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South Carolina · crop watch

South Carolina peach crop

USDA last rated the 2024 South Carolina peach crop for the week ending Jun 30, when 88% was good or excellent, versus 34% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 96% complete (five-year average 91%). USDA's August forecast puts the 2024 crop at 105.0 thousand tons, up 170.6% from last year's final of 38.8.

Last rated week ending Jun 30, 2024

Good to excellent · last reading

88%of the crop

Share of the 2024 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Jun 30.

▲

96%

Harvested

+5 points against the five-year pace of 91%.

▲

93.0

thousand tons, 2026 forecast

+18.5% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Latest USDA forecast, August 2026

South Carolina peach crop forecast up sharply

USDA's August 2026 forecast put South Carolina's peach crop at 93,000 tons, up 18.5% from last year's final of 78,500 tons and above the 89,300-ton crop two years ago. Historically, South Carolina's first peach forecasts have finished 8.9% larger than the initial number, so the final tally has tended to run above this kind of early-season estimate rather than below it.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±20.2%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2024

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

20242023202220212020
South Carolina peach crop condition, 20240%25%50%75%100%Week ending Mar 31: Very poor 0%, Poor 5%, Fair 5%, Good 90%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 90% (5-yr avg 74%, last year 61%)Week ending Apr 7: Very poor 0%, Poor 3%, Fair 5%, Good 92%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 92% (5-yr avg 60%, last year 52%)Week ending Apr 14: Very poor 2%, Poor 8%, Fair 7%, Good 80%, Excellent 3% — good+excellent 83% (5-yr avg 68%, last year 50%)Week ending Apr 21: Very poor 3%, Poor 13%, Fair 13%, Good 68%, Excellent 3% — good+excellent 71% (5-yr avg 68%, last year 41%)Week ending Apr 28: Very poor 0%, Poor 6%, Fair 22%, Good 60%, Excellent 12% — good+excellent 72% (5-yr avg 69%, last year 38%)Week ending May 5: Very poor 0%, Poor 5%, Fair 15%, Good 69%, Excellent 11% — good+excellent 80% (5-yr avg 68%, last year 41%)Week ending May 12: Very poor 0%, Poor 4%, Fair 13%, Good 74%, Excellent 9% — good+excellent 83% (5-yr avg 69%, last year 41%)Week ending May 19: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 20%, Good 70%, Excellent 9% — good+excellent 79% (5-yr avg 68%, last year 41%)Week ending May 26: Very poor 0%, Poor 2%, Fair 20%, Good 61%, Excellent 17% — good+excellent 78% (5-yr avg 66%, last year 39%)Week ending Jun 2: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 20%, Good 70%, Excellent 9% — good+excellent 79% (5-yr avg 69%, last year 39%)Week ending Jun 9: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 16%, Good 79%, Excellent 5% — good+excellent 84% (5-yr avg 64%, last year 40%)Week ending Jun 16: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 11%, Good 88%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 88% (5-yr avg 63%, last year 38%)Week ending Jun 23: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 16%, Good 79%, Excellent 4% — good+excellent 83% (5-yr avg 63%, last year 35%)Week ending Jun 30: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 11%, Good 87%, Excellent 1% — good+excellent 88% (5-yr avg —, last year 34%)−12 pts — week ending Apr 21−12 ptsHarvest begins — week ending May 12Harvest beginsUSDA forecast — week ending Jun 30USDA forecastMar 31Apr 14Apr 28May 12May 26Jun 9Jun 23
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 88% good or excellent, week ending Jun 30. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

South Carolina peach full bloom, 20240%50%100%Full bloom, week ending Mar 31: 75% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending Apr 7: 90% (5-yr avg 82%, last year 88%)Full bloom, week ending Apr 14: 95% (5-yr avg 93%, last year 95%)Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 95% as of Apr 14 (5-yr avg 93%).

Field progress

Harvested, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

South Carolina peach harvested, 20240%50%100%Harvested, week ending May 5: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending May 12: 2% (5-yr avg 1%, last year 2%)Harvested, week ending May 19: 7% (5-yr avg 4%, last year 6%)Harvested, week ending May 26: 12% (5-yr avg 7%, last year 8%)Harvested, week ending Jun 2: 18% (5-yr avg 12%, last year 13%)Harvested, week ending Jun 9: 25% (5-yr avg 23%, last year 21%)Harvested, week ending Jun 16: 32% (5-yr avg 33%, last year 30%)Harvested, week ending Jun 23: 44% (5-yr avg 41%, last year 36%)Harvested, week ending Jun 30: 54% (5-yr avg 50%, last year 46%)Harvested, week ending Jul 7: 64% (5-yr avg 59%, last year 56%)Harvested, week ending Jul 14: 72% (5-yr avg 67%, last year 68%)Harvested, week ending Jul 21: 80% (5-yr avg 74%, last year 77%)Harvested, week ending Jul 28: 86% (5-yr avg 81%, last year 85%)Harvested, week ending Aug 4: 92% (5-yr avg 87%, last year 92%)Harvested, week ending Aug 11: 96% (5-yr avg 91%, last year 95%)May 5May 19Jun 2Jun 16Jun 30Jul 14Jul 28Aug 11
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 96% as of Aug 11 (5-yr avg 91%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

South Carolina peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final050100150thousand tons2015: no forecast · final 68.9 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 63.3 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 11.0 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 54.6 thousand tons · final 65.8 thousand tons (+20.5%)+20.5%20182019: Aug forecast 93.0 thousand tons · final 75.0 thousand tons (-19.4%)−19.4%20192020: Aug forecast 80.0 thousand tons · final 76.5 thousand tons (-4.4%)−4.4%20202021: Aug forecast 84.0 thousand tons · final 87.4 thousand tons (+4.0%)+4.0%20212022: Aug forecast 76.0 thousand tons · final 71.8 thousand tons (-5.5%)−5.5%20222023: Aug forecast 23.0 thousand tons · final 38.8 thousand tons (+68.7%)+68.7%20232024: Aug forecast 105.0 thousand tons · final 89.3 thousand tons (-15.0%)−15.0%20242025: Aug forecast 85.0 thousand tons · final 78.5 thousand tons (-7.6%)−7.6%20252026: Aug forecast 93.0 thousand tons · final pending2026
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
202693.0 Augustpending———
202585.0 August78.5−7.6%$131M11.1%
2024105.0 August89.3−15.0%$170M12.9%
202323.0 August38.8+68.7%$63M6.6%
202276.0 August71.8−5.5%$105M11.1%
202184.0 August87.4+4.0%$106M12.5%
202080.0 August76.5−4.4%$101M11.6%
201993.0 August75.0−19.4%$86M10.9%
201854.6 August65.8+20.5%$72M10.0%
2017—11.0—$18M1.6%
2016—63.3—$68M8.0%
2015—68.9—$64M8.2%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

South Carolina peach crop: fresh market vs processing020406080thousand tons2014: fresh 59.3, processing 1.5, not sold 4.3 thousand tons — 91% fresh20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 9.2 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 10.5 thousand tons — 0% fresh20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.6 thousand tons — 0% fresh20172018: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 6.6 thousand tons — 0% fresh20182019: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 11.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20192020: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 9.2 thousand tons — 0% fresh20202021: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 14.8 thousand tons — 0% fresh20212022: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 6.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20222023: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 5.2 thousand tons — 0% fresh20232024: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 6.8 thousand tons — 0% fresh20242025: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 13.7 thousand tons — 0% fresh2025
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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