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Pennsylvania · crop watch

Pennsylvania peach crop

USDA last rated the 2025 Pennsylvania peach crop for the week ending Aug 3, when 70% was good or excellent, 15 points above the five-year average of 55%, versus 32% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 95% complete (five-year average 65%). USDA's August forecast puts the 2025 crop at 15.5 thousand tons, up 4.7% from last year's final of 14.8.

Last rated week ending Aug 3, 2025

Good to excellent · last reading

70%of the crop

15 points above the five-year average for this week, and 32% a year ago.

▲

95%

Harvested

+30 points against the five-year pace of 65%.

▼

3.7

thousand tons, 2026 forecast

−82.0% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Jul 26 — 9 weeks ago

Pennsylvania peach condition ran far below normal

USDA rated Pennsylvania's peach crop for the week ending July 26, the most recent reading published, at 20% good to excellent, up 6 points from the prior week but well under the 56% five-year average and last year's 70% for the same week. Forty-three percent of the crop was rated very poor. Harvest reached 95% by the week ending August 16, ahead of last year's 79% pace. USDA's August forecast put production at 3.7 thousand tons, down 82% from last year's 20.5 thousand-ton final. Pennsylvania peach forecasts have typically finished 15.9% above the first estimate of the season, so the final tally has room to move up from this figure.

This is the most recent reading USDA has published for this crop and state; it is not a current-week rating.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±19.0%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2025

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
Pennsylvania peach crop condition, 20250%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jun 8: Very poor 1%, Poor 4%, Fair 25%, Good 57%, Excellent 13% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jun 15: Very poor 1%, Poor 4%, Fair 25%, Good 57%, Excellent 13% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg —, last year 53%)Week ending Jun 22: Very poor 1%, Poor 4%, Fair 25%, Good 57%, Excellent 13% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg 56%, last year 54%)Week ending Jun 29: Very poor 1%, Poor 4%, Fair 25%, Good 57%, Excellent 13% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg 57%, last year 53%)Week ending Jul 6: Very poor 1%, Poor 4%, Fair 25%, Good 57%, Excellent 13% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg 57%, last year 51%)Week ending Jul 13: Very poor 1%, Poor 4%, Fair 25%, Good 57%, Excellent 13% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg 60%, last year 52%)Week ending Jul 20: Very poor 1%, Poor 4%, Fair 25%, Good 57%, Excellent 13% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg 58%, last year 43%)Week ending Jul 27: Very poor 1%, Poor 4%, Fair 25%, Good 57%, Excellent 13% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg 56%, last year 28%)Week ending Aug 3: Very poor 1%, Poor 4%, Fair 25%, Good 57%, Excellent 13% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg 55%, last year 32%)Harvest begins — week ending Jul 13Harvest beginsUSDA forecast — week ending Aug 3USDA forecastJun 8Jun 22Jul 6Jul 20Aug 3
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 70% good or excellent, week ending Aug 3. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Pennsylvania peach green tip, 20250%50%100%Green tip, week ending Apr 6: 44% (5-yr avg —, last year 17%)Green tip, week ending Apr 13: 60% (5-yr avg —, last year 29%)Green tip, week ending Apr 20: 65% (5-yr avg —, last year 47%)Green tip, week ending Apr 27: 85% (5-yr avg —, last year 63%)Green tip, week ending May 4: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 82%)Apr 6Apr 13Apr 20Apr 27May 4
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 95% as of May 4.

Field progress

Pink, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Pennsylvania peach pink, 20250%50%100%Pink, week ending Apr 6: 0% (5-yr avg 5%, last year 0%)Pink, week ending Apr 13: 0% (5-yr avg 23%, last year 0%)Pink, week ending Apr 20: 10% (5-yr avg 46%, last year 30%)Pink, week ending Apr 27: 25% (5-yr avg 57%, last year 44%)Pink, week ending May 4: 45% (5-yr avg 70%, last year 62%)Pink, week ending May 11: 65% (5-yr avg —, last year 78%)Pink, week ending May 18: 85% (5-yr avg —, last year 93%)Pink, week ending May 25: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 6Apr 13Apr 20Apr 27May 4May 11May 18May 25
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 95% as of May 25.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Pennsylvania peach full bloom, 20250%50%100%Full bloom, week ending Apr 20: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending Apr 27: 1% (5-yr avg 32%, last year 8%)Full bloom, week ending May 4: 15% (5-yr avg 45%, last year 23%)Full bloom, week ending May 11: 35% (5-yr avg 55%, last year 34%)Full bloom, week ending May 18: 55% (5-yr avg 63%, last year 52%)Full bloom, week ending May 25: 75% (5-yr avg —, last year 68%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 1: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 83%)Apr 20Apr 27May 4May 11May 18May 25Jun 1
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 95% as of Jun 1.

