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Connecticut · crop watch

Connecticut apple crop

USDA last rated the 2021 Connecticut apple crop for the week ending Oct 10, when 100% was good or excellent. Harvest stood at 100% complete. USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 16.4 million lb, down 44.4% from last year's final of 29.5.

Last rated week ending Oct 10, 2021

Good to excellent · last reading

100%of the crop

Share of the 2021 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Oct 10.

–

100%

Harvested

As of Oct 31.

▼

16.4

million lb, 2018 forecast

−44.4% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Sep 27

Connecticut apple condition holds at 100% good-excellent

For the week ending September 27, 2026, Connecticut's apple crop was rated entirely good to excellent, unchanged from the prior week and continuing a run of favorable ratings through 16 weeks of the season. Harvest reached 50%, ahead of the five-year average of 47% but behind last year's 60% pace for the same week. An August forecast put the crop at 16.4 million pounds, down 44.4% from last year's final total of 29.5 million pounds, though above the 12.9 million pounds harvested two years ago. Watch for the next condition report as harvest moves past the halfway mark.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2021

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
Connecticut apple crop condition, 20210%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jun 13: Very poor 25%, Poor 50%, Fair 25%, Good 0%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jun 20: Very poor 25%, Poor 50%, Fair 25%, Good 0%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 0% (5-yr avg 86%, last year 100%)Week ending Jun 27: Very poor 25%, Poor 50%, Fair 25%, Good 0%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 0% (5-yr avg 86%, last year 100%)Week ending Jul 4: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 20%, Good 30%, Excellent 50% — good+excellent 80% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 100%)Week ending Jul 11: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 10%, Excellent 90% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 86%, last year 100%)Week ending Jul 18: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 5%, Excellent 95% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 84%, last year 98%)Week ending Jul 25: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 0%, Excellent 100% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 98%)Week ending Aug 1: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 0%, Excellent 100% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 73%, last year 50%)Week ending Aug 8: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 0%, Excellent 100% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 73%, last year 50%)Week ending Aug 15: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 10%, Excellent 90% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 74%, last year 50%)Week ending Aug 22: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 5%, Excellent 95% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 74%, last year 50%)Week ending Aug 29: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 2%, Excellent 98% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 74%, last year 50%)Week ending Sep 5: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 30%, Excellent 70% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 73%, last year 50%)Week ending Sep 12: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 20%, Excellent 80% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 73%, last year 50%)Week ending Sep 19: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 28%, Excellent 72% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 73%, last year 50%)Week ending Sep 26: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 35%, Excellent 65% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 50%)Week ending Oct 3: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 50%, Excellent 50% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 50%)Week ending Oct 10: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 45%, Excellent 55% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)USDA forecast — week ending Aug 15USDA forecastHarvest begins — week ending Aug 29Harvest beginsJun 13Jul 4Jul 25Aug 15Sep 5Sep 26
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 100% good or excellent, week ending Oct 10. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple green tip, 20210%50%100%Green tip, week ending Apr 11: 5% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Apr 18: 9% (5-yr avg —, last year 41%)Green tip, week ending Apr 25: 23% (5-yr avg 24%, last year 61%)Green tip, week ending May 2: 39% (5-yr avg 37%, last year 86%)Green tip, week ending May 9: 64% (5-yr avg 55%, last year 94%)Green tip, week ending May 16: 85% (5-yr avg 75%, last year 99%)Green tip, week ending May 23: 94% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 100%)Green tip, week ending May 30: 97% (5-yr avg —, last year 100%)Green tip, week ending Jun 6: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 11Apr 25May 9May 23Jun 6
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 100% as of Jun 6.

Field progress

Pink, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple pink, 20210%50%100%Pink, week ending Apr 25: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending May 2: 15% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending May 9: 37% (5-yr avg 27%, last year 44%)Pink, week ending May 16: 65% (5-yr avg 50%, last year 79%)Pink, week ending May 23: 82% (5-yr avg 65%, last year 96%)Pink, week ending May 30: 85% (5-yr avg 79%, last year 99%)Pink, week ending Jun 6: 87% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 25May 2May 9May 16May 23May 30Jun 6
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 87% as of Jun 6.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple full bloom, 20210%50%100%Full bloom, week ending May 9: 5% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending May 16: 48% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending May 23: 65% (5-yr avg 37%, last year 59%)Full bloom, week ending May 30: 68% (5-yr avg 57%, last year 83%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 6: 75% (5-yr avg —, last year 88%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 13: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 94%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 20: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)May 9May 16May 23May 30Jun 6Jun 13Jun 20
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 100% as of Jun 20.

