ProduceWire ProduceWire

Pennsylvania · crop watch

Pennsylvania peach crop

USDA last rated the 2026 Pennsylvania peach crop for the week ending Jul 26, when 20% was good or excellent, 36 points below the five-year average of 56%, versus 70% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 95% complete. USDA's August forecast puts the 2026 crop at 3.7 thousand tons, down 82.0% from last year's final of 20.5.

Last rated week ending Jul 26, 2026

Good to excellent · last reading

20%of the crop

36 points below the five-year average for this week, and 70% a year ago.

–

95%

Harvested

As of Aug 16.

▼

3.7

thousand tons, 2026 forecast

−82.0% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Jul 26 — 9 weeks ago

Pennsylvania peach condition ran far below normal

USDA rated Pennsylvania's peach crop for the week ending July 26, the most recent reading published, at 20% good to excellent, up 6 points from the prior week but well under the 56% five-year average and last year's 70% for the same week. Forty-three percent of the crop was rated very poor. Harvest reached 95% by the week ending August 16, ahead of last year's 79% pace. USDA's August forecast put production at 3.7 thousand tons, down 82% from last year's 20.5 thousand-ton final. Pennsylvania peach forecasts have typically finished 15.9% above the first estimate of the season, so the final tally has room to move up from this figure.

This is the most recent reading USDA has published for this crop and state; it is not a current-week rating.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±19.0%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2026

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
Pennsylvania peach crop condition, 20260%25%50%75%100%Week ending May 24: Very poor 43%, Poor 17%, Fair 20%, Good 10%, Excellent 10% — good+excellent 20% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending May 31: Very poor 59%, Poor 12%, Fair 15%, Good 7%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 14% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jun 7: Very poor 59%, Poor 12%, Fair 15%, Good 7%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 14% (5-yr avg —, last year 70%)Week ending Jun 14: Very poor 59%, Poor 12%, Fair 15%, Good 7%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 14% (5-yr avg —, last year 70%)Week ending Jun 21: Very poor 59%, Poor 12%, Fair 15%, Good 7%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 14% (5-yr avg 57%, last year 70%)Week ending Jun 28: Very poor 59%, Poor 12%, Fair 15%, Good 7%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 14% (5-yr avg 57%, last year 70%)Week ending Jul 5: Very poor 59%, Poor 12%, Fair 15%, Good 7%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 14% (5-yr avg 57%, last year 70%)Week ending Jul 12: Very poor 59%, Poor 12%, Fair 15%, Good 7%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 14% (5-yr avg 59%, last year 70%)Week ending Jul 19: Very poor 59%, Poor 12%, Fair 15%, Good 7%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 14% (5-yr avg 58%, last year 70%)Week ending Jul 26: Very poor 43%, Poor 17%, Fair 20%, Good 10%, Excellent 10% — good+excellent 20% (5-yr avg 56%, last year 70%)−6 pts — week ending May 31−6 ptsHarvest begins — week ending Jun 28Harvest beginsUSDA forecast — week ending Jul 26USDA forecastMay 24Jun 7Jun 21Jul 5Jul 19
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 20% good or excellent, week ending Jul 26. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2026

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Pennsylvania peach green tip, 20260%50%100%Green tip, week ending Apr 5: 73% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Apr 12: 83% (5-yr avg 48%, last year 58%)Green tip, week ending Apr 19: 95% (5-yr avg 63%, last year 64%)Apr 5Apr 12Apr 19
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 95% as of Apr 19 (5-yr avg 63%).

