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New Jersey · crop watch

New Jersey apple crop

USDA last rated the 2021 New Jersey apple crop for the week ending Oct 31, when 100% was good or excellent. Harvest stood at 100% complete. USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 49.2 million lb, up 27.8% from last year's final of 38.5.

Last rated week ending Oct 31, 2021

Good to excellent · last reading

100%of the crop

Share of the 2021 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Oct 31.

–

100%

Harvested

As of Oct 31.

▲

49.2

million lb, 2018 forecast

+27.8% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Sep 27

New Jersey apple crop condition falls to zero

For the week ending September 27, 2026, New Jersey rated no apples in the good or excellent categories, unchanged from the prior week but far below the 75% good-to-excellent share reported the same week last year. Ninety percent of the crop was scored poor or very poor, with only 10% rated fair. Harvest reached 50% complete, trailing last year's 58% pace at this point. The season has now carried 14 weeks of condition ratings. Watch USDA's next weekly report for whether harvest catches up before the window closes.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2021

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
New Jersey apple crop condition, 20210%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jun 27: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 25%, Good 75%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 75% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jul 4: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 50%)Week ending Jul 11: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 20%)Week ending Jul 18: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 20%)Week ending Jul 25: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 20%)Week ending Aug 1: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 25%)Week ending Aug 8: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 25%)Week ending Aug 15: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 25%)Week ending Aug 22: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 25%)Week ending Aug 29: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 25%)Week ending Sep 5: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 25%)Week ending Sep 12: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 25%)Week ending Sep 19: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 27%)Week ending Sep 26: Very poor 0%, Poor 25%, Fair 50%, Good 25%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 25% (5-yr avg —, last year 36%)Week ending Oct 3: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 100%)Week ending Oct 10: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 50%)Week ending Oct 17: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Oct 24: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Oct 31: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)−50 pts — week ending Jul 4−50 ptsUSDA forecast — week ending Aug 15USDA forecastHarvest begins — week ending Sep 19Harvest beginsJun 27Jul 18Aug 8Aug 29Sep 19Oct 10Oct 31
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 100% good or excellent, week ending Oct 31. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey apple green tip, 20210%50%100%Green tip, week ending Apr 18: 0% (5-yr avg 48%, last year 45%)Green tip, week ending Apr 25: 0% (5-yr avg 56%, last year 55%)Green tip, week ending May 2: 0% (5-yr avg 68%, last year 55%)Green tip, week ending May 9: 0% (5-yr avg 74%, last year 66%)Green tip, week ending May 16: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 79%)Green tip, week ending May 23: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 87%)Green tip, week ending May 30: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 90%)Green tip, week ending Jun 6: 11% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 18Apr 25May 2May 9May 16May 23May 30Jun 6
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 11% as of Jun 6.

Field progress

Pink, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey apple pink, 20210%50%100%Pink, week ending Apr 25: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 1%)Pink, week ending May 2: 0% (5-yr avg 39%, last year 1%)Pink, week ending May 9: 0% (5-yr avg 61%, last year 50%)Pink, week ending May 16: 0% (5-yr avg 69%, last year 66%)Pink, week ending May 23: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 73%)Pink, week ending May 30: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 79%)Pink, week ending Jun 6: 8% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Jun 13: 9% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Jun 20: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Jun 27: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 25May 9May 23Jun 6Jun 20
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 100% as of Jun 27.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey apple full bloom, 20210%50%100%Full bloom, week ending Apr 25: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending May 2: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Full bloom, week ending May 9: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Full bloom, week ending May 16: 0% (5-yr avg 35%, last year 34%)Full bloom, week ending May 23: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 48%)Full bloom, week ending May 30: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 71%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 6: 8% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending Jun 13: 9% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending Jun 20: 90% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending Jun 27: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 25May 9May 23Jun 6Jun 20
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 95% as of Jun 27.

Field progress

Petal fall, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey apple petal fall, 20210%50%100%Petal fall, week ending May 16: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending May 23: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending May 30: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending Jun 6: 4% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending Jun 13: 4% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending Jun 20: 70% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending Jun 27: 90% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending Jul 4: 96% (5-yr avg —, last year —)May 16May 23May 30Jun 6Jun 13Jun 20Jun 27Jul 4
This year5-yr avgLast year

Petal fall: 96% as of Jul 4.

Field progress

Fruit set, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey apple fruit set, 20210%50%100%Fruit set, week ending May 23: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending May 30: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending Jun 6: 2% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending Jun 13: 2% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending Jun 20: 45% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending Jun 27: 65% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending Jul 4: 85% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending Jul 11: 90% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending Jul 18: 96% (5-yr avg —, last year —)May 23Jun 6Jun 20Jul 4Jul 18
This year5-yr avgLast year

Fruit set: 96% as of Jul 18.

Field progress

Harvested, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey apple harvested, 20210%50%100%Harvested, week ending Aug 29: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Sep 5: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Sep 12: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Sep 19: 34% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Sep 26: 54% (5-yr avg 43%, last year 53%)Harvested, week ending Oct 3: 61% (5-yr avg —, last year 59%)Harvested, week ending Oct 10: 71% (5-yr avg —, last year 69%)Harvested, week ending Oct 17: 75% (5-yr avg —, last year 73%)Harvested, week ending Oct 24: 80% (5-yr avg —, last year 75%)Harvested, week ending Oct 31: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 86%)Aug 29Sep 12Sep 26Oct 10Oct 24
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 100% as of Oct 31.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

New Jersey apple crop: USDA first forecast vs final0204060million lb2010: no forecast · final 43.0 million lb20102011: no forecast · final 36.0 million lb20112012: no forecast · final 35.0 million lb20122013: no forecast · final 29.0 million lb20132014: no forecast · final 37.0 million lb20142015: no forecast · final 41.7 million lb20152016: no forecast · final 31.9 million lb20162017: no forecast · final 38.5 million lb20172018: Aug forecast 49.2 million lb · final pending2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million lb)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
201849.2 Augustpending———
2017—38.5—$35M0.3%
2016—31.9—$34M0.3%
2015—41.7—$36M0.4%
2014—37.0—$30M0.3%
2013—29.0—$13M0.3%
2012—35.0—$29M0.4%
2011—36.0—$24M0.4%
2010—43.0—$20M0.5%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

New Jersey apple crop: fresh market vs processing0204060million lb2010: fresh 30.0, processing 12.0, not sold 0.0 million lb — 71% fresh20102011: fresh 25.0, processing 10.0, not sold 0.0 million lb — 71% fresh20112012: fresh 24.0, processing 10.0, not sold 0.0 million lb — 71% fresh20122013: fresh 19.0, processing 9.5, not sold 0.5 million lb — 66% fresh20132014: fresh 26.0, processing 10.0, not sold 0.5 million lb — 71% fresh20142015: fresh 30.0, processing 11.0, not sold 0.7 million lb — 72% fresh20152016: fresh 25.0, processing 6.0, not sold 0.9 million lb — 78% fresh20162017: fresh 28.0, processing 9.0, not sold 1.5 million lb — 73% fresh2017
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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