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New Jersey · crop watch

New Jersey peach crop

USDA last rated the 2024 New Jersey peach crop for the week ending Jul 28, when 75% was good or excellent, versus 61% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 95% complete. USDA's August forecast puts the 2024 crop at 11.5 thousand tons, down 19.0% from last year's final of 14.2.

Last rated week ending Jul 28, 2024

Good to excellent · last reading

75%of the crop

Share of the 2024 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Jul 28.

–

95%

Harvested

As of Sep 1.

▼

6.0

thousand tons, 2026 forecast

−61.5% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Aug 9 — 7 weeks ago

New Jersey peach forecast falls sharply for 2026

New Jersey's peach crop condition was last rated for the week ending August 9, 2026, when USDA showed no acreage in the good or excellent categories, unchanged from the prior week. Forty-five percent of the crop was rated very poor and 45% poor, with the remaining 10% fair. USDA's August forecast put the 2026 crop at 6,000 tons, down 61.5% from last year's final total of 15.6 thousand tons and below the 14.7 thousand tons produced two years earlier. First estimates in this program have typically finished 6.9% smaller than the final number, meaning this crop could end up larger than the initial call. Harvest reached 77% complete by the week ending August 30.

This is the most recent reading USDA has published for this crop and state; it is not a current-week rating.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±25.0%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2024

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
New Jersey peach crop condition, 20240%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jul 7: Very poor 8%, Poor 17%, Fair 36%, Good 30%, Excellent 9% — good+excellent 39% (5-yr avg —, last year 57%)Week ending Jul 14: Very poor 0%, Poor 10%, Fair 25%, Good 65%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 65% (5-yr avg —, last year 68%)Week ending Jul 21: Very poor 4%, Poor 13%, Fair 25%, Good 45%, Excellent 13% — good+excellent 58% (5-yr avg —, last year 100%)Week ending Jul 28: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 25%, Good 75%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 75% (5-yr avg —, last year 61%)Harvest begins — week ending Jul 14Harvest begins−7 pts — week ending Jul 21−7 ptsUSDA forecast — week ending Jul 28USDA forecastJul 7Jul 14Jul 21Jul 28
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 75% good or excellent, week ending Jul 28. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach green tip, 20240%50%100%Green tip, week ending Mar 31: 5% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Apr 7: 7% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Apr 14: 10% (5-yr avg 12%, last year 5%)Green tip, week ending Apr 21: 20% (5-yr avg 40%, last year 23%)Green tip, week ending Apr 28: 25% (5-yr avg 54%, last year 44%)Green tip, week ending May 5: 30% (5-yr avg —, last year 68%)Green tip, week ending May 12: 50% (5-yr avg —, last year 93%)Green tip, week ending May 19: 55% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending May 26: 70% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Jun 2: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Mar 31Apr 14Apr 28May 12May 26
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 95% as of Jun 2.

Field progress

Pink, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach pink, 20240%50%100%Pink, week ending Apr 28: 0% (5-yr avg 11%, last year 0%)Pink, week ending May 5: 3% (5-yr avg 23%, last year 0%)Pink, week ending May 12: 15% (5-yr avg 44%, last year 29%)Pink, week ending May 19: 30% (5-yr avg —, last year 58%)Pink, week ending May 26: 45% (5-yr avg —, last year 86%)Pink, week ending Jun 2: 70% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Jun 9: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 95% as of Jun 9.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach full bloom, 20240%50%100%Full bloom, week ending May 5: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Full bloom, week ending May 12: 2% (5-yr avg 24%, last year 4%)Full bloom, week ending May 19: 10% (5-yr avg 40%, last year 16%)Full bloom, week ending May 26: 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 52%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 2: 50% (5-yr avg —, last year 72%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 9: 70% (5-yr avg —, last year 89%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 16: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 95% as of Jun 16.

