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Pennsylvania · crop watch

Pennsylvania peach crop

USDA last rated the 2024 Pennsylvania peach crop for the week ending Aug 11, when 35% was good or excellent, 47 points below the five-year average of 82%, versus 75% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 95% complete (five-year average 85%). USDA's August forecast puts the 2024 crop at 16.0 thousand tons, down 13.5% from last year's final of 18.5.

Last rated week ending Aug 11, 2024

Good to excellent · last reading

35%of the crop

47 points below the five-year average for this week, and 75% a year ago.

▲

95%

Harvested

+10 points against the five-year pace of 85%.

▼

3.7

thousand tons, 2026 forecast

−82.0% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Jul 26 — 9 weeks ago

Pennsylvania peach condition ran far below normal

USDA rated Pennsylvania's peach crop for the week ending July 26, the most recent reading published, at 20% good to excellent, up 6 points from the prior week but well under the 56% five-year average and last year's 70% for the same week. Forty-three percent of the crop was rated very poor. Harvest reached 95% by the week ending August 16, ahead of last year's 79% pace. USDA's August forecast put production at 3.7 thousand tons, down 82% from last year's 20.5 thousand-ton final. Pennsylvania peach forecasts have typically finished 15.9% above the first estimate of the season, so the final tally has room to move up from this figure.

This is the most recent reading USDA has published for this crop and state; it is not a current-week rating.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±19.0%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2024

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
Pennsylvania peach crop condition, 20240%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jun 16: Very poor 0%, Poor 34%, Fair 13%, Good 47%, Excellent 6% — good+excellent 53% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jun 23: Very poor 0%, Poor 33%, Fair 13%, Good 48%, Excellent 6% — good+excellent 54% (5-yr avg 65%, last year 0%)Week ending Jun 30: Very poor 0%, Poor 34%, Fair 13%, Good 47%, Excellent 6% — good+excellent 53% (5-yr avg 66%, last year 0%)Week ending Jul 7: Very poor 0%, Poor 35%, Fair 14%, Good 45%, Excellent 6% — good+excellent 51% (5-yr avg 65%, last year 0%)Week ending Jul 14: Very poor 0%, Poor 35%, Fair 13%, Good 46%, Excellent 6% — good+excellent 52% (5-yr avg 67%, last year 0%)Week ending Jul 21: Very poor 0%, Poor 24%, Fair 33%, Good 42%, Excellent 1% — good+excellent 43% (5-yr avg 69%, last year 0%)Week ending Jul 28: Very poor 0%, Poor 24%, Fair 48%, Good 27%, Excellent 1% — good+excellent 28% (5-yr avg 68%, last year 0%)Week ending Aug 4: Very poor 0%, Poor 30%, Fair 38%, Good 28%, Excellent 4% — good+excellent 32% (5-yr avg 66%, last year 0%)Week ending Aug 11: Very poor 0%, Poor 30%, Fair 35%, Good 31%, Excellent 4% — good+excellent 35% (5-yr avg 82%, last year 75%)Harvest begins — week ending Jul 14Harvest begins−15 pts — week ending Jul 28−15 ptsUSDA forecast — week ending Aug 11USDA forecastJun 16Jun 30Jul 14Jul 28Aug 11
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 35% good or excellent, week ending Aug 11. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Pennsylvania peach green tip, 20240%50%100%Green tip, week ending Mar 31: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Apr 7: 20% (5-yr avg —, last year 29%)Green tip, week ending Apr 14: 30% (5-yr avg —, last year 54%)Green tip, week ending Apr 21: 50% (5-yr avg —, last year 74%)Green tip, week ending Apr 28: 65% (5-yr avg —, last year 87%)Green tip, week ending May 5: 85% (5-yr avg —, last year 94%)Green tip, week ending May 12: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 95% as of May 12.

