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Pennsylvania · crop watch

Pennsylvania peach crop

USDA last rated the 2022 Pennsylvania peach crop for the week ending Aug 21, when 95% was good or excellent, versus 96% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 95% complete (five-year average 95%). USDA's August forecast puts the 2022 crop at 12.0 thousand tons, down 42.6% from last year's final of 20.9.

Last rated week ending Aug 21, 2022

Good to excellent · last reading

95%of the crop

Share of the 2022 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Aug 21.

=

95%

Harvested

0 points against the five-year pace of 95%.

▼

3.7

thousand tons, 2026 forecast

−82.0% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Jul 26 — 9 weeks ago

Pennsylvania peach condition ran far below normal

USDA rated Pennsylvania's peach crop for the week ending July 26, the most recent reading published, at 20% good to excellent, up 6 points from the prior week but well under the 56% five-year average and last year's 70% for the same week. Forty-three percent of the crop was rated very poor. Harvest reached 95% by the week ending August 16, ahead of last year's 79% pace. USDA's August forecast put production at 3.7 thousand tons, down 82% from last year's 20.5 thousand-ton final. Pennsylvania peach forecasts have typically finished 15.9% above the first estimate of the season, so the final tally has room to move up from this figure.

This is the most recent reading USDA has published for this crop and state; it is not a current-week rating.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±19.0%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2022

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
Pennsylvania peach crop condition, 20220%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jun 19: Very poor 10%, Poor 0%, Fair 90%, Good 0%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 0% (5-yr avg 90%, last year 86%)Week ending Jun 26: Very poor 10%, Poor 0%, Fair 20%, Good 70%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg 89%, last year 86%)Week ending Jul 3: Very poor 10%, Poor 0%, Fair 15%, Good 75%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 75% (5-yr avg 88%, last year 86%)Week ending Jul 10: Very poor 10%, Poor 0%, Fair 10%, Good 80%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 80% (5-yr avg 88%, last year 84%)Week ending Jul 17: Very poor 5%, Poor 0%, Fair 10%, Good 85%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 85% (5-yr avg —, last year 90%)Week ending Jul 24: Very poor 0%, Poor 3%, Fair 12%, Good 85%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 85% (5-yr avg —, last year 91%)Week ending Jul 31: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 10%, Good 90%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 90% (5-yr avg —, last year 91%)Week ending Aug 7: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 12%, Good 88%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 88% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 90%)Week ending Aug 14: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 10%, Good 90%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 90% (5-yr avg —, last year 96%)Week ending Aug 21: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 5%, Good 95%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 96%)USDA forecast — week ending Aug 14USDA forecastHarvest begins — week ending Aug 21Harvest beginsJun 19Jul 3Jul 17Jul 31Aug 14
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 95% good or excellent, week ending Aug 21. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Pennsylvania peach green tip, 20220%50%100%Green tip, week ending Apr 3: 12% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Apr 10: 32% (5-yr avg —, last year 61%)Green tip, week ending Apr 17: 52% (5-yr avg —, last year 79%)Green tip, week ending Apr 24: 60% (5-yr avg —, last year 90%)Green tip, week ending May 1: 70% (5-yr avg —, last year 95%)Green tip, week ending May 8: 90% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending May 15: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 3Apr 10Apr 17Apr 24May 1May 8May 15
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 95% as of May 15.

Field progress

Pink, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Pennsylvania peach pink, 20220%50%100%Pink, week ending Apr 3: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Apr 10: 0% (5-yr avg 25%, last year 18%)Pink, week ending Apr 17: 0% (5-yr avg 47%, last year 54%)Pink, week ending Apr 24: 8% (5-yr avg 70%, last year 75%)Pink, week ending May 1: 20% (5-yr avg 88%, last year 87%)Pink, week ending May 8: 50% (5-yr avg 93%, last year 95%)Pink, week ending May 15: 60% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending May 22: 80% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending May 29: 90% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Jun 5: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 3Apr 17May 1May 15May 29
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 95% as of Jun 5.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Pennsylvania peach full bloom, 20220%50%100%Full bloom, week ending Apr 24: 7% (5-yr avg 49%, last year 52%)Full bloom, week ending May 1: 17% (5-yr avg 72%, last year 74%)Full bloom, week ending May 8: 37% (5-yr avg 87%, last year 87%)Full bloom, week ending May 15: 45% (5-yr avg 92%, last year 92%)Full bloom, week ending May 22: 55% (5-yr avg —, last year 95%)Full bloom, week ending May 29: 70% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending Jun 5: 80% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending Jun 12: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 24May 1May 8May 15May 22May 29Jun 5Jun 12
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 95% as of Jun 12.

