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New Jersey · crop watch

New Jersey apple crop

USDA last rated the 2025 New Jersey apple crop for the week ending Nov 16, when 100% was good or excellent. Harvest stood at 96% complete. USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 49.2 million lb, up 27.8% from last year's final of 38.5.

Last rated week ending Nov 16, 2025

Good to excellent · last reading

100%of the crop

Share of the 2025 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Nov 16.

–

96%

Harvested

As of Nov 16.

▲

49.2

million lb, 2018 forecast

+27.8% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Sep 27

New Jersey apple crop condition falls to zero

For the week ending September 27, 2026, New Jersey rated no apples in the good or excellent categories, unchanged from the prior week but far below the 75% good-to-excellent share reported the same week last year. Ninety percent of the crop was scored poor or very poor, with only 10% rated fair. Harvest reached 50% complete, trailing last year's 58% pace at this point. The season has now carried 14 weeks of condition ratings. Watch USDA's next weekly report for whether harvest catches up before the window closes.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2025

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
New Jersey apple crop condition, 20250%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jun 29: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jul 6: Very poor 0%, Poor 5%, Fair 10%, Good 80%, Excellent 5% — good+excellent 85% (5-yr avg 50%, last year 50%)Week ending Jul 13: Very poor 1%, Poor 5%, Fair 28%, Good 60%, Excellent 6% — good+excellent 66% (5-yr avg —, last year 50%)Week ending Jul 20: Very poor 3%, Poor 8%, Fair 26%, Good 42%, Excellent 21% — good+excellent 63% (5-yr avg —, last year 50%)Week ending Jul 27: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 20%, Good 62%, Excellent 18% — good+excellent 80% (5-yr avg —, last year 75%)Week ending Aug 3: Very poor 2%, Poor 4%, Fair 15%, Good 60%, Excellent 19% — good+excellent 79% (5-yr avg —, last year 83%)Week ending Aug 10: Very poor 2%, Poor 5%, Fair 15%, Good 58%, Excellent 20% — good+excellent 78% (5-yr avg —, last year 82%)Week ending Aug 17: Very poor 2%, Poor 2%, Fair 20%, Good 60%, Excellent 16% — good+excellent 76% (5-yr avg 52%, last year 84%)Week ending Aug 24: Very poor 2%, Poor 5%, Fair 40%, Good 40%, Excellent 13% — good+excellent 53% (5-yr avg 58%, last year 86%)Week ending Aug 31: Very poor 2%, Poor 5%, Fair 32%, Good 50%, Excellent 11% — good+excellent 61% (5-yr avg 49%, last year 85%)Week ending Sep 7: Very poor 5%, Poor 10%, Fair 15%, Good 45%, Excellent 25% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg 58%, last year 60%)Week ending Sep 14: Very poor 4%, Poor 10%, Fair 14%, Good 43%, Excellent 29% — good+excellent 72% (5-yr avg —, last year 61%)Week ending Sep 21: Very poor 4%, Poor 6%, Fair 11%, Good 57%, Excellent 22% — good+excellent 79% (5-yr avg —, last year 63%)Week ending Sep 28: Very poor 4%, Poor 6%, Fair 15%, Good 53%, Excellent 22% — good+excellent 75% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Nov 16: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)USDA forecast — week ending Aug 17USDA forecastHarvest begins — week ending Aug 24Harvest begins−23 pts — week ending Aug 24−23 ptsJun 29Jul 13Jul 27Aug 10Aug 24Sep 7Sep 21Nov 16
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 100% good or excellent, week ending Nov 16. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey apple green tip, 20250%50%100%Green tip, week ending Apr 6: 23% (5-yr avg —, last year 10%)Green tip, week ending Apr 13: 40% (5-yr avg 8%, last year 20%)Green tip, week ending Apr 20: 55% (5-yr avg 31%, last year 29%)Green tip, week ending Apr 27: 75% (5-yr avg 48%, last year 34%)Green tip, week ending May 4: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 39%)Apr 6Apr 13Apr 20Apr 27May 4
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 95% as of May 4.

