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New Jersey · crop watch

New Jersey peach crop

USDA last rated the 2026 New Jersey peach crop for the week ending Aug 9, when 0% was good or excellent. Harvest stood at 95% complete. USDA's August forecast puts the 2026 crop at 6.0 thousand tons, down 61.5% from last year's final of 15.6.

Last rated week ending Aug 9, 2026

Good to excellent · last reading

0%of the crop

Share of the 2026 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Aug 9.

–

95%

Harvested

As of Sep 13.

▼

6.0

thousand tons, 2026 forecast

−61.5% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Aug 9 — 7 weeks ago

New Jersey peach forecast falls sharply for 2026

New Jersey's peach crop condition was last rated for the week ending August 9, 2026, when USDA showed no acreage in the good or excellent categories, unchanged from the prior week. Forty-five percent of the crop was rated very poor and 45% poor, with the remaining 10% fair. USDA's August forecast put the 2026 crop at 6,000 tons, down 61.5% from last year's final total of 15.6 thousand tons and below the 14.7 thousand tons produced two years earlier. First estimates in this program have typically finished 6.9% smaller than the final number, meaning this crop could end up larger than the initial call. Harvest reached 77% complete by the week ending August 30.

This is the most recent reading USDA has published for this crop and state; it is not a current-week rating.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±25.0%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2026

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
New Jersey peach crop condition, 20260%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jul 5: Very poor 54%, Poor 40%, Fair 4%, Good 2%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 2% (5-yr avg —, last year 90%)Week ending Jul 12: Very poor 46%, Poor 20%, Fair 24%, Good 10%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 10% (5-yr avg —, last year 70%)Week ending Jul 19: Very poor 61%, Poor 35%, Fair 4%, Good 0%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 71%)Week ending Jul 26: Very poor 60%, Poor 40%, Fair 0%, Good 0%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 83%)Week ending Aug 2: Very poor 45%, Poor 40%, Fair 15%, Good 0%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Aug 9: Very poor 45%, Poor 45%, Fair 10%, Good 0%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvest begins — week ending Jul 19Harvest begins−10 pts — week ending Jul 19−10 ptsUSDA forecast — week ending Aug 9USDA forecastJul 5Jul 12Jul 19Jul 26Aug 2Aug 9
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 0% good or excellent, week ending Aug 9. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2026

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach green tip, 20260%50%100%Green tip, week ending Apr 12: 5% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Apr 19: 45% (5-yr avg 16%, last year 17%)Green tip, week ending Apr 26: 55% (5-yr avg 41%, last year 41%)Green tip, week ending May 3: 65% (5-yr avg —, last year 61%)Green tip, week ending May 10: 85% (5-yr avg —, last year 82%)Green tip, week ending May 17: 98% (5-yr avg —, last year 94%)Apr 12Apr 19Apr 26May 3May 10May 17
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 98% as of May 17.

Field progress

Pink, 2026

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach pink, 20260%50%100%Pink, week ending Apr 19: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Apr 26: 15% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending May 3: 30% (5-yr avg 15%, last year 35%)Pink, week ending May 10: 50% (5-yr avg 28%, last year 51%)Pink, week ending May 17: 70% (5-yr avg —, last year 72%)Pink, week ending May 24: 90% (5-yr avg —, last year 92%)Pink, week ending May 31: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 19Apr 26May 3May 10May 17May 24May 31
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 95% as of May 31.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2026

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach full bloom, 20260%50%100%Full bloom, week ending Apr 26: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending May 3: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 17%)Full bloom, week ending May 10: 25% (5-yr avg 18%, last year 38%)Full bloom, week ending May 17: 45% (5-yr avg 31%, last year 55%)Full bloom, week ending May 24: 65% (5-yr avg —, last year 72%)Full bloom, week ending May 31: 85% (5-yr avg —, last year 92%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 7: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 26May 3May 10May 17May 24May 31Jun 7
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 95% as of Jun 7.

