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Connecticut · crop watch

Connecticut apple crop

USDA last rated the 2025 Connecticut apple crop for the week ending Sep 21, when 81% was good or excellent, 1 point below the five-year average of 82%, versus 90% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 65% complete (five-year average 44%). USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 16.4 million lb, down 44.4% from last year's final of 29.5.

Last rated week ending Sep 21, 2025

Good to excellent · last reading

81%of the crop

1 point below the five-year average for this week, and 90% a year ago.

▲

65%

Harvested

+21 points against the five-year pace of 44%.

▼

16.4

million lb, 2018 forecast

−44.4% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Sep 27

Connecticut apple condition holds at 100% good-excellent

For the week ending September 27, 2026, Connecticut's apple crop was rated entirely good to excellent, unchanged from the prior week and continuing a run of favorable ratings through 16 weeks of the season. Harvest reached 50%, ahead of the five-year average of 47% but behind last year's 60% pace for the same week. An August forecast put the crop at 16.4 million pounds, down 44.4% from last year's final total of 29.5 million pounds, though above the 12.9 million pounds harvested two years ago. Watch for the next condition report as harvest moves past the halfway mark.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2025

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
Connecticut apple crop condition, 20250%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jun 15: Very poor 5%, Poor 5%, Fair 15%, Good 55%, Excellent 20% — good+excellent 75% (5-yr avg 62%, last year 75%)Week ending Jun 22: Very poor 0%, Poor 5%, Fair 15%, Good 55%, Excellent 25% — good+excellent 80% (5-yr avg 70%, last year 90%)Week ending Jun 29: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 8%, Good 66%, Excellent 26% — good+excellent 92% (5-yr avg 91%, last year 95%)Week ending Jul 6: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 5%, Good 65%, Excellent 29% — good+excellent 94% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 60%)Week ending Jul 13: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 10%, Good 60%, Excellent 30% — good+excellent 90% (5-yr avg 80%, last year 60%)Week ending Jul 20: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 8%, Good 60%, Excellent 32% — good+excellent 92% (5-yr avg 84%, last year 70%)Week ending Jul 27: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 7%, Good 63%, Excellent 30% — good+excellent 93% (5-yr avg 77%, last year 75%)Week ending Aug 3: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 5%, Good 60%, Excellent 35% — good+excellent 95% (5-yr avg 79%, last year 80%)Week ending Aug 10: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 5%, Good 55%, Excellent 40% — good+excellent 95% (5-yr avg 80%, last year 75%)Week ending Aug 17: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 8%, Good 50%, Excellent 41% — good+excellent 91% (5-yr avg 79%, last year 80%)Week ending Aug 24: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 15%, Good 40%, Excellent 45% — good+excellent 85% (5-yr avg 74%, last year 75%)Week ending Aug 31: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 45%, Excellent 55% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 70%, last year 70%)Week ending Sep 7: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 40%, Excellent 60% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 82%, last year 85%)Week ending Sep 14: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 50%, Excellent 50% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 80%, last year 85%)Week ending Sep 21: Very poor 0%, Poor 8%, Fair 11%, Good 51%, Excellent 30% — good+excellent 81% (5-yr avg 82%, last year 90%)USDA forecast — week ending Aug 17USDA forecastHarvest begins — week ending Aug 17Harvest begins−19 pts — week ending Sep 21−19 ptsJun 15Jun 29Jul 13Jul 27Aug 10Aug 24Sep 7Sep 21
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 81% good or excellent, week ending Sep 21. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple green tip, 20250%50%100%Green tip, week ending Apr 13: 6% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Apr 20: 40% (5-yr avg 20%, last year 16%)Green tip, week ending Apr 27: 87% (5-yr avg 41%, last year 45%)Green tip, week ending May 4: 99% (5-yr avg 67%, last year 80%)Green tip, week ending May 11: 100% (5-yr avg 86%, last year 94%)Apr 13Apr 20Apr 27May 4May 11
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 100% as of May 11 (5-yr avg 86%).

