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Pennsylvania · crop watch

Pennsylvania peach crop

USDA last rated the 2020 Pennsylvania peach crop for the week ending Aug 16, when 57% was good or excellent, versus 90% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 100% complete. USDA's August forecast puts the 2020 crop at 15.0 thousand tons, down 24.1% from last year's final of 19.8.

Last rated week ending Aug 16, 2020

Good to excellent · last reading

57%of the crop

Share of the 2020 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Aug 16.

–

100%

Harvested

As of Oct 4.

▼

3.7

thousand tons, 2026 forecast

−82.0% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Jul 26 — 9 weeks ago

Pennsylvania peach condition ran far below normal

USDA rated Pennsylvania's peach crop for the week ending July 26, the most recent reading published, at 20% good to excellent, up 6 points from the prior week but well under the 56% five-year average and last year's 70% for the same week. Forty-three percent of the crop was rated very poor. Harvest reached 95% by the week ending August 16, ahead of last year's 79% pace. USDA's August forecast put production at 3.7 thousand tons, down 82% from last year's 20.5 thousand-ton final. Pennsylvania peach forecasts have typically finished 15.9% above the first estimate of the season, so the final tally has room to move up from this figure.

This is the most recent reading USDA has published for this crop and state; it is not a current-week rating.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±19.0%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2020

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
Pennsylvania peach crop condition, 20200%25%50%75%100%Week ending May 10: Very poor 3%, Poor 0%, Fair 18%, Good 79%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 79% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending May 17: Very poor 8%, Poor 0%, Fair 13%, Good 79%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 79% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending May 24: Very poor 7%, Poor 0%, Fair 14%, Good 79%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 79% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending May 31: Very poor 8%, Poor 2%, Fair 19%, Good 71%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 71% (5-yr avg 88%, last year 94%)Week ending Jun 7: Very poor 9%, Poor 2%, Fair 18%, Good 71%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 71% (5-yr avg 89%, last year 100%)Week ending Jun 14: Very poor 9%, Poor 2%, Fair 18%, Good 71%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 71% (5-yr avg 88%, last year 98%)Week ending Jun 21: Very poor 9%, Poor 2%, Fair 18%, Good 71%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 71% (5-yr avg 88%, last year 100%)Week ending Jun 28: Very poor 9%, Poor 3%, Fair 18%, Good 70%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg 89%, last year 100%)Week ending Jul 5: Very poor 5%, Poor 5%, Fair 20%, Good 70%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg 89%, last year 91%)Week ending Jul 12: Very poor 5%, Poor 4%, Fair 20%, Good 71%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 71% (5-yr avg 90%, last year 90%)Week ending Jul 19: Very poor 9%, Poor 2%, Fair 18%, Good 71%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 71% (5-yr avg —, last year 97%)Week ending Jul 26: Very poor 0%, Poor 8%, Fair 21%, Good 71%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 71% (5-yr avg —, last year 95%)Week ending Aug 2: Very poor 3%, Poor 7%, Fair 20%, Good 70%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg —, last year 87%)Week ending Aug 9: Very poor 8%, Poor 3%, Fair 18%, Good 71%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 71% (5-yr avg 87%, last year 90%)Week ending Aug 16: Very poor 9%, Poor 3%, Fair 31%, Good 57%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 57% (5-yr avg —, last year 90%)Harvest begins — week ending Jul 12Harvest beginsUSDA forecast — week ending Aug 16USDA forecast−14 pts — week ending Aug 16−14 ptsMay 10May 24Jun 7Jun 21Jul 5Jul 19Aug 2Aug 16
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 57% good or excellent, week ending Aug 16. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Pink, 2020

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Pennsylvania peach pink, 20200%50%100%Pink, week ending Apr 5: 8% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Pink, week ending Apr 12: 58% (5-yr avg 23%, last year 9%)Pink, week ending Apr 19: 86% (5-yr avg 43%, last year 47%)Pink, week ending Apr 26: 87% (5-yr avg 61%, last year 80%)Pink, week ending May 3: 93% (5-yr avg 72%, last year 92%)Pink, week ending May 10: 96% (5-yr avg 83%, last year 94%)Pink, week ending May 17: 98% (5-yr avg —, last year 96%)Pink, week ending May 24: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 5Apr 12Apr 19Apr 26May 3May 10May 17May 24
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 100% as of May 24.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2020

