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South Carolina · crop watch

South Carolina peach crop

USDA last rated the 2023 South Carolina peach crop for the week ending Jul 2, when 34% was good or excellent, versus 78% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 96% complete (five-year average 87%). USDA's August forecast puts the 2023 crop at 23.0 thousand tons, down 68.0% from last year's final of 71.8.

Last rated week ending Jul 2, 2023

Good to excellent · last reading

34%of the crop

Share of the 2023 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Jul 2.

▲

96%

Harvested

+9 points against the five-year pace of 87%.

▲

93.0

thousand tons, 2026 forecast

+18.5% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Latest USDA forecast, August 2026

South Carolina peach crop forecast up sharply

USDA's August 2026 forecast put South Carolina's peach crop at 93,000 tons, up 18.5% from last year's final of 78,500 tons and above the 89,300-ton crop two years ago. Historically, South Carolina's first peach forecasts have finished 8.9% larger than the initial number, so the final tally has tended to run above this kind of early-season estimate rather than below it.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±20.2%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2023

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

20242023202220212020
South Carolina peach crop condition, 20230%25%50%75%100%Week ending Apr 2: Very poor 0%, Poor 9%, Fair 30%, Good 61%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 61% (5-yr avg 70%, last year 75%)Week ending Apr 9: Very poor 0%, Poor 9%, Fair 39%, Good 52%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 52% (5-yr avg 60%, last year 76%)Week ending Apr 16: Very poor 0%, Poor 9%, Fair 41%, Good 50%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 50% (5-yr avg 69%, last year 76%)Week ending Apr 23: Very poor 0%, Poor 13%, Fair 46%, Good 41%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 41% (5-yr avg 71%, last year 75%)Week ending Apr 30: Very poor 0%, Poor 16%, Fair 46%, Good 38%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 38% (5-yr avg 72%, last year 74%)Week ending May 7: Very poor 0%, Poor 13%, Fair 46%, Good 41%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 41% (5-yr avg 70%, last year 74%)Week ending May 14: Very poor 0%, Poor 13%, Fair 46%, Good 41%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 41% (5-yr avg 69%, last year 76%)Week ending May 21: Very poor 2%, Poor 13%, Fair 44%, Good 41%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 41% (5-yr avg 66%, last year 78%)Week ending May 28: Very poor 2%, Poor 15%, Fair 44%, Good 39%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 39% (5-yr avg 70%, last year 74%)Week ending Jun 4: Very poor 2%, Poor 15%, Fair 44%, Good 39%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 39% (5-yr avg 73%, last year 86%)Week ending Jun 11: Very poor 2%, Poor 13%, Fair 45%, Good 40%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 40% (5-yr avg 67%, last year 87%)Week ending Jun 18: Very poor 5%, Poor 15%, Fair 42%, Good 38%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 38% (5-yr avg 66%, last year 87%)Week ending Jun 25: Very poor 8%, Poor 15%, Fair 42%, Good 35%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 35% (5-yr avg 68%, last year 82%)Week ending Jul 2: Very poor 10%, Poor 15%, Fair 41%, Good 34%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 34% (5-yr avg —, last year 78%)−9 pts — week ending Apr 9−9 ptsHarvest begins — week ending May 7Harvest beginsUSDA forecast — week ending Jul 2USDA forecastApr 2Apr 16Apr 30May 14May 28Jun 11Jun 25
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 34% good or excellent, week ending Jul 2. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2023

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

South Carolina peach full bloom, 20230%50%100%Full bloom, week ending Apr 2: 80% (5-yr avg 73%, last year 74%)Full bloom, week ending Apr 9: 91% (5-yr avg 87%, last year 88%)Full bloom, week ending Apr 16: 96% (5-yr avg 95%, last year 94%)Apr 2Apr 9Apr 16
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 96% as of Apr 16 (5-yr avg 95%).

Field progress

Harvested, 2023

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

South Carolina peach harvested, 20230%50%100%Harvested, week ending May 7: 1% (5-yr avg 0%, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending May 14: 3% (5-yr avg 1%, last year 3%)Harvested, week ending May 21: 7% (5-yr avg 4%, last year 7%)Harvested, week ending May 28: 9% (5-yr avg 7%, last year 11%)Harvested, week ending Jun 4: 15% (5-yr avg 14%, last year 16%)Harvested, week ending Jun 11: 24% (5-yr avg 23%, last year 24%)Harvested, week ending Jun 18: 32% (5-yr avg 33%, last year 33%)Harvested, week ending Jun 25: 37% (5-yr avg 41%, last year 41%)Harvested, week ending Jul 2: 49% (5-yr avg 49%, last year 52%)Harvested, week ending Jul 9: 59% (5-yr avg 57%, last year 60%)Harvested, week ending Jul 16: 72% (5-yr avg 64%, last year 70%)Harvested, week ending Jul 23: 79% (5-yr avg 70%, last year 76%)Harvested, week ending Jul 30: 88% (5-yr avg 77%, last year 84%)Harvested, week ending Aug 6: 94% (5-yr avg 82%, last year 89%)Harvested, week ending Aug 13: 96% (5-yr avg 87%, last year 93%)May 7May 21Jun 4Jun 18Jul 2Jul 16Jul 30Aug 13
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 96% as of Aug 13 (5-yr avg 87%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

South Carolina peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final050100150thousand tons2015: no forecast · final 68.9 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 63.3 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 11.0 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 54.6 thousand tons · final 65.8 thousand tons (+20.5%)+20.5%20182019: Aug forecast 93.0 thousand tons · final 75.0 thousand tons (-19.4%)−19.4%20192020: Aug forecast 80.0 thousand tons · final 76.5 thousand tons (-4.4%)−4.4%20202021: Aug forecast 84.0 thousand tons · final 87.4 thousand tons (+4.0%)+4.0%20212022: Aug forecast 76.0 thousand tons · final 71.8 thousand tons (-5.5%)−5.5%20222023: Aug forecast 23.0 thousand tons · final 38.8 thousand tons (+68.7%)+68.7%20232024: Aug forecast 105.0 thousand tons · final 89.3 thousand tons (-15.0%)−15.0%20242025: Aug forecast 85.0 thousand tons · final 78.5 thousand tons (-7.6%)−7.6%20252026: Aug forecast 93.0 thousand tons · final pending2026
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
202693.0 Augustpending———
202585.0 August78.5−7.6%$131M11.1%
2024105.0 August89.3−15.0%$170M12.9%
202323.0 August38.8+68.7%$63M6.6%
202276.0 August71.8−5.5%$105M11.1%
202184.0 August87.4+4.0%$106M12.5%
202080.0 August76.5−4.4%$101M11.6%
201993.0 August75.0−19.4%$86M10.9%
201854.6 August65.8+20.5%$72M10.0%
2017—11.0—$18M1.6%
2016—63.3—$68M8.0%
2015—68.9—$64M8.2%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

South Carolina peach crop: fresh market vs processing020406080thousand tons2014: fresh 59.3, processing 1.5, not sold 4.3 thousand tons — 91% fresh20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 9.2 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 10.5 thousand tons — 0% fresh20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.6 thousand tons — 0% fresh20172018: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 6.6 thousand tons — 0% fresh20182019: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 11.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20192020: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 9.2 thousand tons — 0% fresh20202021: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 14.8 thousand tons — 0% fresh20212022: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 6.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20222023: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 5.2 thousand tons — 0% fresh20232024: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 6.8 thousand tons — 0% fresh20242025: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 13.7 thousand tons — 0% fresh2025
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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