%)Week ending May 8: Very poor 0%, Poor 5%, Fair 21%, Good 62%, Excellent 12% — good+excellent 74% (5-yr avg 55%, last year 84%)Week ending May 15: Very poor 2%, Poor 3%, Fair 19%, Good 63%, Excellent 13% — good+excellent 76% (5-yr avg 54%, last year 90%)Week ending May 22: Very poor 4%, Poor 5%, Fair 13%, Good 71%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 78% (5-yr avg 51%, last year 85%)Week ending May 29: Very poor 3%, Poor 7%, Fair 16%, Good 70%, Excellent 4% — good+excellent 74% (5-yr avg 55%, last year 85%)Week ending Jun 5: Very poor 2%, Poor 4%, Fair 8%, Good 77%, Excellent 9% — good+excellent 86% (5-yr avg 56%, last year 86%)Week ending Jun 12: Very poor 0%, Poor 5%, Fair 8%, Good 67%, Excellent 20% — good+excellent 87% (5-yr avg 49%, last year 86%)Week ending Jun 19: Very poor 0%, Poor 5%, Fair 8%, Good 74%, Excellent 13% — good+excellent 87% (5-yr avg 49%, last year 86%)Week ending Jun 26: Very poor 0%, Poor 8%, Fair 10%, Good 71%, Excellent 11% — good+excellent 82% (5-yr avg 52%, last year 78%)Week ending Jul 3: Very poor 0%, Poor 10%, Fair 12%, Good 70%, Excellent 8% — good+excellent 78% (5-yr avg —, last year 78%)Harvest begins — week ending May 15Harvest begins−5 pts — week ending Jun 26−5 ptsUSDA forecast — week ending Jul 3USDA forecastApr 3Apr 17May 1May 15May 29Jun 12Jun 26
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 78% good or excellent, week ending Jul 3. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

South Carolina peach full bloom, 20220%50%100%Full bloom, week ending Apr 3: 75% (5-yr avg 78%, last year 77%)Full bloom, week ending Apr 10: 90% (5-yr avg 89%, last year 87%)Full bloom, week ending Apr 17: 95% (5-yr avg 96%, last year 94%)Apr 3Apr 10Apr 17
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 95% as of Apr 17 (5-yr avg 96%).

Field progress

Harvested, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

South Carolina peach harvested, 20220%50%100%Harvested, week ending May 15: 3% (5-yr avg 1%, last year 3%)Harvested, week ending May 22: 8% (5-yr avg 3%, last year 6%)Harvested, week ending May 29: 11% (5-yr avg 6%, last year 7%)Harvested, week ending Jun 5: 17% (5-yr avg 14%, last year 16%)Harvested, week ending Jun 12: 25% (5-yr avg 23%, last year 28%)Harvested, week ending Jun 19: 34% (5-yr avg 33%, last year 39%)Harvested, week ending Jun 26: 42% (5-yr avg 39%, last year 44%)Harvested, week ending Jul 3: 54% (5-yr avg 48%, last year 52%)Harvested, week ending Jul 10: 61% (5-yr avg 54%, last year 57%)Harvested, week ending Jul 17: 72% (5-yr avg 62%, last year 64%)Harvested, week ending Jul 24: 77% (5-yr avg 68%, last year 72%)Harvested, week ending Jul 31: 85% (5-yr avg 75%, last year 81%)Harvested, week ending Aug 7: 90% (5-yr avg 82%, last year 87%)Harvested, week ending Aug 14: 94% (5-yr avg 87%, last year 90%)Harvested, week ending Aug 21: 97% (5-yr avg 90%, last year 93%)May 15May 29Jun 12Jun 26Jul 10Jul 24Aug 7Aug 21
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 97% as of Aug 21 (5-yr avg 90%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

South Carolina peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final050100150thousand tons2015: no forecast · final 68.9 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 63.3 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 11.0 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 54.6 thousand tons · final 65.8 thousand tons (+20.5%)+20.5%20182019: Aug forecast 93.0 thousand tons · final 75.0 thousand tons (-19.4%)−19.4%20192020: Aug forecast 80.0 thousand tons · final 76.5 thousand tons (-4.4%)−4.4%20202021: Aug forecast 84.0 thousand tons · final 87.4 thousand tons (+4.0%)+4.0%20212022: Aug forecast 76.0 thousand tons · final 71.8 thousand tons (-5.5%)−5.5%20222023: Aug forecast 23.0 thousand tons · final 38.8 thousand tons (+68.7%)+68.7%20232024: Aug forecast 105.0 thousand tons · final 89.3 thousand tons (-15.0%)−15.0%20242025: Aug forecast 85.0 thousand tons · final 78.5 thousand tons (-7.6%)−7.6%20252026: Aug forecast 93.0 thousand tons · final pending2026
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
202693.0 Augustpending———
202585.0 August78.5−7.6%$131M11.1%
2024105.0 August89.3−15.0%$170M12.9%
202323.0 August38.8+68.7%$63M6.6%
202276.0 August71.8−5.5%$105M11.1%
202184.0 August87.4+4.0%$106M12.5%
202080.0 August76.5−4.4%$101M11.6%
201993.0 August75.0−19.4%$86M10.9%
201854.6 August65.8+20.5%$72M10.0%
2017—11.0—$18M1.6%
2016—63.3—$68M8.0%
2015—68.9—$64M8.2%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

South Carolina peach crop: fresh market vs processing020406080thousand tons2014: fresh 59.3, processing 1.5, not sold 4.3 thousand tons — 91% fresh20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 9.2 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 10.5 thousand tons — 0% fresh20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.6 thousand tons — 0% fresh20172018: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 6.6 thousand tons — 0% fresh20182019: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 11.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20192020: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 9.2 thousand tons — 0% fresh20202021: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 14.8 thousand tons — 0% fresh20212022: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 6.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20222023: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 5.2 thousand tons — 0% fresh20232024: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 6.8 thousand tons — 0% fresh20242025: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 13.7 thousand tons — 0% fresh2025
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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