Field progress

Pink, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple pink, 20250%50%100%Pink, week ending May 4: 30% (5-yr avg 28%, last year 40%)Pink, week ending May 11: 79% (5-yr avg 52%, last year 70%)Pink, week ending May 18: 90% (5-yr avg 82%, last year 91%)Pink, week ending May 25: 92% (5-yr avg 95%, last year 97%)May 4May 11May 18May 25
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 92% as of May 25 (5-yr avg 95%).

Field progress

Full bloom, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple full bloom, 20250%50%100%Full bloom, week ending May 11: 15% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending May 18: 45% (5-yr avg 50%, last year 41%)Full bloom, week ending May 25: 48% (5-yr avg 73%, last year 62%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 1: 90% (5-yr avg 88%, last year 92%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 8: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 97%)May 11May 18May 25Jun 1Jun 8
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 100% as of Jun 8.

Field progress

Petal fall, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple petal fall, 20250%50%100%Petal fall, week ending May 25: 30% (5-yr avg 34%, last year 20%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 1: 75% (5-yr avg 55%, last year 34%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 8: 94% (5-yr avg 69%, last year 50%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 15: 98% (5-yr avg —, last year 83%)May 25Jun 1Jun 8Jun 15
This year5-yr avgLast year

Petal fall: 98% as of Jun 15.

Field progress

Fruit set, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple fruit set, 20250%50%100%Fruit set, week ending Jun 1: 30% (5-yr avg 15%, last year 19%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 8: 75% (5-yr avg 30%, last year 29%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 15: 94% (5-yr avg 57%, last year 52%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 22: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 78%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 29: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 89%)Jun 1Jun 8Jun 15Jun 22Jun 29
This year5-yr avgLast year

Fruit set: 100% as of Jun 29.

Field progress

Harvested, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple harvested, 20250%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jul 13: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Aug 10: 0% (5-yr avg 1%, last year 1%)Harvested, week ending Aug 17: 3% (5-yr avg 1%, last year 2%)Harvested, week ending Aug 24: 5% (5-yr avg 3%, last year 5%)Harvested, week ending Aug 31: 12% (5-yr avg 7%, last year 7%)Harvested, week ending Sep 7: 20% (5-yr avg 13%, last year 14%)Harvested, week ending Sep 14: 23% (5-yr avg 21%, last year 19%)Harvested, week ending Sep 21: 28% (5-yr avg 33%, last year 41%)Harvested, week ending Sep 28: 65% (5-yr avg 44%, last year 49%)Jul 13Aug 17Aug 31Sep 14Sep 28
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 65% as of Sep 28 (5-yr avg 44%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Connecticut apple crop: USDA first forecast vs final0102030million lb2010: no forecast · final 23.0 million lb20102011: no forecast · final 22.0 million lb20112012: no forecast · final 16.5 million lb20122013: no forecast · final 27.0 million lb20132014: no forecast · final 19.9 million lb20142015: no forecast · final 25.1 million lb20152016: no forecast · final 12.9 million lb20162017: no forecast · final 29.5 million lb20172018: Aug forecast 16.4 million lb · final pending2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million lb)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
201816.4 Augustpending———
2017—29.5—$20M0.3%
2016—12.9—$12M0.1%
2015—25.1—$14M0.2%
2014—19.9—$12M0.2%
2013—27.0—$20M0.3%
2012—16.5—$10M0.2%
2011—22.0—$11M0.2%
2010—23.0—$12M0.2%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

Connecticut apple crop: fresh market vs processing0102030million lb2010: fresh 18.5, processing 3.5, not sold 0.0 million lb — 84% fresh20102011: fresh 17.5, processing 2.0, not sold 0.5 million lb — 88% fresh20112012: fresh 14.5, processing 1.0, not sold 0.0 million lb — 94% fresh20122013: fresh 25.5, processing 1.0, not sold 0.0 million lb — 96% fresh20132014: fresh 19.1, processing 0.5, not sold 0.2 million lb — 96% fresh20142015: fresh 23.3, processing 1.0, not sold 0.8 million lb — 93% fresh20152016: fresh 11.7, processing 0.8, not sold 0.4 million lb — 91% fresh20162017: fresh 25.9, processing 3.4, not sold 0.2 million lb — 88% fresh2017
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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