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Connecticut · crop watch

Connecticut apple crop

USDA last rated the 2022 Connecticut apple crop for the week ending Sep 25, when 95% was good or excellent, 10 points above the five-year average of 85%, versus 100% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 90% complete (five-year average 79%). USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 16.4 million lb, down 44.4% from last year's final of 29.5.

Last rated week ending Sep 25, 2022

Good to excellent · last reading

95%of the crop

10 points above the five-year average for this week, and 100% a year ago.

▲

90%

Harvested

+11 points against the five-year pace of 79%.

▼

16.4

million lb, 2018 forecast

−44.4% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Sep 27

Connecticut apple condition holds at 100% good-excellent

For the week ending September 27, 2026, Connecticut's apple crop was rated entirely good to excellent, unchanged from the prior week and continuing a run of favorable ratings through 16 weeks of the season. Harvest reached 50%, ahead of the five-year average of 47% but behind last year's 60% pace for the same week. An August forecast put the crop at 16.4 million pounds, down 44.4% from last year's final total of 29.5 million pounds, though above the 12.9 million pounds harvested two years ago. Watch for the next condition report as harvest moves past the halfway mark.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2022

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
Connecticut apple crop condition, 20220%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jun 12: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Week ending Jun 19: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 20%, Excellent 80% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 76%, last year 0%)Week ending Jun 26: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 7%, Good 24%, Excellent 69% — good+excellent 93% (5-yr avg 76%, last year 0%)Week ending Jul 3: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 1%, Good 29%, Excellent 70% — good+excellent 99% (5-yr avg 91%, last year 80%)Week ending Jul 10: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 25%, Excellent 75% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 96%, last year 100%)Week ending Jul 17: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 8%, Good 22%, Excellent 70% — good+excellent 92% (5-yr avg 94%, last year 100%)Week ending Jul 24: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 20%, Excellent 80% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 95%, last year 100%)Week ending Jul 31: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 15%, Excellent 85% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 83%, last year 100%)Week ending Aug 7: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 10%, Good 70%, Excellent 20% — good+excellent 90% (5-yr avg 83%, last year 100%)Week ending Aug 14: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 15%, Good 74%, Excellent 11% — good+excellent 85% (5-yr avg 84%, last year 100%)Week ending Aug 21: Very poor 0%, Poor 5%, Fair 25%, Good 60%, Excellent 10% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg 84%, last year 100%)Week ending Aug 28: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 20%, Good 70%, Excellent 10% — good+excellent 80% (5-yr avg 84%, last year 100%)Week ending Sep 4: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 40%, Good 50%, Excellent 10% — good+excellent 60% (5-yr avg 83%, last year 100%)Week ending Sep 11: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 10%, Good 75%, Excellent 15% — good+excellent 90% (5-yr avg 83%, last year 100%)Week ending Sep 18: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 15%, Good 80%, Excellent 5% — good+excellent 85% (5-yr avg 83%, last year 100%)Week ending Sep 25: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 5%, Good 90%, Excellent 5% — good+excellent 95% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 100%)Harvest begins — week ending Aug 7Harvest beginsUSDA forecast — week ending Aug 14USDA forecast−20 pts — week ending Sep 4−20 ptsJun 12Jun 26Jul 10Jul 24Aug 7Aug 21Sep 4Sep 18
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 95% good or excellent, week ending Sep 25. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple green tip, 20220%50%100%Green tip, week ending Apr 10: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Apr 17: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 8%)Green tip, week ending Apr 24: 15% (5-yr avg 18%, last year 21%)Green tip, week ending May 1: 42% (5-yr avg 31%, last year 37%)Green tip, week ending May 8: 75% (5-yr avg 48%, last year 60%)Green tip, week ending May 15: 92% (5-yr avg 71%, last year 82%)Green tip, week ending May 22: 100% (5-yr avg 82%, last year 93%)Green tip, week ending May 29: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 97%)Green tip, week ending Jun 5: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 100%)Apr 10Apr 24May 8May 22Jun 5
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 100% as of Jun 5.