Field progress

Petal fall, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach petal fall, 20240%50%100%Petal fall, week ending May 12: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Petal fall, week ending May 19: 2% (5-yr avg —, last year 4%)Petal fall, week ending May 26: 10% (5-yr avg —, last year 19%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 2: 30% (5-yr avg —, last year 32%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 9: 45% (5-yr avg —, last year 53%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 16: 70% (5-yr avg —, last year 71%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 23: 90% (5-yr avg —, last year 93%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 30: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16Jun 23Jun 30
This year5-yr avgLast year

Petal fall: 95% as of Jun 30.

Field progress

Fruit set, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach fruit set, 20240%50%100%Fruit set, week ending May 26: 5% (5-yr avg —, last year 4%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 2: 7% (5-yr avg —, last year 9%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 9: 20% (5-yr avg —, last year 24%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 16: 40% (5-yr avg —, last year 48%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 23: 61% (5-yr avg —, last year 56%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 30: 70% (5-yr avg —, last year 77%)Fruit set, week ending Jul 7: 82% (5-yr avg —, last year 89%)Fruit set, week ending Jul 14: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 94%)May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16Jun 23Jun 30Jul 7Jul 14
This year5-yr avgLast year

Fruit set: 95% as of Jul 14.

Field progress

Harvested, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach harvested, 20240%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jul 7: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 8%)Harvested, week ending Jul 14: 15% (5-yr avg —, last year 18%)Harvested, week ending Jul 21: 30% (5-yr avg —, last year 35%)Harvested, week ending Jul 28: 55% (5-yr avg —, last year 54%)Harvested, week ending Aug 4: 60% (5-yr avg —, last year 63%)Harvested, week ending Aug 11: 64% (5-yr avg —, last year 68%)Harvested, week ending Aug 18: 70% (5-yr avg —, last year 75%)Harvested, week ending Aug 25: 80% (5-yr avg —, last year 91%)Harvested, week ending Sep 1: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Jul 7Jul 21Aug 4Aug 18Sep 1
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 95% as of Sep 1.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

New Jersey peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final010203040thousand tons2015: no forecast · final 20.3 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 18.5 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 24.6 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 32.0 thousand tons · final 20.2 thousand tons (-36.9%)−36.9%20182019: Aug forecast 25.0 thousand tons · final 17.0 thousand tons (-32.0%)−32.0%20192020: Aug forecast 11.5 thousand tons · final 6.4 thousand tons (-44.3%)−44.3%20202021: Aug forecast 19.0 thousand tons · final 12.6 thousand tons (-33.9%)−33.9%20212022: Aug forecast 7.5 thousand tons · final 8.3 thousand tons (+10.0%)+10.0%20222023: Aug forecast 16.0 thousand tons · final 14.2 thousand tons (-11.3%)−11.3%20232024: Aug forecast 11.5 thousand tons · final 14.7 thousand tons (+27.8%)+27.8%20242025: Aug forecast 11.0 thousand tons · final 15.6 thousand tons (+41.8%)+41.8%20252026: Aug forecast 6.0 thousand tons · final pending2026
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
20266.0 Augustpending———
202511.0 August15.6+41.8%$25M2.2%
202411.5 August14.7+27.8%$18M2.1%
202316.0 August14.2−11.3%$29M2.4%
20227.5 August8.3+10.0%$17M1.3%
202119.0 August12.6−33.9%$33M1.8%
202011.5 August6.4−44.3%$18M1.0%
201925.0 August17.0−32.0%$22M2.5%
201832.0 August20.2−36.9%$36M3.1%
2017—24.6—$38M3.5%
2016—18.5—$26M2.3%
2015—20.3—$26M2.4%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

New Jersey peach crop: fresh market vs processing05101520thousand tons2014: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 0% fresh20172018: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons20182019: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 1.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20192020: fresh 6.4, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20202021: fresh 12.5, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20212022: fresh 8.3, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20222023: fresh 14.2, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20232024: fresh 14.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.7 thousand tons — 95% fresh20242025: fresh 15.6, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 100% fresh2025
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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