Field progress

Pink, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey apple pink, 20250%50%100%Pink, week ending Apr 27: 22% (5-yr avg 3%, last year 2%)Pink, week ending May 4: 40% (5-yr avg 10%, last year 3%)Pink, week ending May 11: 64% (5-yr avg 33%, last year 13%)Pink, week ending May 18: 80% (5-yr avg 49%, last year 28%)Pink, week ending May 25: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 43%)Apr 27May 4May 11May 18May 25
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 95% as of May 25.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey apple full bloom, 20250%50%100%Full bloom, week ending Apr 27: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending May 4: 20% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending May 11: 41% (5-yr avg 12%, last year 2%)Full bloom, week ending May 18: 60% (5-yr avg 31%, last year 13%)Full bloom, week ending May 25: 78% (5-yr avg —, last year 24%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 1: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 38%)Apr 27May 4May 11May 18May 25Jun 1
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 95% as of Jun 1.

Field progress

Petal fall, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey apple petal fall, 20250%50%100%Petal fall, week ending May 11: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending May 18: 10% (5-yr avg —, last year 4%)Petal fall, week ending May 25: 30% (5-yr avg —, last year 9%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 1: 42% (5-yr avg —, last year 23%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 8: 62% (5-yr avg —, last year 46%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 15: 82% (5-yr avg —, last year 63%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 22: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 78%)May 11May 18May 25Jun 1Jun 8Jun 15Jun 22
This year5-yr avgLast year

Petal fall: 95% as of Jun 22.

Field progress

Fruit set, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey apple fruit set, 20250%50%100%Fruit set, week ending May 25: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending Jun 1: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 9%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 8: 15% (5-yr avg —, last year 19%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 15: 35% (5-yr avg —, last year 33%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 22: 55% (5-yr avg —, last year 44%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 29: 75% (5-yr avg —, last year 58%)Fruit set, week ending Jul 6: 90% (5-yr avg —, last year 70%)Fruit set, week ending Jul 13: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 76%)May 25Jun 1Jun 8Jun 15Jun 22Jun 29Jul 6Jul 13
This year5-yr avgLast year

Fruit set: 95% as of Jul 13.

Field progress

Harvested, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New Jersey apple harvested, 20250%50%100%Harvested, week ending Aug 24: 5% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Aug 31: 7% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Sep 7: 17% (5-yr avg —, last year 9%)Harvested, week ending Sep 14: 27% (5-yr avg —, last year 31%)Harvested, week ending Sep 21: 45% (5-yr avg —, last year 54%)Harvested, week ending Sep 28: 60% (5-yr avg —, last year 68%)Harvested, week ending Nov 16: 96% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Aug 24Aug 31Sep 7Sep 14Sep 21Sep 28Nov 16
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 96% as of Nov 16.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

New Jersey apple crop: USDA first forecast vs final0204060million lb2010: no forecast · final 43.0 million lb20102011: no forecast · final 36.0 million lb20112012: no forecast · final 35.0 million lb20122013: no forecast · final 29.0 million lb20132014: no forecast · final 37.0 million lb20142015: no forecast · final 41.7 million lb20152016: no forecast · final 31.9 million lb20162017: no forecast · final 38.5 million lb20172018: Aug forecast 49.2 million lb · final pending2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million lb)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
201849.2 Augustpending———
2017—38.5—$35M0.3%
2016—31.9—$34M0.3%
2015—41.7—$36M0.4%
2014—37.0—$30M0.3%
2013—29.0—$13M0.3%
2012—35.0—$29M0.4%
2011—36.0—$24M0.4%
2010—43.0—$20M0.5%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

New Jersey apple crop: fresh market vs processing0204060million lb2010: fresh 30.0, processing 12.0, not sold 0.0 million lb — 71% fresh20102011: fresh 25.0, processing 10.0, not sold 0.0 million lb — 71% fresh20112012: fresh 24.0, processing 10.0, not sold 0.0 million lb — 71% fresh20122013: fresh 19.0, processing 9.5, not sold 0.5 million lb — 66% fresh20132014: fresh 26.0, processing 10.0, not sold 0.5 million lb — 71% fresh20142015: fresh 30.0, processing 11.0, not sold 0.7 million lb — 72% fresh20152016: fresh 25.0, processing 6.0, not sold 0.9 million lb — 78% fresh20162017: fresh 28.0, processing 9.0, not sold 1.5 million lb — 73% fresh2017
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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