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New Jersey · crop watch

New Jersey peach crop

USDA last rated the 2021 New Jersey peach crop for the week ending Sep 5, when 25% was good or excellent. Harvest stood at 85% complete. USDA's August forecast puts the 2021 crop at 19.0 thousand tons, up 196.9% from last year's final of 6.4.

Last rated week ending Sep 5, 2021

Good to excellent · last reading

25%of the crop

Share of the 2021 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Sep 5.

–

85%

Harvested

As of Aug 22.

▼

6.0

thousand tons, 2026 forecast

−61.5% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Aug 9 — 7 weeks ago

New Jersey peach forecast falls sharply for 2026

New Jersey's peach crop condition was last rated for the week ending August 9, 2026, when USDA showed no acreage in the good or excellent categories, unchanged from the prior week. Forty-five percent of the crop was rated very poor and 45% poor, with the remaining 10% fair. USDA's August forecast put the 2026 crop at 6,000 tons, down 61.5% from last year's final total of 15.6 thousand tons and below the 14.7 thousand tons produced two years earlier. First estimates in this program have typically finished 6.9% smaller than the final number, meaning this crop could end up larger than the initial call. Harvest reached 77% complete by the week ending August 30.

This is the most recent reading USDA has published for this crop and state; it is not a current-week rating.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±25.0%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2021

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
New Jersey peach crop condition, 20210%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jun 27: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 25%, Good 75%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 75% (5-yr avg —, last year 100%)Week ending Jul 4: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 25%)Week ending Jul 11: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 20%)Week ending Jul 18: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 75%)Week ending Jul 25: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 75%)Week ending Aug 1: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 70%)Week ending Aug 8: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 69%)Week ending Aug 15: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 75%)Week ending Aug 22: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 75%)Week ending Aug 29: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 52%)Week ending Sep 5: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year —)−50 pts — week ending Jul 4−50 ptsUSDA forecast — week ending Aug 15USDA forecastHarvest begins — week ending Aug 15Harvest beginsJun 27Jul 11Jul 25Aug 8Aug 22Sep 5
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 25% good or excellent, week ending Sep 5. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach green tip, 20210%50%100%Green tip, week ending Apr 11: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Green tip, week ending Apr 18: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 45%)Green tip, week ending Apr 25: 0% (5-yr avg 53%, last year 55%)Green tip, week ending May 2: 0% (5-yr avg 57%, last year 55%)Green tip, week ending May 9: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 68%)Green tip, week ending May 16: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 79%)Green tip, week ending May 23: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 87%)Green tip, week ending May 30: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 90%)Green tip, week ending Jun 6: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Jun 13: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Jun 20: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Jun 27: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 11Apr 25May 9May 23Jun 6Jun 20
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 100% as of Jun 27.

Field progress

Pink, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach pink, 20210%50%100%Pink, week ending Apr 25: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending May 2: 0% (5-yr avg 31%, last year 0%)Pink, week ending May 9: 0% (5-yr avg 47%, last year 45%)Pink, week ending May 16: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 61%)Pink, week ending May 23: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 68%)Pink, week ending May 30: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 74%)Pink, week ending Jun 6: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Jun 13: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Jun 20: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Jun 27: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 25May 9May 23Jun 6Jun 20
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 100% as of Jun 27.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach full bloom, 20210%50%100%Full bloom, week ending Apr 25: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending May 2: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending May 9: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Full bloom, week ending May 16: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 37%)Full bloom, week ending May 23: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 47%)Full bloom, week ending May 30: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 67%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 6: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending Jun 13: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending Jun 20: 90% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending Jun 27: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 25May 9May 23Jun 6Jun 20
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 95% as of Jun 27.

Field progress

Petal fall, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach petal fall, 20210%50%100%Petal fall, week ending May 16: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending May 23: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending May 30: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending Jun 6: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending Jun 13: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending Jun 20: 55% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending Jun 27: 80% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending Jul 4: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)May 16May 23May 30Jun 6Jun 13Jun 20Jun 27Jul 4
This year5-yr avgLast year

Petal fall: 95% as of Jul 4.

Field progress

Fruit set, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach fruit set, 20210%50%100%Fruit set, week ending May 23: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending May 30: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending Jun 6: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending Jun 13: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending Jun 20: 50% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending Jun 27: 75% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending Jul 4: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)May 23May 30Jun 6Jun 13Jun 20Jun 27Jul 4
This year5-yr avgLast year

Fruit set: 95% as of Jul 4.

Field progress

Harvested, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach harvested, 20210%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jul 4: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Jul 11: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Jul 18: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 1%)Harvested, week ending Jul 25: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 1%)Harvested, week ending Aug 1: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 1%)Harvested, week ending Aug 8: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 1%)Harvested, week ending Aug 15: 78% (5-yr avg —, last year 2%)Harvested, week ending Aug 22: 85% (5-yr avg —, last year 5%)Jul 4Jul 11Jul 18Jul 25Aug 1Aug 8Aug 15Aug 22
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 85% as of Aug 22.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

New Jersey peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final010203040thousand tons2015: no forecast · final 20.3 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 18.5 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 24.6 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 32.0 thousand tons · final 20.2 thousand tons (-36.9%)−36.9%20182019: Aug forecast 25.0 thousand tons · final 17.0 thousand tons (-32.0%)−32.0%20192020: Aug forecast 11.5 thousand tons · final 6.4 thousand tons (-44.3%)−44.3%20202021: Aug forecast 19.0 thousand tons · final 12.6 thousand tons (-33.9%)−33.9%20212022: Aug forecast 7.5 thousand tons · final 8.3 thousand tons (+10.0%)+10.0%20222023: Aug forecast 16.0 thousand tons · final 14.2 thousand tons (-11.3%)−11.3%20232024: Aug forecast 11.5 thousand tons · final 14.7 thousand tons (+27.8%)+27.8%20242025: Aug forecast 11.0 thousand tons · final 15.6 thousand tons (+41.8%)+41.8%20252026: Aug forecast 6.0 thousand tons · final pending2026
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
20266.0 Augustpending———
202511.0 August15.6+41.8%$25M2.2%
202411.5 August14.7+27.8%$18M2.1%
202316.0 August14.2−11.3%$29M2.4%
20227.5 August8.3+10.0%$17M1.3%
202119.0 August12.6−33.9%$33M1.8%
202011.5 August6.4−44.3%$18M1.0%
201925.0 August17.0−32.0%$22M2.5%
201832.0 August20.2−36.9%$36M3.1%
2017—24.6—$38M3.5%
2016—18.5—$26M2.3%
2015—20.3—$26M2.4%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

New Jersey peach crop: fresh market vs processing05101520thousand tons2014: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 0% fresh20172018: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons20182019: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 1.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20192020: fresh 6.4, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20202021: fresh 12.5, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20212022: fresh 8.3, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20222023: fresh 14.2, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20232024: fresh 14.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.7 thousand tons — 95% fresh20242025: fresh 15.6, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 100% fresh2025
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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