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New Jersey · crop watch

New Jersey peach crop

USDA last rated the 2020 New Jersey peach crop for the week ending Aug 30, when 52% was good or excellent. Harvest stood at 7% complete. USDA's August forecast puts the 2020 crop at 11.5 thousand tons, down 32.4% from last year's final of 17.0.

Last rated week ending Aug 30, 2020

Good to excellent · last reading

52%of the crop

Share of the 2020 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Aug 30.

–

7%

Harvested

As of Aug 30.

▼

6.0

thousand tons, 2026 forecast

−61.5% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Aug 9 — 7 weeks ago

New Jersey peach forecast falls sharply for 2026

New Jersey's peach crop condition was last rated for the week ending August 9, 2026, when USDA showed no acreage in the good or excellent categories, unchanged from the prior week. Forty-five percent of the crop was rated very poor and 45% poor, with the remaining 10% fair. USDA's August forecast put the 2026 crop at 6,000 tons, down 61.5% from last year's final total of 15.6 thousand tons and below the 14.7 thousand tons produced two years earlier. First estimates in this program have typically finished 6.9% smaller than the final number, meaning this crop could end up larger than the initial call. Harvest reached 77% complete by the week ending August 30.

This is the most recent reading USDA has published for this crop and state; it is not a current-week rating.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±25.0%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2020

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
New Jersey peach crop condition, 20200%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jun 28: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jul 5: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 75%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jul 12: Very poor 0%, Poor 15%, Fair 65%, Good 20%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 20% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jul 19: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 25%, Good 75%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 75% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jul 26: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 25%, Good 75%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 75% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Aug 2: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 30%, Good 64%, Excellent 6% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Aug 9: Very poor 12%, Poor 0%, Fair 19%, Good 55%, Excellent 14% — good+excellent 69% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Aug 16: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 25%, Good 50%, Excellent 25% — good+excellent 75% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Aug 23: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 25%, Good 50%, Excellent 25% — good+excellent 75% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Aug 30: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 48%, Good 48%, Excellent 4% — good+excellent 52% (5-yr avg —, last year —)−75 pts — week ending Jul 5−75 ptsHarvest begins — week ending Jul 19Harvest beginsUSDA forecast — week ending Aug 16USDA forecastJun 28Jul 12Jul 26Aug 9Aug 23
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 52% good or excellent, week ending Aug 30. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2020

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach green tip, 20200%50%100%Green tip, week ending Apr 5: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Apr 12: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 29%)Green tip, week ending Apr 19: 53% (5-yr avg —, last year 60%)Green tip, week ending Apr 26: 55% (5-yr avg 45%, last year 70%)Green tip, week ending May 3: 55% (5-yr avg 50%, last year 78%)Green tip, week ending May 10: 70% (5-yr avg —, last year 82%)Green tip, week ending May 17: 81% (5-yr avg —, last year 83%)Green tip, week ending May 24: 88% (5-yr avg —, last year 84%)Green tip, week ending May 31: 90% (5-yr avg —, last year 88%)Apr 5Apr 19May 3May 17May 31
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 90% as of May 31.

Field progress

Pink, 2020

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach pink, 20200%50%100%Pink, week ending Apr 26: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending May 3: 0% (5-yr avg 34%, last year 54%)Pink, week ending May 10: 52% (5-yr avg 42%, last year 61%)Pink, week ending May 17: 62% (5-yr avg —, last year 62%)Pink, week ending May 24: 69% (5-yr avg —, last year 63%)Pink, week ending May 31: 75% (5-yr avg —, last year 67%)Apr 26May 3May 10May 17May 24May 31
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 75% as of May 31.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2020

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach full bloom, 20200%50%100%Full bloom, week ending May 3: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 30%)Full bloom, week ending May 10: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 45%)Full bloom, week ending May 17: 43% (5-yr avg —, last year 49%)Full bloom, week ending May 24: 48% (5-yr avg —, last year 50%)Full bloom, week ending May 31: 70% (5-yr avg —, last year 54%)May 3May 10May 17May 24May 31
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 70% as of May 31.

Field progress

Harvested, 2020

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach harvested, 20200%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jun 28: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Jul 5: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Jul 12: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Jul 19: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Jul 26: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Aug 2: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Aug 9: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Aug 16: 2% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Aug 23: 5% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Aug 30: 7% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Jun 28Jul 12Jul 26Aug 9Aug 23
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 7% as of Aug 30.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

New Jersey peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final010203040thousand tons2015: no forecast · final 20.3 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 18.5 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 24.6 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 32.0 thousand tons · final 20.2 thousand tons (-36.9%)−36.9%20182019: Aug forecast 25.0 thousand tons · final 17.0 thousand tons (-32.0%)−32.0%20192020: Aug forecast 11.5 thousand tons · final 6.4 thousand tons (-44.3%)−44.3%20202021: Aug forecast 19.0 thousand tons · final 12.6 thousand tons (-33.9%)−33.9%20212022: Aug forecast 7.5 thousand tons · final 8.3 thousand tons (+10.0%)+10.0%20222023: Aug forecast 16.0 thousand tons · final 14.2 thousand tons (-11.3%)−11.3%20232024: Aug forecast 11.5 thousand tons · final 14.7 thousand tons (+27.8%)+27.8%20242025: Aug forecast 11.0 thousand tons · final 15.6 thousand tons (+41.8%)+41.8%20252026: Aug forecast 6.0 thousand tons · final pending2026
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
20266.0 Augustpending———
202511.0 August15.6+41.8%$25M2.2%
202411.5 August14.7+27.8%$18M2.1%
202316.0 August14.2−11.3%$29M2.4%
20227.5 August8.3+10.0%$17M1.3%
202119.0 August12.6−33.9%$33M1.8%
202011.5 August6.4−44.3%$18M1.0%
201925.0 August17.0−32.0%$22M2.5%
201832.0 August20.2−36.9%$36M3.1%
2017—24.6—$38M3.5%
2016—18.5—$26M2.3%
2015—20.3—$26M2.4%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

New Jersey peach crop: fresh market vs processing05101520thousand tons2014: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 0% fresh20172018: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons20182019: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 1.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20192020: fresh 6.4, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20202021: fresh 12.5, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20212022: fresh 8.3, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20222023: fresh 14.2, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20232024: fresh 14.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.7 thousand tons — 95% fresh20242025: fresh 15.6, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 100% fresh2025
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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