Field progress

Pink, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Pennsylvania peach pink, 20240%50%100%Pink, week ending Mar 31: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Apr 7: 0% (5-yr avg 7%, last year 5%)Pink, week ending Apr 14: 0% (5-yr avg 28%, last year 24%)Pink, week ending Apr 21: 35% (5-yr avg 53%, last year 47%)Pink, week ending Apr 28: 45% (5-yr avg 67%, last year 60%)Pink, week ending May 5: 65% (5-yr avg 77%, last year 72%)Pink, week ending May 12: 80% (5-yr avg —, last year 82%)Pink, week ending May 19: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 92%)Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 95% as of May 19.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Pennsylvania peach full bloom, 20240%50%100%Full bloom, week ending Apr 21: 5% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending Apr 28: 9% (5-yr avg 48%, last year 6%)Full bloom, week ending May 5: 25% (5-yr avg 60%, last year 15%)Full bloom, week ending May 12: 35% (5-yr avg 67%, last year 23%)Full bloom, week ending May 19: 55% (5-yr avg 71%, last year 29%)Full bloom, week ending May 26: 70% (5-yr avg —, last year 52%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 2: 85% (5-yr avg —, last year 72%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 9: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 86%)Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 95% as of Jun 9.

Field progress

Harvested, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Pennsylvania peach harvested, 20240%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jul 7: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Jul 14: 10% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Jul 21: 20% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Jul 28: 30% (5-yr avg —, last year 1%)Harvested, week ending Aug 4: 40% (5-yr avg —, last year 4%)Harvested, week ending Aug 11: 47% (5-yr avg —, last year 19%)Harvested, week ending Aug 18: 61% (5-yr avg —, last year 41%)Harvested, week ending Aug 25: 71% (5-yr avg 54%, last year 57%)Harvested, week ending Sep 1: 80% (5-yr avg 66%, last year 73%)Harvested, week ending Sep 8: 85% (5-yr avg 76%, last year 82%)Harvested, week ending Sep 15: 95% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 92%)Jul 7Jul 21Aug 4Aug 18Sep 1Sep 15
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 95% as of Sep 15 (5-yr avg 85%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Pennsylvania peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final0102030thousand tons2015: no forecast · final 18.2 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 16.0 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 21.4 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 18.6 thousand tons · final 17.9 thousand tons (-4.0%)−4.0%20182019: Aug forecast 16.5 thousand tons · final 19.8 thousand tons (+19.7%)+19.7%20192020: Aug forecast 15.0 thousand tons · final 14.1 thousand tons (-6.3%)−6.3%20202021: Aug forecast 21.0 thousand tons · final 20.9 thousand tons (-0.5%)−0.5%20212022: Aug forecast 12.0 thousand tons · final 18.6 thousand tons (+55.0%)+55.0%20222023: Aug forecast 18.5 thousand tons · final 18.5 thousand tons (+0.0%)+0.0%20232024: Aug forecast 16.0 thousand tons · final 14.8 thousand tons (-7.5%)−7.5%20242025: Aug forecast 15.5 thousand tons · final 20.5 thousand tons (+32.3%)+32.3%20252026: Aug forecast 3.7 thousand tons · final pending2026
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
20263.7 Augustpending———
202515.5 August20.5+32.3%$37M2.9%
202416.0 August14.8−7.5%$24M2.1%
202318.5 August18.50.0%$29M3.1%
202212.0 August18.6+55.0%$24M2.9%
202121.0 August20.9−0.5%$28M3.0%
202015.0 August14.1−6.3%$21M2.1%
201916.5 August19.8+19.7%$24M2.9%
201818.6 August17.9−4.0%$21M2.7%
2017—21.4—$25M3.1%
2016—16.0—$19M2.0%
2015—18.2—$21M2.2%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

Pennsylvania peach crop: fresh market vs processing0102030thousand tons2014: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 15.0, processing 0.9, not sold 0.2 thousand tons — 93% fresh20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.4 thousand tons — 0% fresh20172018: fresh 14.3, processing 3.1, not sold 0.4 thousand tons — 80% fresh20182019: fresh 16.8, processing 2.3, not sold 0.7 thousand tons — 85% fresh20192020: fresh 10.3, processing 3.7, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 73% fresh20202021: fresh 16.0, processing 4.5, not sold 0.5 thousand tons — 76% fresh20212022: fresh 15.2, processing 3.2, not sold 0.3 thousand tons — 82% fresh20222023: fresh 16.1, processing 1.9, not sold 0.5 thousand tons — 87% fresh20232024: fresh 12.5, processing 2.0, not sold 0.3 thousand tons — 85% fresh20242025: fresh 19.0, processing 1.3, not sold 0.2 thousand tons — 93% fresh2025
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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