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Pennsylvania peach full bloom, 20200%50%100%Full bloom, week ending Apr 5: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending Apr 12: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Full bloom, week ending Apr 19: 28% (5-yr avg —, last year 31%)Full bloom, week ending Apr 26: 73% (5-yr avg 46%, last year 68%)Full bloom, week ending May 3: 83% (5-yr avg 60%, last year 84%)Full bloom, week ending May 10: 90% (5-yr avg 77%, last year 89%)Full bloom, week ending May 17: 92% (5-yr avg 84%, last year 91%)Full bloom, week ending May 24: 94% (5-yr avg —, last year 92%)Full bloom, week ending May 31: 97% (5-yr avg —, last year 94%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 7: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending Jun 14: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 5Apr 19May 3May 17May 31Jun 14
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 100% as of Jun 14.

Field progress

Harvested, 2020

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Pennsylvania peach harvested, 20200%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jul 5: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Jul 12: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year 8%)Harvested, week ending Jul 19: 6% (5-yr avg —, last year 13%)Harvested, week ending Jul 26: 17% (5-yr avg 27%, last year 18%)Harvested, week ending Aug 2: 28% (5-yr avg 34%, last year 23%)Harvested, week ending Aug 9: 36% (5-yr avg 44%, last year 34%)Harvested, week ending Aug 16: 48% (5-yr avg 57%, last year 52%)Harvested, week ending Aug 23: 61% (5-yr avg 68%, last year 65%)Harvested, week ending Aug 30: 73% (5-yr avg 77%, last year 72%)Harvested, week ending Sep 6: 81% (5-yr avg 83%, last year 81%)Harvested, week ending Sep 13: 85% (5-yr avg 89%, last year 86%)Harvested, week ending Sep 20: 89% (5-yr avg —, last year 92%)Harvested, week ending Sep 27: 94% (5-yr avg —, last year 96%)Harvested, week ending Oct 4: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Jul 5Jul 19Aug 2Aug 16Aug 30Sep 13Sep 27
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 100% as of Oct 4.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Pennsylvania peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final0102030thousand tons2015: no forecast · final 18.2 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 16.0 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 21.4 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 18.6 thousand tons · final 17.9 thousand tons (-4.0%)−4.0%20182019: Aug forecast 16.5 thousand tons · final 19.8 thousand tons (+19.7%)+19.7%20192020: Aug forecast 15.0 thousand tons · final 14.1 thousand tons (-6.3%)−6.3%20202021: Aug forecast 21.0 thousand tons · final 20.9 thousand tons (-0.5%)−0.5%20212022: Aug forecast 12.0 thousand tons · final 18.6 thousand tons (+55.0%)+55.0%20222023: Aug forecast 18.5 thousand tons · final 18.5 thousand tons (+0.0%)+0.0%20232024: Aug forecast 16.0 thousand tons · final 14.8 thousand tons (-7.5%)−7.5%20242025: Aug forecast 15.5 thousand tons · final 20.5 thousand tons (+32.3%)+32.3%20252026: Aug forecast 3.7 thousand tons · final pending2026
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
20263.7 Augustpending———
202515.5 August20.5+32.3%$37M2.9%
202416.0 August14.8−7.5%$24M2.1%
202318.5 August18.50.0%$29M3.1%
202212.0 August18.6+55.0%$24M2.9%
202121.0 August20.9−0.5%$28M3.0%
202015.0 August14.1−6.3%$21M2.1%
201916.5 August19.8+19.7%$24M2.9%
201818.6 August17.9−4.0%$21M2.7%
2017—21.4—$25M3.1%
2016—16.0—$19M2.0%
2015—18.2—$21M2.2%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

Pennsylvania peach crop: fresh market vs processing0102030thousand tons2014: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 15.0, processing 0.9, not sold 0.2 thousand tons — 93% fresh20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.4 thousand tons — 0% fresh20172018: fresh 14.3, processing 3.1, not sold 0.4 thousand tons — 80% fresh20182019: fresh 16.8, processing 2.3, not sold 0.7 thousand tons — 85% fresh20192020: fresh 10.3, processing 3.7, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 73% fresh20202021: fresh 16.0, processing 4.5, not sold 0.5 thousand tons — 76% fresh20212022: fresh 15.2, processing 3.2, not sold 0.3 thousand tons — 82% fresh20222023: fresh 16.1, processing 1.9, not sold 0.5 thousand tons — 87% fresh20232024: fresh 12.5, processing 2.0, not sold 0.3 thousand tons — 85% fresh20242025: fresh 19.0, processing 1.3, not sold 0.2 thousand tons — 93% fresh2025
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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