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New Jersey · crop watch

New Jersey peach crop

USDA last rated the 2025 New Jersey peach crop for the week ending Jul 27, when 83% was good or excellent, versus 75% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 95% complete. USDA's August forecast puts the 2025 crop at 11.0 thousand tons, down 25.2% from last year's final of 14.7.

Last rated week ending Jul 27, 2025

Good to excellent · last reading

83%of the crop

Share of the 2025 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Jul 27.

–

95%

Harvested

As of Aug 24.

▼

6.0

thousand tons, 2026 forecast

−61.5% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Aug 9 — 7 weeks ago

New Jersey peach forecast falls sharply for 2026

New Jersey's peach crop condition was last rated for the week ending August 9, 2026, when USDA showed no acreage in the good or excellent categories, unchanged from the prior week. Forty-five percent of the crop was rated very poor and 45% poor, with the remaining 10% fair. USDA's August forecast put the 2026 crop at 6,000 tons, down 61.5% from last year's final total of 15.6 thousand tons and below the 14.7 thousand tons produced two years earlier. First estimates in this program have typically finished 6.9% smaller than the final number, meaning this crop could end up larger than the initial call. Harvest reached 77% complete by the week ending August 30.

This is the most recent reading USDA has published for this crop and state; it is not a current-week rating.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±25.0%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2025

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
New Jersey peach crop condition, 20250%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jun 29: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jul 6: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 10%, Good 80%, Excellent 10% — good+excellent 90% (5-yr avg —, last year 39%)Week ending Jul 13: Very poor 3%, Poor 7%, Fair 20%, Good 60%, Excellent 10% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg —, last year 65%)Week ending Jul 20: Very poor 3%, Poor 7%, Fair 19%, Good 52%, Excellent 19% — good+excellent 71% (5-yr avg —, last year 58%)Week ending Jul 27: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 17%, Good 68%, Excellent 15% — good+excellent 83% (5-yr avg —, last year 75%)Harvest begins — week ending Jul 13Harvest begins−20 pts — week ending Jul 13−20 ptsUSDA forecast — week ending Jul 27USDA forecastJun 29Jul 6Jul 13Jul 20Jul 27
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 83% good or excellent, week ending Jul 27. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach green tip, 20250%50%100%Green tip, week ending Apr 13: 2% (5-yr avg 4%, last year 10%)Green tip, week ending Apr 20: 20% (5-yr avg 27%, last year 19%)Green tip, week ending Apr 27: 45% (5-yr avg 44%, last year 24%)Green tip, week ending May 4: 64% (5-yr avg —, last year 29%)Green tip, week ending May 11: 85% (5-yr avg —, last year 47%)Green tip, week ending May 18: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 54%)Apr 13Apr 20Apr 27May 4May 11May 18
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 95% as of May 18.

Field progress

Pink, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach pink, 20250%50%100%Pink, week ending Apr 27: 20% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending May 4: 38% (5-yr avg 10%, last year 3%)Pink, week ending May 11: 53% (5-yr avg 32%, last year 13%)Pink, week ending May 18: 75% (5-yr avg —, last year 28%)Pink, week ending May 25: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 43%)Apr 27May 4May 11May 18May 25
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 95% as of May 25.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach full bloom, 20250%50%100%Full bloom, week ending Apr 27: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending May 4: 20% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending May 11: 41% (5-yr avg 13%, last year 2%)Full bloom, week ending May 18: 57% (5-yr avg 30%, last year 9%)Full bloom, week ending May 25: 75% (5-yr avg —, last year 23%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 1: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 46%)Apr 27May 4May 11May 18May 25Jun 1
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 95% as of Jun 1.

Field progress

Petal fall, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach petal fall, 20250%50%100%Petal fall, week ending May 11: 5% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending May 18: 21% (5-yr avg —, last year 2%)Petal fall, week ending May 25: 30% (5-yr avg —, last year 9%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 1: 45% (5-yr avg —, last year 27%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 8: 65% (5-yr avg —, last year 43%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 15: 85% (5-yr avg —, last year 66%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 22: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 87%)May 11May 18May 25Jun 1Jun 8Jun 15Jun 22
This year5-yr avgLast year

Petal fall: 95% as of Jun 22.

Field progress

Fruit set, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach fruit set, 20250%50%100%Fruit set, week ending May 25: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending Jun 1: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 7%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 8: 15% (5-yr avg —, last year 18%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 15: 35% (5-yr avg —, last year 37%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 22: 55% (5-yr avg —, last year 58%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 29: 75% (5-yr avg —, last year 69%)Fruit set, week ending Jul 6: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 80%)May 25Jun 1Jun 8Jun 15Jun 22Jun 29Jul 6
This year5-yr avgLast year

Fruit set: 95% as of Jul 6.

Field progress

Harvested, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey peach harvested, 20250%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jul 6: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Jul 13: 10% (5-yr avg —, last year 13%)Harvested, week ending Jul 20: 30% (5-yr avg 20%, last year 28%)Harvested, week ending Jul 27: 50% (5-yr avg 35%, last year 51%)Harvested, week ending Aug 3: 70% (5-yr avg 42%, last year 59%)Harvested, week ending Aug 10: 80% (5-yr avg 49%, last year 63%)Harvested, week ending Aug 17: 85% (5-yr avg —, last year 69%)Harvested, week ending Aug 24: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 79%)Jul 6Jul 13Jul 20Jul 27Aug 3Aug 10Aug 17Aug 24
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 95% as of Aug 24.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

New Jersey peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final010203040thousand tons2015: no forecast · final 20.3 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 18.5 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 24.6 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 32.0 thousand tons · final 20.2 thousand tons (-36.9%)−36.9%20182019: Aug forecast 25.0 thousand tons · final 17.0 thousand tons (-32.0%)−32.0%20192020: Aug forecast 11.5 thousand tons · final 6.4 thousand tons (-44.3%)−44.3%20202021: Aug forecast 19.0 thousand tons · final 12.6 thousand tons (-33.9%)−33.9%20212022: Aug forecast 7.5 thousand tons · final 8.3 thousand tons (+10.0%)+10.0%20222023: Aug forecast 16.0 thousand tons · final 14.2 thousand tons (-11.3%)−11.3%20232024: Aug forecast 11.5 thousand tons · final 14.7 thousand tons (+27.8%)+27.8%20242025: Aug forecast 11.0 thousand tons · final 15.6 thousand tons (+41.8%)+41.8%20252026: Aug forecast 6.0 thousand tons · final pending2026
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
20266.0 Augustpending———
202511.0 August15.6+41.8%$25M2.2%
202411.5 August14.7+27.8%$18M2.1%
202316.0 August14.2−11.3%$29M2.4%
20227.5 August8.3+10.0%$17M1.3%
202119.0 August12.6−33.9%$33M1.8%
202011.5 August6.4−44.3%$18M1.0%
201925.0 August17.0−32.0%$22M2.5%
201832.0 August20.2−36.9%$36M3.1%
2017—24.6—$38M3.5%
2016—18.5—$26M2.3%
2015—20.3—$26M2.4%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

New Jersey peach crop: fresh market vs processing05101520thousand tons2014: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 0% fresh20172018: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons20182019: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 1.3 thousand tons — 0% fresh20192020: fresh 6.4, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20202021: fresh 12.5, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20212022: fresh 8.3, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20222023: fresh 14.2, processing 0.0, not sold 0.0 thousand tons — 100% fresh20232024: fresh 14.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.7 thousand tons — 95% fresh20242025: fresh 15.6, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 100% fresh2025
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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