Field progress

Pink, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple pink, 20220%50%100%Pink, week ending Apr 24: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending May 1: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 13%)Pink, week ending May 8: 21% (5-yr avg 20%, last year 34%)Pink, week ending May 15: 55% (5-yr avg 44%, last year 61%)Pink, week ending May 22: 90% (5-yr avg 61%, last year 80%)Pink, week ending May 29: 100% (5-yr avg 75%, last year 85%)Pink, week ending Jun 5: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 87%)Apr 24May 1May 8May 15May 22May 29Jun 5
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 100% as of Jun 5.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple full bloom, 20220%50%100%Full bloom, week ending May 8: 9% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending May 15: 38% (5-yr avg —, last year 42%)Full bloom, week ending May 22: 78% (5-yr avg 33%, last year 63%)Full bloom, week ending May 29: 95% (5-yr avg 52%, last year 68%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 5: 100% (5-yr avg 61%, last year 74%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 12: 100% (5-yr avg 74%, last year 96%)May 8May 15May 22May 29Jun 5Jun 12
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 100% as of Jun 12 (5-yr avg 74%).

Field progress

Petal fall, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple petal fall, 20220%50%100%Petal fall, week ending May 8: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending May 15: 8% (5-yr avg —, last year 10%)Petal fall, week ending May 22: 35% (5-yr avg —, last year 19%)Petal fall, week ending May 29: 58% (5-yr avg 26%, last year 24%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 5: 75% (5-yr avg 34%, last year 29%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 12: 100% (5-yr avg 48%, last year 65%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 19: 100% (5-yr avg 65%, last year 92%)May 8May 15May 22May 29Jun 5Jun 12Jun 19
This year5-yr avgLast year

Petal fall: 100% as of Jun 19 (5-yr avg 65%).

Field progress

Fruit set, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple fruit set, 20220%50%100%Fruit set, week ending May 22: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending May 29: 10% (5-yr avg —, last year 5%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 5: 25% (5-yr avg 9%, last year 8%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 12: 68% (5-yr avg 26%, last year 41%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 19: 80% (5-yr avg 46%, last year 74%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 26: 85% (5-yr avg 60%, last year 84%)May 22May 29Jun 5Jun 12Jun 19Jun 26
This year5-yr avgLast year

Fruit set: 85% as of Jun 26 (5-yr avg 60%).

Field progress

Harvested, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple harvested, 20220%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jul 31: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Aug 7: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Aug 14: 3% (5-yr avg 0%, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Aug 21: 8% (5-yr avg 0%, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Aug 28: 12% (5-yr avg 4%, last year 9%)Harvested, week ending Sep 4: 15% (5-yr avg 9%, last year 19%)Harvested, week ending Sep 11: 18% (5-yr avg 15%, last year 33%)Harvested, week ending Sep 18: 25% (5-yr avg 21%, last year 39%)Harvested, week ending Sep 25: 32% (5-yr avg 31%, last year 53%)Harvested, week ending Oct 2: 45% (5-yr avg 46%, last year 72%)Harvested, week ending Oct 9: 60% (5-yr avg 56%, last year 75%)Harvested, week ending Oct 16: 78% (5-yr avg 66%, last year 79%)Harvested, week ending Oct 23: 90% (5-yr avg 79%, last year 93%)Jul 31Aug 14Aug 28Sep 11Sep 25Oct 9Oct 23
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 90% as of Oct 23 (5-yr avg 79%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Connecticut apple crop: USDA first forecast vs final0102030million lb2010: no forecast · final 23.0 million lb20102011: no forecast · final 22.0 million lb20112012: no forecast · final 16.5 million lb20122013: no forecast · final 27.0 million lb20132014: no forecast · final 19.9 million lb20142015: no forecast · final 25.1 million lb20152016: no forecast · final 12.9 million lb20162017: no forecast · final 29.5 million lb20172018: Aug forecast 16.4 million lb · final pending2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million lb)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
201816.4 Augustpending———
2017—29.5—$20M0.3%
2016—12.9—$12M0.1%
2015—25.1—$14M0.2%
2014—19.9—$12M0.2%
2013—27.0—$20M0.3%
2012—16.5—$10M0.2%
2011—22.0—$11M0.2%
2010—23.0—$12M0.2%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

Connecticut apple crop: fresh market vs processing0102030million lb2010: fresh 18.5, processing 3.5, not sold 0.0 million lb — 84% fresh20102011: fresh 17.5, processing 2.0, not sold 0.5 million lb — 88% fresh20112012: fresh 14.5, processing 1.0, not sold 0.0 million lb — 94% fresh20122013: fresh 25.5, processing 1.0, not sold 0.0 million lb — 96% fresh20132014: fresh 19.1, processing 0.5, not sold 0.2 million lb — 96% fresh20142015: fresh 23.3, processing 1.0, not sold 0.8 million lb — 93% fresh20152016: fresh 11.7, processing 0.8, not sold 0.4 million lb — 91% fresh20162017: fresh 25.9, processing 3.4, not sold 0.2 million lb — 88% fresh2017
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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