Field progress

Pink, 2026

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Pennsylvania peach pink, 20260%50%100%Pink, week ending Apr 5: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Apr 12: 2% (5-yr avg 9%, last year 0%)Pink, week ending Apr 19: 22% (5-yr avg 28%, last year 9%)Pink, week ending Apr 26: 35% (5-yr avg 43%, last year 23%)Pink, week ending May 3: 80% (5-yr avg 57%, last year 42%)Pink, week ending May 10: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 62%)Apr 5Apr 12Apr 19Apr 26May 3May 10
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 95% as of May 10.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2026

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Pennsylvania peach full bloom, 20260%50%100%Full bloom, week ending Apr 19: 2% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending Apr 26: 20% (5-yr avg 16%, last year 1%)Full bloom, week ending May 3: 40% (5-yr avg 29%, last year 13%)Full bloom, week ending May 10: 60% (5-yr avg 43%, last year 32%)Full bloom, week ending May 17: 85% (5-yr avg 54%, last year 52%)Full bloom, week ending May 24: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 72%)Apr 19Apr 26May 3May 10May 17May 24
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 95% as of May 24.

Field progress

Harvested, 2026

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Pennsylvania peach harvested, 20260%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jun 28: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Jul 5: 5% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Jul 12: 15% (5-yr avg —, last year 9%)Harvested, week ending Jul 19: 45% (5-yr avg —, last year 19%)Harvested, week ending Jul 26: 66% (5-yr avg —, last year 37%)Harvested, week ending Aug 2: 76% (5-yr avg —, last year 57%)Harvested, week ending Aug 9: 86% (5-yr avg —, last year 69%)Harvested, week ending Aug 16: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 79%)Jun 28Jul 5Jul 12Jul 19Jul 26Aug 2Aug 9Aug 16
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 95% as of Aug 16.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Pennsylvania peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final0102030thousand tons2015: no forecast · final 18.2 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 16.0 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 21.4 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 18.6 thousand tons · final 17.9 thousand tons (-4.0%)−4.0%20182019: Aug forecast 16.5 thousand tons · final 19.8 thousand tons (+19.7%)+19.7%20192020: Aug forecast 15.0 thousand tons · final 14.1 thousand tons (-6.3%)−6.3%20202021: Aug forecast 21.0 thousand tons · final 20.9 thousand tons (-0.5%)−0.5%20212022: Aug forecast 12.0 thousand tons · final 18.6 thousand tons (+55.0%)+55.0%20222023: Aug forecast 18.5 thousand tons · final 18.5 thousand tons (+0.0%)+0.0%20232024: Aug forecast 16.0 thousand tons · final 14.8 thousand tons (-7.5%)−7.5%20242025: Aug forecast 15.5 thousand tons · final 20.5 thousand tons (+32.3%)+32.3%20252026: Aug forecast 3.7 thousand tons · final pending2026
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
20263.7 Augustpending———
202515.5 August20.5+32.3%$37M2.9%
202416.0 August14.8−7.5%$24M2.1%
202318.5 August18.50.0%$29M3.1%
202212.0 August18.6+55.0%$24M2.9%
202121.0 August20.9−0.5%$28M3.0%
202015.0 August14.1−6.3%$21M2.1%
201916.5 August19.8+19.7%$24M2.9%
201818.6 August17.9−4.0%$21M2.7%
2017—21.4—$25M3.1%
2016—16.0—$19M2.0%
2015—18.2—$21M2.2%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

Pennsylvania peach crop: fresh market vs processing0102030thousand tons2014: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 15.0, processing 0.9, not sold 0.2 thousand tons — 93% fresh20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.4 thousand tons — 0% fresh20172018: fresh 14.3, processing 3.1, not sold 0.4 thousand tons — 80% fresh20182019: fresh 16.8, processing 2.3, not sold 0.7 thousand tons — 85% fresh20192020: fresh 10.3, processing 3.7, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 73% fresh20202021: fresh 16.0, processing 4.5, not sold 0.5 thousand tons — 76% fresh20212022: fresh 15.2, processing 3.2, not sold 0.3 thousand tons — 82% fresh20222023: fresh 16.1, processing 1.9, not sold 0.5 thousand tons — 87% fresh20232024: fresh 12.5, processing 2.0, not sold 0.3 thousand tons — 85% fresh20242025: fresh 19.0, processing 1.3, not sold 0.2 thousand tons — 93% fresh2025
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

Get the Weekly Market Brief

Price moves, freight signals, and the produce stories that matter — one email, every week. Built for buyers, category managers, and brokers.

Subscribe free →