Field progress

Petal fall, 2026

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach petal fall, 20260%50%100%Petal fall, week ending May 17: 15% (5-yr avg 15%, last year 19%)Petal fall, week ending May 24: 35% (5-yr avg 28%, last year 29%)Petal fall, week ending May 31: 45% (5-yr avg —, last year 43%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 7: 55% (5-yr avg —, last year 62%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 14: 75% (5-yr avg —, last year 82%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 21: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 94%)May 17May 24May 31Jun 7Jun 14Jun 21
This year5-yr avgLast year

Petal fall: 95% as of Jun 21.

Field progress

Fruit set, 2026

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach fruit set, 20260%50%100%Fruit set, week ending Jun 14: 15% (5-yr avg 38%, last year 32%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 21: 35% (5-yr avg 60%, last year 52%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 28: 60% (5-yr avg 77%, last year 72%)Fruit set, week ending Jul 5: 80% (5-yr avg —, last year 92%)Fruit set, week ending Jul 12: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Jun 14Jun 21Jun 28Jul 5Jul 12
This year5-yr avgLast year

Fruit set: 95% as of Jul 12.

Field progress

Harvested, 2026

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach harvested, 20260%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jul 12: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 9%)Harvested, week ending Jul 19: 8% (5-yr avg 23%, last year 27%)Harvested, week ending Jul 26: 20% (5-yr avg 42%, last year 47%)Harvested, week ending Aug 2: 35% (5-yr avg 54%, last year 67%)Harvested, week ending Aug 9: 55% (5-yr avg 62%, last year 79%)Harvested, week ending Aug 16: 65% (5-yr avg —, last year 84%)Harvested, week ending Aug 23: 75% (5-yr avg —, last year 94%)Harvested, week ending Aug 30: 77% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Sep 6: 87% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Sep 13: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Jul 12Jul 26Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 95% as of Sep 13.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

New Jersey peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final010203040thousand tons2015: no forecast · final 20.3 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 18.5 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 24.6 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 32.0 thousand tons · final 20.2 thousand tons (-36.9%)−36.9%20182019: Aug forecast 25.0 thousand tons · final 17.0 thousand tons (-32.0%)−32.0%20192020: Aug forecast 11.5 thousand tons · final 6.4 thousand tons (-44.3%)−44.3%20202021: Aug forecast 19.0 thousand tons · final 12.6 thousand tons (-33.9%)−33.9%20212022: Aug forecast 7.5 thousand tons · final 8.3 thousand tons (+10.0%)+10.0%20222023: Aug forecast 16.0 thousand tons · final 14.2 thousand tons (-11.3%)−11.3%20232024: Aug forecast 11.5 thousand tons · final 14.7 thousand tons (+27.8%)+27.8%20242025: Aug forecast 11.0 thousand tons · final 15.6 thousand tons (+41.8%)+41.8%20252026: Aug forecast 6.0 thousand tons · final pending2026
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
20266.0 Augustpending———
202511.0 August15.6+41.8%$25M2.2%
202411.5 August14.7+27.8%$18M2.1%
202316.0 August14.2−11.3%$29M2.4%
20227.5 August8.3+10.0%$17M1.3%
202119.0 August12.6−33.9%$33M1.8%
202011.5 August6.4−44.3%$18M1.0%
201925.0 August17.0−32.0%$22M2.5%
201832.0 August20.2−36.9%$36M3.1%
2017—24.6—$38M3.5%
2016—18.5—$26M2.3%
2015—20.3—$26M2.4%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

New Jersey peach crop: fresh market vs processing05101520thousand tons2014: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 0% fresh20172018: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons20182019: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 1.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20192020: fresh 6.4, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20202021: fresh 12.5, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20212022: fresh 8.3, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20222023: fresh 14.2, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20232024: fresh 14.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.7 thousand tons — 95% fresh20242025: fresh 15.6, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 100% fresh2025
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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