Field progress

Harvested, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Pennsylvania peach harvested, 20250%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jul 6: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Jul 13: 10% (5-yr avg —, last year 9%)Harvested, week ending Jul 20: 20% (5-yr avg —, last year 19%)Harvested, week ending Jul 27: 40% (5-yr avg —, last year 29%)Harvested, week ending Aug 3: 60% (5-yr avg —, last year 39%)Harvested, week ending Aug 10: 70% (5-yr avg —, last year 46%)Harvested, week ending Aug 17: 80% (5-yr avg —, last year 59%)Harvested, week ending Aug 24: 90% (5-yr avg 54%, last year 70%)Harvested, week ending Aug 31: 95% (5-yr avg 65%, last year 79%)Jul 6Jul 20Aug 3Aug 17Aug 31
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 95% as of Aug 31 (5-yr avg 65%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Pennsylvania peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final0102030thousand tons2015: no forecast · final 18.2 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 16.0 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 21.4 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 18.6 thousand tons · final 17.9 thousand tons (-4.0%)−4.0%20182019: Aug forecast 16.5 thousand tons · final 19.8 thousand tons (+19.7%)+19.7%20192020: Aug forecast 15.0 thousand tons · final 14.1 thousand tons (-6.3%)−6.3%20202021: Aug forecast 21.0 thousand tons · final 20.9 thousand tons (-0.5%)−0.5%20212022: Aug forecast 12.0 thousand tons · final 18.6 thousand tons (+55.0%)+55.0%20222023: Aug forecast 18.5 thousand tons · final 18.5 thousand tons (+0.0%)+0.0%20232024: Aug forecast 16.0 thousand tons · final 14.8 thousand tons (-7.5%)−7.5%20242025: Aug forecast 15.5 thousand tons · final 20.5 thousand tons (+32.3%)+32.3%20252026: Aug forecast 3.7 thousand tons · final pending2026
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
20263.7 Augustpending———
202515.5 August20.5+32.3%$37M2.9%
202416.0 August14.8−7.5%$24M2.1%
202318.5 August18.50.0%$29M3.1%
202212.0 August18.6+55.0%$24M2.9%
202121.0 August20.9−0.5%$28M3.0%
202015.0 August14.1−6.3%$21M2.1%
201916.5 August19.8+19.7%$24M2.9%
201818.6 August17.9−4.0%$21M2.7%
2017—21.4—$25M3.1%
2016—16.0—$19M2.0%
2015—18.2—$21M2.2%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

Pennsylvania peach crop: fresh market vs processing0102030thousand tons2014: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 15.0, processing 0.9, not sold 0.2 thousand tons — 93% fresh20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.4 thousand tons — 0% fresh20172018: fresh 14.3, processing 3.1, not sold 0.4 thousand tons — 80% fresh20182019: fresh 16.8, processing 2.3, not sold 0.7 thousand tons — 85% fresh20192020: fresh 10.3, processing 3.7, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 73% fresh20202021: fresh 16.0, processing 4.5, not sold 0.5 thousand tons — 76% fresh20212022: fresh 15.2, processing 3.2, not sold 0.3 thousand tons — 82% fresh20222023: fresh 16.1, processing 1.9, not sold 0.5 thousand tons — 87% fresh20232024: fresh 12.5, processing 2.0, not sold 0.3 thousand tons — 85% fresh20242025: fresh 19.0, processing 1.3, not sold 0.2 thousand tons — 93% fresh2025
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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