Field progress

Petal fall, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple petal fall, 20210%50%100%Petal fall, week ending May 9: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending May 16: 12% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending May 23: 20% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending May 30: 25% (5-yr avg 34%, last year 70%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 6: 30% (5-yr avg 45%, last year 80%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 13: 71% (5-yr avg 54%, last year 83%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 20: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 89%)May 9May 16May 23May 30Jun 6Jun 13Jun 20
This year5-yr avgLast year

Petal fall: 95% as of Jun 20.

Field progress

Fruit set, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple fruit set, 20210%50%100%Fruit set, week ending May 23: 5% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending May 30: 5% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending Jun 6: 8% (5-yr avg 21%, last year 18%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 13: 46% (5-yr avg 34%, last year 32%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 20: 79% (5-yr avg —, last year 63%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 27: 85% (5-yr avg —, last year 82%)May 23May 30Jun 6Jun 13Jun 20Jun 27
This year5-yr avgLast year

Fruit set: 85% as of Jun 27.

Field progress

Harvested, 2021

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple harvested, 20210%50%100%Harvested, week ending Aug 8: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Aug 15: 0% (5-yr avg 1%, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Aug 22: 0% (5-yr avg 3%, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Aug 29: 11% (5-yr avg 6%, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Sep 5: 20% (5-yr avg 11%, last year 3%)Harvested, week ending Sep 12: 35% (5-yr avg 16%, last year 7%)Harvested, week ending Sep 19: 40% (5-yr avg 25%, last year 19%)Harvested, week ending Sep 26: 55% (5-yr avg 33%, last year 30%)Harvested, week ending Oct 3: 75% (5-yr avg 47%, last year 50%)Harvested, week ending Oct 10: 75% (5-yr avg 60%, last year 67%)Harvested, week ending Oct 17: 80% (5-yr avg 72%, last year 77%)Harvested, week ending Oct 24: 95% (5-yr avg 82%, last year 88%)Harvested, week ending Oct 31: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 96%)Aug 8Aug 22Sep 5Sep 19Oct 3Oct 17Oct 31
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 100% as of Oct 31.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Connecticut apple crop: USDA first forecast vs final0102030million lb2010: no forecast · final 23.0 million lb20102011: no forecast · final 22.0 million lb20112012: no forecast · final 16.5 million lb20122013: no forecast · final 27.0 million lb20132014: no forecast · final 19.9 million lb20142015: no forecast · final 25.1 million lb20152016: no forecast · final 12.9 million lb20162017: no forecast · final 29.5 million lb20172018: Aug forecast 16.4 million lb · final pending2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million lb)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
201816.4 Augustpending———
2017—29.5—$20M0.3%
2016—12.9—$12M0.1%
2015—25.1—$14M0.2%
2014—19.9—$12M0.2%
2013—27.0—$20M0.3%
2012—16.5—$10M0.2%
2011—22.0—$11M0.2%
2010—23.0—$12M0.2%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

Connecticut apple crop: fresh market vs processing0102030million lb2010: fresh 18.5, processing 3.5, not sold 0.0 million lb — 84% fresh20102011: fresh 17.5, processing 2.0, not sold 0.5 million lb — 88% fresh20112012: fresh 14.5, processing 1.0, not sold 0.0 million lb — 94% fresh20122013: fresh 25.5, processing 1.0, not sold 0.0 million lb — 96% fresh20132014: fresh 19.1, processing 0.5, not sold 0.2 million lb — 96% fresh20142015: fresh 23.3, processing 1.0, not sold 0.8 million lb — 93% fresh20152016: fresh 11.7, processing 0.8, not sold 0.4 million lb — 91% fresh20162017: fresh 25.9, processing 3.4, not sold 0.2 million lb — 88% fresh2017
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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