Field progress

Harvested, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Pennsylvania peach harvested, 20220%50%100%Harvested, week ending Aug 21: 22% (5-yr avg 58%, last year 52%)Harvested, week ending Aug 28: 31% (5-yr avg 69%, last year 59%)Harvested, week ending Sep 4: 56% (5-yr avg 77%, last year 63%)Harvested, week ending Sep 11: 70% (5-yr avg 84%, last year 73%)Harvested, week ending Sep 18: 85% (5-yr avg 89%, last year 84%)Harvested, week ending Sep 25: 95% (5-yr avg 95%, last year 97%)Aug 21Aug 28Sep 4Sep 11Sep 18Sep 25
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 95% as of Sep 25 (5-yr avg 95%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Pennsylvania peach crop: USDA first forecast vs final0102030thousand tons2015: no forecast · final 18.2 thousand tons20152016: no forecast · final 16.0 thousand tons20162017: no forecast · final 21.4 thousand tons20172018: Aug forecast 18.6 thousand tons · final 17.9 thousand tons (-4.0%)−4.0%20182019: Aug forecast 16.5 thousand tons · final 19.8 thousand tons (+19.7%)+19.7%20192020: Aug forecast 15.0 thousand tons · final 14.1 thousand tons (-6.3%)−6.3%20202021: Aug forecast 21.0 thousand tons · final 20.9 thousand tons (-0.5%)−0.5%20212022: Aug forecast 12.0 thousand tons · final 18.6 thousand tons (+55.0%)+55.0%20222023: Aug forecast 18.5 thousand tons · final 18.5 thousand tons (+0.0%)+0.0%20232024: Aug forecast 16.0 thousand tons · final 14.8 thousand tons (-7.5%)−7.5%20242025: Aug forecast 15.5 thousand tons · final 20.5 thousand tons (+32.3%)+32.3%20252026: Aug forecast 3.7 thousand tons · final pending2026
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (thousand tons)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
20263.7 Augustpending———
202515.5 August20.5+32.3%$37M2.9%
202416.0 August14.8−7.5%$24M2.1%
202318.5 August18.50.0%$29M3.1%
202212.0 August18.6+55.0%$24M2.9%
202121.0 August20.9−0.5%$28M3.0%
202015.0 August14.1−6.3%$21M2.1%
201916.5 August19.8+19.7%$24M2.9%
201818.6 August17.9−4.0%$21M2.7%
2017—21.4—$25M3.1%
2016—16.0—$19M2.0%
2015—18.2—$21M2.2%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

Pennsylvania peach crop: fresh market vs processing0102030thousand tons2014: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20142015: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 0% fresh20152016: fresh 15.0, processing 0.9, not sold 0.2 thousand tons — 93% fresh20162017: fresh 0.0, processing 0.0, not sold 0.4 thousand tons — 0% fresh20172018: fresh 14.3, processing 3.1, not sold 0.4 thousand tons — 80% fresh20182019: fresh 16.8, processing 2.3, not sold 0.7 thousand tons — 85% fresh20192020: fresh 10.3, processing 3.7, not sold 0.1 thousand tons — 73% fresh20202021: fresh 16.0, processing 4.5, not sold 0.5 thousand tons — 76% fresh20212022: fresh 15.2, processing 3.2, not sold 0.3 thousand tons — 82% fresh20222023: fresh 16.1, processing 1.9, not sold 0.5 thousand tons — 87% fresh20232024: fresh 12.5, processing 2.0, not sold 0.3 thousand tons — 85% fresh20242025: fresh 19.0, processing 1.3, not sold 0.2 thousand tons — 93% fresh2025
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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